Shared on 10 Dec 25

Fair value Increased 7.60%

DLTR: Future Performance Will Reflect SNAP Headwinds And Execution Risks

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Dollar Tree higher to approximately $115 from about $107 per share, citing a lower discount rate, modestly improved profit margin expectations, and clearer, though timing-uncertain, earnings power, despite mounting headwinds for lower income consumers and SNAP exposed retailers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more balanced, and in some cases cautious, stance on Dollar Tree, with views diverging on the pace and durability of earnings improvement as macro and company specific risks build.

Shared on 26 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 1.04%

DLTR: Execution Risks And Consumer Pressures Will Shape Performance Amidst Industry Shifts

Dollar Tree's analyst price target has been modestly reduced to $107 from $108. This reflects analyst concerns about a more challenging outlook for lower-income consumers and increased competition among discount retailers.

Shared on 05 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 0.08%

DLTR: Macro Headwinds And SNAP Benefit Cuts Will Impact Earnings Outlook Ahead

Dollar Tree's analyst price target saw a modest reduction of less than $0.10, as analysts cite continued macro headwinds, operational uncertainties, and shifting valuation multiples for the slight adjustment. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided on Dollar Tree's prospects, with both bullish and bearish narratives present following recent developments.

Shared on 22 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 1.42%

Dollar Tree's analyst price target has been revised slightly lower, from around $109.91 to $108.35, as analysts weigh solid recent results and sales growth while considering lingering concerns about margin visibility and operational execution. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided in their outlook on Dollar Tree, with recent commentary reflecting both confidence in the company's growth drivers and caution regarding the challenges ahead.

Shared on 08 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 2.13%

Dollar Tree’s analyst price target has been modestly reduced to $109.91 from $112.30, as analysts cite solid sales growth and improving margins but remain cautious due to ongoing margin pressures as well as uncertainty around tariffs and operating costs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street Research highlights a diverse range of views on Dollar Tree's outlook, with both bullish and bearish analysts weighing in on valuation, operational progress, and growth strategies following the company's earnings report and guidance update.

Shared on 27 Aug 25

Fair value Increased 2.91%

Upward analyst revisions for Dollar Tree reflect confidence in continued sales momentum, successful multi-price strategies, and effective tariff mitigation despite ongoing macro risks, resulting in a modest increase in the consensus price target from $109.13 to $110.43. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight strong comparable sales momentum, driven by increased traffic and successful multi-price and merchandising strategies.

Shared on 29 Jul 25

Fair value Increased 22%

Dollar Tree’s consensus price target was raised from $89.51 to $100.35 following strong Q1 comp sales growth, raised EPS guidance, and confident management commentary offsetting tariff and cost pressures with mitigation strategies. Analyst Commentary Strong Q1 results with notable comp sales growth (~5%) driven by both store traffic and average ticket, providing evidence of successful merchandising and market share gains.

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Increased 7.18%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 30 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 16 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 14%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 17%

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 79%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 3.1% to 6.1%, increased profit margin from 4.5% to 6.3% and increased future PE multiple from 14.2x to 16.5x.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 3.46%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 4.27%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased shares outstanding growth rate from -0.0% to 0.0%.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 44%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Analysts Remain Split on Dollar Tree Outlook as Valuation Slips Amid Mixed Signals

DLTR: Future Performance Will Reflect SNAP Headwinds And Execution Risks

DLTR: Execution Risks And Consumer Pressures Will Shape Performance Amidst Industry Shifts

DLTR: Macro Headwinds And SNAP Benefit Cuts Will Impact Earnings Outlook Ahead

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