AI-Driven Automation Will Support Steady Margins Amid Rising Competitive And Execution Risks

AnalystLowTarget

Analyst Low Target compiles bearish analysts opinions to create narratives which represent one standard deviation below the consensus price target, using forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls.

Published

15 Dec 25

Updated

29 Jun 26

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Not Invested

Shared on 29 Jun 26

Fair value Decreased 27%

PAYC: Mixed Rate Sensitivity And Execution Risks Will Shape Future Share Returns

Wall Street is resetting expectations for Paycom as interest-rate worries and more cautious growth assumptions pull down what some think the business is worth, even while a few analysts raise their targets. The big question now is whether Paycom can hit upcoming results and keep automation-driven progress on track, or whether any stumble triggers another round of sell-offs.

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Fair Value vs Share Price

US$120

vs US$214.9479.1% overvalued

6.6%

Revenue growth

20.9%

Profit margin

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Company analysis

Good value with proven track record.

Market capUS$9.5b

PB16.7x

Estimated Growth6.6%

Dividend Yield0.7%

Full analysis

CEO & management

Chad Richison

CEO

2.3yrs

CEO Tenure

Provides cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solution delivered as software-as-a-service for small to mid-sized companies in the United States.