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AXL: Dowlais Deal Will Shape Path As ICE Shift Risks Remain

Published
17 Sep 24
Updated
03 Nov 25
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-3.2%
7D
5.6%

Author's Valuation

US$6.844.2% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 03 Nov 25

Analysts have raised the price target for American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings from $6 to $8. They cite improving North American vehicle production forecasts and the strategic value of the Dowlais acquisition as key drivers for the upgrade.

Shared on 20 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 6.73%

Dowlais Acquisition And EV Win Will Drive Future Resilience

Analysts have raised their price target for American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings from $6.40 to $6.84 per share. This increase is due to improved vehicle production forecasts, a strategically significant acquisition, and expectations for higher valuation multiples.

Shared on 05 Sep 25

Dowlais Acquisition And EV Win Will Drive Future Resilience

Despite secular headwinds from the shift away from internal combustion engines, analysts view the Dowlais acquisition and robust North American vehicle production as positive catalysts for American Axle’s long-term value, keeping the consensus price target unchanged at $6.41. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see the Dowlais acquisition as both financially and strategically attractive, viewing it as a transformational deal that can drive long-term value.

Shared on 01 May 25

Fair value Increased 24%

Dowlais Acquisition And EV Win Will Drive Future Resilience

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 4.96%

Dowlais Merger Will Create Leading Global Driveline And Metal Forming Supplier

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from -1.2% to -1.3%.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 8.26%

Dowlais Merger Will Create Leading Global Driveline And Metal Forming Supplier

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from -1.0% to -1.2% and decreased profit margin from 0.9% to 0.8%.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Dowlais Merger Will Create Leading Global Driveline And Metal Forming Supplier

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 3.73%

Dowlais Merger Will Create Leading Global Driveline And Metal Forming Supplier

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 0.82%

Dowlais Merger Will Create Leading Global Driveline And Metal Forming Supplier

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Dowlais Merger Will Create Leading Global Driveline And Metal Forming Supplier

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 11 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 9.95%

Dowlais Merger Will Create Leading Global Driveline And Metal Forming Supplier

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from -3.1% to -1.0%, decreased profit margin from 1.1% to 0.9% and decreased future PE multiple from 20.7x to 18.3x.