TSLA: Shareholder Pay Vote And Leadership Uncertainty Will Undermine Near-Term Performance

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Tesla to about $391 from $367 per share, citing slightly improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations. Recent Street research points to delivery stabilization, record Q3 results, and continued optimism around new products despite ongoing earnings variability.

Tesla's analyst price target has been raised from $350.50 to $366.77 as analysts weigh continued optimism around the company's AI ventures and robotics pipeline. However, they cite moderating growth assumptions and increased industry competition.

Tesla's analyst price target has increased from approximately $331.58 to $350.50, a rise of nearly $19. This change reflects analysts' optimism after stronger-than-expected Q3 vehicle deliveries, as well as expectations for improving profit margins and new model momentum.

Analysts have raised Tesla’s price target to $331.58, reflecting renewed optimism around Q3–Q4 deliveries, autonomy and robotics growth potential, and successful product rollouts like Robotaxi and FSD, despite near-term margin concerns and mixed views on demand sustainability. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlighted growing confidence in Tesla's Q3 and Q4 delivery volumes, citing upwardly revised estimates, particularly on the back of global survey data and new product/capacity developments, with expectations for long-term earnings growth from autonomy and robotics businesses.

Tesla’s consensus price target has increased modestly to $310.53, driven by optimism around Musk’s new incentive package and anticipated growth in autonomous, robotaxi, and robotics initiatives, though concerns remain over execution challenges and EV demand headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see the new long-term incentive package for Elon Musk as a catalyst to boost investor sentiment, incentivize sustained leadership, and align Musk’s interests with shareholders, particularly as autonomous driving and robotics come to the forefront.

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased future PE multiple from 103.9x to 88.9x.

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 15.0% to 16.6%, decreased profit margin from 10.4% to 9.2% and increased future PE multiple from 86.9x to 106.9x.