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Jack-up Rig Oversupply And Capital Costs Will Worsen Margins

Published
19 Jan 25
Updated
07 Aug 25
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
81.0%
7D
1.2%

Author's Valuation

NOK 11.1765.2% overvalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 07 Aug 25

Fair value Increased 53%

Despite a deterioration in revenue growth forecasts and a substantial rise in the already elevated future P/E multiple, Shelf Drilling’s consensus price target has increased notably from NOK7.31 to NOK8.73. What's in the News ADES International Holding Ltd agreed to acquire Shelf Drilling, Ltd.

Shared on 30 Jul 25

Fair value Decreased 19%

Consensus price targets for Shelf Drilling have been sharply revised downward as analysts now expect contracting revenues and significantly weaker earnings, resulting in a much higher forward P/E and a new fair value estimate of NOK7.31. What's in the News Secured a one-year contract extension for the Key Manhattan jack-up rig, adding approximately USD 29 million in value and extending commitment until November 2026 with an additional one-year option.

Shared on 01 May 25

Fair value Decreased 39%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from -0.8% to 0.1%, increased profit margin from 5.3% to 10.2% and decreased future PE multiple from 17.6x to 5.4x.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 28%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased shares outstanding growth rate from 0.1% to 0.2%.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 2.15%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 7.61%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 4.48%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 0.24%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 0.39%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 12 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 198%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from -1.5% to -0.8%, increased profit margin from 4.5% to 5.3%, increased future PE multiple from 7.1x to 17.2x and decreased shares outstanding growth rate from 0.2% to 0.1%.