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Universal Music Group Community
ENXTAM:UMG Community
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Universal Music Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
AI Disruption And Shifting Trends Will Erode Catalog Value
Key Takeaways AI-driven music and fragmented digital consumption threaten UMG's catalog value, market share, and streaming revenues by empowering cheaper, independent, and synthetic alternatives. Shifting consumer preferences and rising internal costs are diminishing UMG's pricing power and profitability while exposing vulnerabilities from overreliance on superstar-driven content.
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€22.00
FV
12.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.54%
Revenue growth p.a.
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1 day ago
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Universal Music Group
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Global Connectivity And Streaming Will Spur Expansion While Facing Headwinds
Key Takeaways UMG's unique global scale, artist roster, and emerging market presence set it up for sustained outperformance and above-industry growth in subscription revenues. Exclusive tech partnerships, innovation in AI and virtual experiences, and a broad catalog give UMG multiple high-margin growth opportunities few rivals can access.
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€37.29
FV
33.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.71%
Revenue growth p.a.
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1 day ago
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Universal Music Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Paid Music Streaming Adoption Will Drive Revenue Despite Margin Pressures
Key Takeaways Digital streaming expansion, ARPU growth, and new premium tiers are driving recurring revenue, margin improvement, and global earnings momentum. Technology investment, AI partnerships, and asset-light ventures support operational efficiency, diversified revenue streams, and resilience against market fluctuations.
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€29.32
FV
15.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
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3 days ago
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Your Valuation for
UMG
UMG
Universal Music Group
Your Fair Value
€
Current Price
€24.67
7.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
Growth estimate over
Annual revenue growth rate
5 Years
time period
%/yr
Decrease
Increase
Past
Future
0
16b
2015
2018
2021
2024
2025
2027
2030
Revenue €16.3b
Earnings €3.5b
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