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Dividends And Share Buybacks Will Shape Returns Amid Shifting Policy Risks

Published
02 Mar 25
Updated
09 Nov 25
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
10.8%
7D
-0.4%

Author's Valuation

UK£8.1212.4% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 09 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 3.16%

DRX: New Biomass Contract Will Drive Power Generation Momentum Forward

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Drax Group, lowering the fair value estimate from £8.39 to £8.12. This change is based on adjustments to expected growth rates and financial metrics.

Shared on 26 Oct 25

Drax Group Analyst Price Target Sees Marginal Adjustment Analysts have made a slight downward revision to Drax Group's price target, adjusting it by a few pence. Minor changes to the discount rate and future profit assumptions influenced their updated valuation.

Shared on 12 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 2.20%

Analysts have revised their price target for Drax Group downward, lowering the estimated fair value from £8.58 to £8.39 per share. This change reflects updated outlooks on the company's profitability and growth prospects.

Shared on 04 Sep 25

Analysts maintain a positive outlook on Drax Group due to anticipated value creation from UK grid intermittency, upcoming share price catalysts, and a possible £200M share buyback extension; however, the consensus price target remains unchanged at £8.58. Analyst Commentary Expectation of increased value creation for Drax as grid intermittency rises in the UK power sector.

Shared on 01 May 25

Fair value Increased 14%

Shared on 23 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.27%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 19%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased future PE multiple from 16.8x to 12.4x.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 14%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 3.66%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 12 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 3.80%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased future PE multiple from 15.2x to 17.4x, decreased discount rate from 7.9% to 7.0% and increased shares outstanding growth rate from -0.1% to -0.0%.