Serco Group

Government Insourcing Trends Will Curb Contract Wins Despite Strong Orders

AnalystLowTarget

Not Invested

Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts

Published

31 Jul 25

Updated

10 Aug 25

AnalystLowTarget's Fair Value

UK£1.42

55.9% overvalued

10 Aug

UK£2.22

31.1%

6.0%

Author's Valuation

UK£1.4

55.9% overvalued

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

Narrative

Updates0

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

UK£1.4

55.9% overvalued

Future estimation in

% p.a.

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

3.84%

Commercial Services revenue growth rate

0.23%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

7.75%

Calculation

UK£184.00m

Earnings '28

8.07x

PE Ratio '28

UK£1.48b

Market Cap '28

UK£1.48b

Market Cap '28

837.52m

No. shares '28

UK£1.77

Share Price '28

UK£1.77 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 7.77% p.a.

UK£1.42

Fair Value '25