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ZIM’s story isn’t about quarter-to-quarter earnings

Published
10 Nov 25
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Gotbahn's Fair Value
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1Y
-42.6%
7D
11.5%

Author's Valuation

€1612.2% undervalued intrinsic discount

Gotbahn's Fair Value

ZIM’s story isn’t about quarter-to-quarter earnings, it’s about positioning ahead of the next freight-rate cycle. The company spent the last two years strengthening its balance sheet, modernizing its LNG-powered fleet, and preserving cash. At the current price (~€12–13), the stock trades below book value and near replacement cost, essentially pricing in a prolonged freight slump.

For long-term investors, this sets up an asymmetric opportunity: limited downside if rates stay weak, and significant upside (plus a return of high dividends) once container demand normalizes. ZIM will never be a “steady dividend aristocrat,” but it can be a powerful income generator across full shipping cycles. Accumulating during pessimistic phases, like now, has historically paid off once rates rebound.

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