Revenue Expansion And Regulatory Developments Will Drive Operational Efficiency Forward

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

23 Feb 25

Updated

08 Dec 25

Views

230

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

37.8%

7D

7.2%

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1Y

37.8%

7D

7.2%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 9 4:20 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

CHF 33.898.6% overvalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 08 Dec 25

Fair value Increased 0.37%

UBSG: Medium-Term Earnings And Capital Returns Will Withstand Escalating Regulatory Pressures

The analyst price target for UBS Group has inched higher, with fair value moving from approximately CHF 33.77 to CHF 33.89, as analysts factor in slightly stronger revenue growth expectations despite modestly softer margin assumptions and a marginally higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on UBS Group highlights a broadly constructive stance on the bank's medium term earnings power, with several upward revisions to price targets reflecting improved confidence in execution and capital return, even as a few houses turn more cautious on near term upside.

Shared on 24 Nov 25

UBSG: Medium-Term Profit Stability Will Support Shareholder Returns Despite Regulatory Uncertainty

UBS Group's analyst price target saw a moderate increase and rose to CHF 33.77, as analysts cited slightly improved revenue growth and stable profitability forecasts in their latest updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a nuanced outlook on UBS Group, with both bullish and cautious perspectives evident in recent analyst actions and commentary.

Shared on 09 Nov 25

Fair value Increased 1.26%

UBSG: Ongoing Margin Improvements Will Drive Stronger Shareholder Returns Ahead

The analyst price target for UBS Group has been raised slightly to CHF 33.77. Analysts cited improved profit margin forecasts and ongoing adjustments to growth expectations as key factors behind the increase.

Shared on 26 Oct 25

UBS Group's analyst price target has been raised modestly. Recent increases from CHF 27 to CHF 38 by various analysts reflect expectations for improved revenue growth and continued operational strength.

Shared on 12 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 2.01%

UBS Group's analyst price target has increased from CHF 32.69 to CHF 33.35. This reflects modest optimism as analysts cite improved earnings visibility and stronger risk management, which support a more favorable valuation outlook.

Shared on 28 Sep 25

Fair value Increased 1.75%

Analysts have raised their price targets for UBS Group to CHF32.69, citing improving long-term earnings prospects and the view that integration risks and macro headwinds are already reflected in the share price, with the stock expected to remain range-bound ahead of Q4 results. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite expanding earnings potential for UBS through 2028 as a driver for higher price targets.

Shared on 27 Aug 25

Fair value Increased 2.90%

The consensus analyst price target for UBS Group has been modestly raised to CHF31.91 as growing confidence in medium-term earnings expansion offsets caution around capital return policies and regulatory headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts expect UBS's earnings to continue expanding until at least 2028.

Shared on 01 May 25

Fair value Increased 6.97%

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 3.85%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased shares outstanding growth rate from -0.0% to 0.0%.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 3.90%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 1.32%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 2.0% to 3.2%.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 8.16%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 0.53%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 2.4% to 2.0%.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 0.91%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 1.3% to 2.4%.

Shared on 13 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 7.06%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 2.1% to 1.3% and decreased shares outstanding growth rate from -0.0% to -0.0%.

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

CHF 33.89

8.6% overvalued

Future estimation in

Growth p.a.

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

3.49%

Capital Markets revenue growth rate

0.25%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

8.91%

Calculation

US$13.23b

Earnings '28

x

12.50x

PE Ratio '28

=

US$165.45b

Market Cap '28

US$165.45b

Market Cap '28

/

3.04b

No. shares '28

=

US$54.43

Share Price '28

US$54.43 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 8.91% p.a.

=

US$42.13

Fair Value '25

US$42.13 Fair Value '25

Converted to CHF @ 0.8042 USD/CHF Exchange Rate

=

CHF 33.88

Fair Value '25