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Orezone Gold Corp. (ORE.TO) offers one of the most compelling asymmetric opportunities in the small-to-mid cap gold space.

Published
27 Jun 25
Updated
01 Jul 25
ipstocknews's Fair Value
CA$8.99
87.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
01 Jul
CA$1.14
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1Y
65.2%
7D
-11.6%

Author's Valuation

CA$9.0

87.3% undervalued intrinsic discount

ipstocknews's Fair Value

  • Orezone Gold represents one of the clearest high-conviction asymmetry setups in the TSX junior producer space. With a fully funded Stage I hard-rock expansion, a record-setting Q1 2025 earnings print, and trading at a valuation discount of >35% relative to peers, Orezone offers a powerful combination of profitability, scale-up potential, and re-rating runway.The company is transitioning from a niche oxide producer into a mid-tier gold platform, with forecasted output growth from ~118 koz in 2024 to 170–185 koz in 2026, and an optional Stage II ramp that could take it to 250 koz/yr. With no hedging, Orezone gives investors pure leverage to spot gold, which is especially attractive in today’s macro regime. Dimension ScoreCommentaryFundamentals🟢 8.5Clean balance sheet, profitable, strong marginsGrowth Leverage🟢 9.0Expansion pipeline and production ramp well structuredValuation🟢 8.0Deep discount to cash flow and EBITDA vs. peersSentiment & Technicals🟡 6.5Consolidating after +75% YTD; MACD turning down short-termGeopolitical Risk🔴 3.5Burkina exposure dominates downside profileInsider Alignment🟢 7.5CEO holds significant equity; no recent insider selling

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Disclaimer

The user ipstocknews holds no position in TSX:ORE. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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