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Published
20 Jul 25
Updated
08 Jul 26
Views
333
Not Invested
Barrick MiningABX
ABX logo
Fair Value
CA$32.46
Share price08 Jul
CA$59.8984.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
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1Y61.08%
7D-11.38%

Decarbonization And Geopolitical Risks Will Compress Margins Further

AN
AnalystLowTarget
AnalystLowTarget

Analyst Low Target compiles bearish analysts opinions to create narratives which represent one standard deviation below the consensus price target, using forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls.

Published
20 Jul 25
Updated
08 Jul 26
Views
333
Not Invested
Fair ValueCA$32.46
Share priceCA$59.89
84.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates6

Shared on 08 Jul 26

Fair value Decreased 3.64%

ABX: Rich Multiple And Execution Risks Will Pressure Future Share Returns

Wall Street is dialing back what it thinks Barrick is worth, warning that the stock may have less room for mistakes if projects slip, costs rise, or metal prices don’t cooperate. The bigger question now is whether today’s market expectations are too hopeful given how sensitive the business looks to changing conditions.
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34 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 02 May 26

Fair value Decreased 27%

ABX: Lower P/E Outlook And Asset Split Will Pressure Shares

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Barrick Mining from about CA$46.30 to roughly CA$33.69, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue, profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple similar to recent price target resets seen across the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent bearish adjustments to fair value estimates for Barrick Mining echo a broader pattern of caution seen in other resource names.
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51 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 03 Apr 26

Fair value Decreased 8.72%

ABX: Lower Margin Outlook And Business Split Will Pressure Shares

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Barrick Mining, cutting the implied price target from about CA$50.72 to roughly CA$46.30 as they factor in a slightly lower profit margin outlook, a more modest future P/E and updated expectations for revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have recently become more cautious on mining and resource names, highlighting that sharp share price moves can quickly compress future return potential, even when company fundamentals are viewed as solid.
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31 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 06 Mar 26

Fair value Increased 5.72%

ABX: Planned Business Split Will Pressure Shares Despite Higher P/E Multiple

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Barrick Mining to CA$50.72 from CA$47.98, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Barrick Mining reported fourth quarter 2025 production of 871,000 ounces of gold and 62,000 tonnes of copper, and full year 2025 production of 3,255,000 ounces of gold and 220,000 tonnes of copper, compared with 3,911,000 ounces of gold and 195,000 tonnes of copper a year earlier (company announcement of operating results).
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71 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 20 Feb 26

Fair value Increased 14%

ABX: Planned Business Split And Rich P/E Will Pressure Shares

Analysts have lifted their CA$ fair value estimate for Barrick Mining to about CA$48 from roughly CA$42, pointing to updated assumptions that include a slightly higher discount rate, more moderate revenue growth and margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News The board is exploring a potential split of the business, with plans to spin off Barrick's premier North American mining operations into a separate listed company, following pressure from activist investor Elliott Investment Management (company announcement).
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34 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 22 Jan 26

Fair value Increased 36%

ABX: Future Corporate Split Will Weigh On Shares Despite Stronger Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Barrick Mining from US$31.15 to US$42.23, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple as the key drivers of the revised outlook. What's in the News Barrick Mining plans a leadership change in the finance team, with board member Helen Cai set to become Chief Financial Officer on March 1, 2026, following the departure of current CFO Graham Shuttleworth after the 2025 year end results.
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39 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Fair Value vs Share Price

CA$32.46
vs CA$59.8984.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture-3b23b2015201820212024202620272029Revenue US$23.0bEarnings US$5.6b
6.5%
Revenue growth
24.2%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

Stay ahead on Barrick Mining

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  • Narrative and analyst updates
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Company analysis

Outstanding track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.

Market capCA$102.3b
PB2.6x
Estimated Growth5.4%
Dividend Yield1.6%
Full analysis

CEO & management

Mark Hill
CEO
0.5yrs
CEO Tenure

Engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of mineral properties.

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