Mato Grosso Rail Investment Will Boost Brazilian Food Exports

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

02 Dec 24

Updated

08 Dec 25

Views

33

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

-20.4%

7D

-6.4%

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1Y

-20.4%

7D

-6.4%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 9 2:05 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

R$21.8432.6% undervalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 08 Dec 25

Fair value Decreased 3.17%

RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Improve As Margins Expand

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on Rumo to reflect a modest downward revision in fair value and revenue growth assumptions, partially offset by expectations for improved profit margins and a lower future price-to-earnings multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: reduced slightly from R$22.56 to R$21.84 per share, reflecting a modest downward revision in intrinsic valuation.

Shared on 24 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 2.01%

RAIL3: Future Profitability Will Strengthen As Margins Stabilize

Rumo's Analyst Price Target Sees Modest Adjustment Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Rumo from $23.02 to $22.56. This reflects more cautious expectations on revenue growth and profit margins in their latest assessment.

Shared on 14 Sep 25

Fair value Decreased 2.79%

The slight reduction in Rumo's fair value target to R$23.02 primarily reflects lowered consensus revenue growth expectations, despite some improvement in net profit margin. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Rumo The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen slightly from R$23.68 to R$23.02.

Shared on 30 Aug 25

Fair value Decreased 3.68%

Rumo’s consensus price target was revised downward to R$24.09, reflecting a weakening in fundamentals as the company’s net profit margin declined and its future P/E multiple increased. What's in the News Rumo S.A. announced an annual dividend of BRL 0.8104 per share.

Shared on 01 May 25

Fair value Decreased 3.05%

Shared on 23 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.12%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 2.79%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 2.51%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 3.70%

Shared on 12 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 11%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased profit margin from 35.0% to 21.9% and increased future PE multiple from 16.1x to 22.9x.

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

R$21.84

32.6% undervalued

Future estimation in

Growth p.a.

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

4.41%

Transportation revenue growth rate

0.25%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

23.24%

Calculation

R$3.77b

Earnings '28

x

20.16x

PE Ratio '28

=

R$75.96b

Market Cap '28

R$75.96b

Market Cap '28

/

1.87b

No. shares '28

=

R$40.60

Share Price '28

R$40.60 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 22.95% p.a.

=

R$21.84

Fair Value '25