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Ultrapar Participações Community
BOVESPA:UGPA3 Community
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Ultrapar Participações
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Undervalued
Overvalued
Ultrapar Participações
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Fuel Market Irregularities Will Squeeze Margins But Allow Limited Recovery
Key Takeaways Regulatory and tax reforms support Ultrapar's formal fuel margins, but persistent irregular practices and tougher competition limit margin and revenue growth potential. Investments in logistics and core business optimization provide stability, yet volatile costs and shrinking market share threaten consistent profit and long-term scale.
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R$19.00
FV
5.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-1.64%
Revenue growth p.a.
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16 days ago
author updated this narrative
Ultrapar Participações
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Urbanization And Digital Integration Will Expand Brazil's Retail Footprint
Key Takeaways Deeper automation, cross-asset integration, and rapid synergy capture could unlock considerably higher margins and cash flow than current market forecasts suggest. Strategic retail rollouts, digital innovation, and market consolidation position Ultrapar to gain market share, drive revenue growth, and exceed consensus performance expectations.
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R$27.74
FV
35.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.05%
Revenue growth p.a.
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17 days ago
author updated this narrative
Ultrapar Participações
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Urban Demand And Regulation Will Shape Brazil Energy Amid Risks
Key Takeaways Stricter regulation and middle-class growth in Brazil boost Ultrapar's margins, recurring revenue, and enable further expansion in retail and fuel segments. Logistics and clean energy initiatives diversify earnings, while financial discipline allows targeted investment and flexibility to enhance shareholder value.
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R$22.47
FV
20.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.64%
Revenue growth p.a.
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5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Your Valuation for
UGPA3
UGPA3
Ultrapar Participações
Your Fair Value
R$
Current Price
R$17.99
94.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
Growth estimate over
Annual revenue growth rate
5 Years
time period
%/yr
Decrease
Increase
Past
Future
0
160b
2015
2018
2021
2024
2025
2027
2030
Revenue R$159.9b
Earnings R$3.4b
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