Published

04 Dec 25

Updated

18 Aug 26

Views

Not Invested

SimsSGM

Fair Value

AU$18.25

Share price18 Aug

AU$24.1932.5% overvalued

1Y69.99%

7D2.67%

AI And Data Center Shifts Will Pressure Scrap Demand And Future Earnings Potential

AnalystLowTarget

Analyst Low Target compiles bearish analysts opinions to create narratives which represent one standard deviation below the consensus price target, using forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls.

Published

04 Dec 25

Updated

18 Aug 26

Views

Not Invested

Shared on 18 Aug 26

Fair value Decreased 4.39%

SGM: FY26 Guidance Strength Will Likely Sustain Elevated Overvaluation Risk

Sims gives a much stronger outlook than analysts expected for the year ahead, and that optimism is already pushing targets higher. The bigger question now is whether the market is getting ahead of what the business can realistically deliver.

1 view

Shared on 28 Jul 26

Fair value Increased 50%

SGM: FY26 Guidance Strength Will Likely Mask Overvaluation Risk

Sims issues upbeat guidance for next year, and analysts quickly raise their target — but the share price may already be baking in more good news than the business can deliver. See what changed in the assumptions behind the new estimate and why the risk of paying too much could be easy to miss.

3 views

Fair Value vs Share Price

AU$18.25

vs AU$24.1932.5% overvalued

1.8%

Revenue growth

3.2%

Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

Stay ahead on Sims

Fair value estimate changes
Narrative and analyst updates
Key company announcements

Company analysis

Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.

Market capAU$4.6b

PB1.8x

Estimated Growth2.9%

Dividend Yield1.7%

Full analysis

CEO & management

Stephen Mikkelsen

CEO

4.1yrs

CEO Tenure

Engages in buying, processing, and selling of ferrous and non-ferrous recycled metals in Australia, India, Thailand, China, Turkey, the United States, and internationally.