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Published
14 Dec 25
Updated
26 Aug 26
Views
74
Not Invested
Sandfire ResourcesSFR
SFR logo
Fair Value
AU$19.2
Share price26 Aug
AU$20.667.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
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1Y64.88%
7D-8.18%

Copper Production Challenges And Rising Project Complexity Will Limit Upside Over The Coming Years

AN
AnalystLowTarget
AnalystLowTarget

Analyst Low Target compiles bearish analysts opinions to create narratives which represent one standard deviation below the consensus price target, using forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls.

Published
14 Dec 25
Updated
26 Aug 26
Views
74
Not Invested
Fair ValueAU$19.2
Share priceAU$20.66
7.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates3

Shared on 26 Aug 26

Fair value Increased 20%

SFR: Recent Downgrades Will Likely Cap Further Upside Near Term

Some analysts are turning more cautious on Sandfire Resources, arguing the recent share price jump already reflects steady operations and a supportive copper market. With results and guidance seen as merely in line, they suggest the stock may struggle to move higher unless the company delivers an unexpected boost or a fresh growth trigger emerges.
Read more
3 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 08 Aug 26

Fair value Increased 6.34%

SFR: Recent Downgrade May Signal Limited Upside Despite Rich Earnings Multiple

Sandfire Resources gets a small lift in one analyst’s estimate, but the same overall target and a fresh downgrade suggest expectations may already be stretched. With weaker assumptions for future sales growth and profit kept on each sale, the update raises the question of how much upside is left from here.
Read more
8 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 27 Jun 26

Fair value Increased 32%

SFR: Rising Copper Prices May Not Justify Rich Earnings Multiple

Copper prices are rising, but the market may still be expecting more from Sandfire Resources than its future results can comfortably deliver. Watch for upcoming updates from its main operations in Spain and Botswana, plus a new resource estimate, which could reshape expectations for what comes next.
Read more
9 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Fair Value vs Share Price

AU$19.2
vs AU$20.667.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture-65m2b2015201820212024202620272029Revenue US$1.6bEarnings US$351.0m
-1.5%
Revenue growth
22.2%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

Stay ahead on Sandfire Resources

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  • Narrative and analyst updates
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Company analysis

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.

Market capAU$9.6b
PB3.1x
Estimated Growth1.6%
Dividend Yield8.5%
Full analysis

CEO & management

Brendan Harris
CEO
3.0yrs
CEO Tenure

Engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral tenements and projects.

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