S32: Upcoming Asset Sale And Production Outlook Will Affect Future Returns

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

25 Apr 25

Updated

15 Dec 25

Views

561

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

0.9%

7D

-5.3%

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1Y

0.9%

7D

-5.3%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 16 9:10 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

AU$3.483.2% undervalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 15 Dec 25

Fair value Increased 3.07%

S32: Cannington Sale Prospects Will Shape Outlook Amid Steady Earnings Expectations

Narrative Update on South32 The analyst price target for South32 has been raised from $3.38 to $3.48 as analysts factor in slightly stronger long term revenue growth and higher future valuation multiples. This is partially offset by modestly lower profit margin expectations and a marginally higher discount rate.

Shared on 29 Nov 25

Fair value Increased 1.64%

S32: Outlook Will Balance Cannington Sale Process And Consistent Earnings Performance

Analysts have slightly increased their price target for South32, raising the estimated fair value from $3.32 to $3.38 per share. This adjustment reflects updated discount rate assumptions.

Shared on 15 Nov 25

Fair value Increased 0.57%

S32: Outlook Will Reflect Mine Sale Talks And Stable Operations Into 2026

South32’s analyst price target has been modestly raised from $3.30 to $3.32, as analysts cite improved revenue growth forecasts. This increase is partially offset by a slightly higher discount rate and a marginally lower profit margin outlook.

Shared on 01 Nov 25

Fair value Increased 1.24%

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for South32, raising the fair value estimate from $3.26 to $3.30. They cite updated views on discount rates as well as the outlook for growth and profitability.

Shared on 17 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 5.07%

Analysts have raised their price target for South32 from $3.11 to $3.26. This change reflects improved expectations based on higher forecast revenue growth and profit margins.

Shared on 03 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 1.90%

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for South32, increasing it from $3.05 to $3.11 per share. They cited slightly improved revenue growth expectations, along with minor adjustments to forecast discount rates and profit margins.

Shared on 27 Aug 25

Fair value Decreased 8.17%

A significant reduction in expected revenue growth and a sharp rise in the future P/E multiple have driven a slight downward revision in South32’s consensus analyst price target, now at A$3.27. What's in the News South32 has signaled significant uncertainty over securing sufficient and affordable electricity for the Mozal Aluminium smelter beyond March 2026, triggering halted investment, pot relining stoppage, and contractor stand-downs; Mozal is likely to be placed on care and maintenance once the current agreement expires.

Shared on 01 May 25

Fair value Decreased 1.29%

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

AU$3.48

3.2% undervalued

Future estimation in

Growth p.a.

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

3.05%

Metals and Mining revenue growth rate

18.09%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

8.02%

Calculation

US$972.84m

Earnings '28

x

13.28x

PE Ratio '28

=

US$12.92b

Market Cap '28

US$12.92b

Market Cap '28

/

4.43b

No. shares '28

=

US$2.92

Share Price '28

US$2.92 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 8.01% p.a.

=

US$2.31

Fair Value '25

US$2.31 Fair Value '25

Converted to AUD @ 1.5035 USD/AUD Exchange Rate

=

AU$3.47

Fair Value '25