DashboardPortfoliosWatchlistCommunityDiscoverScreener
  • Community
  • /
  • Australia
  • /
  • Materials
Published
25 Jul 26
Views
85
Invested
South32S32
S32 logo
Fair Value
AU$4.17
Share price25 Jul
AU$5.2425.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
Loading
1Y106.30%
7D0.58%

S32 on Solid Ground

JA
Jamesiskindacool
Jamesiskindacool

Author hasn't set their bio yet

Published
25 Jul 26
Views
85
Invested
Fair ValueAU$4.17
Share priceAU$5.24
25.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates0

At A$4.167 per share, South32 (ASX: S32) appears reasonably valued based on its current operating performance. South32 reports in US dollars and recorded first-half FY26 underlying earnings of US$435 million, or approximately US 9.7 cents per share. Annualising this result and using an exchange rate of US$0.70 per Australian dollar gives earnings of approximately A$0.277 per share and a P/E ratio of around 15 times.

Underlying EBITDA increased by 9% to US$1.1 billion, while underlying earnings increased by 16%. The interim dividend of US 3.9 cents per share, together with the previous US 2.6-cent dividend, represents a trailing fully franked yield of approximately 2.2% at the assessed price.

This assessment is based mainly on South32’s current operations and does not fully account for the proposed sale of its aluminium assets to Alcoa, the development of the Hermosa project or future copper and zinc growth. These may change the company’s earnings and value over time, but remain subject to transaction approval, project costs, commodity prices and operating performance.

Have other thoughts on South32?

Create your own narrative on this stock, and estimate its Fair Value using our Valuator tool.

Create Narrative

How well do narratives help inform your perspective?

Comments

0 comments

Disclaimer

The user Jamesiskindacool has a position in ASX:S32. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

Read more narratives

S32 logo
South32
13.3% undervalued intrinsic discount

Energy Transition Metals Demand Will Drive Strong Long Term Earnings Power

View narrative
AN
AnalystHighTarget
AnalystHighTarget
Updated 3 Sep
Read Narrative
S32 logo
South32
28.8% overvalued intrinsic discount

Electrification Expansion And Hermosa Build-Out Will Likely Pressure Margins And Cash Flows

View narrative
AN
AnalystLowTarget
AnalystLowTarget
Updated 31 Jul
Read Narrative
S32 logo
South32
11.1% overvalued intrinsic discount

S32: Upcoming Asset Sale And Production Outlook Will Affect Future Returns

View narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AnalystConsensusTarget
Updated 19 Jun
Read Narrative

Fair Value vs Share Price

AU$4.17
vs AU$5.2425.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture-2b9b20152018202120242026202720302031Revenue US$8.3bEarnings US$552.1m
7%
Revenue growth
6.7%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

Stay ahead on South32

  • Fair value estimate changes
  • Narrative and analyst updates
  • Key company announcements

Company analysis

Excellent balance sheet and good value.

Market capAU$23.8b
PB1.7x
Estimated Growth2.9%
Dividend Yield2.5%
Full analysis

CEO & management

Matthew Daley
CEO
4.3yrs
CEO Tenure

Operates as a diversified metals and mining company.

Make Better Investing Decisions Anywhere

Scan to download
Open AppStoreOpen Google Play
Chrome Web Store
Level 5, 320 Pitt Street, Sydney
Financial Data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC, analysis provided by Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd. Copyright © 2026, S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. All rights reserved.
View Data Sources
Markets
  • US: NYSE & NASDAQ
  • UK: FTSE
  • Australia: ASX
  • India: NIFTY
  • Canada: TSX
  • South Africa: JSE
  • Japan: NIKKEI
  • South Korea: KOSPI
  • Germany: DAX
Investing Ideas
  • Undervalued Companies
  • Dividend Powerhouses
  • Insider Buying
  • Nuclear Energy
  • Autonomous Vehicles
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Crypto and Blockchain
  • Cybersecurity
  • More ideas
Stock Communities
  • AstraZeneca
  • HSBC Holdings
  • Shell
  • Unilever
  • Diageo
  • Rio Tinto Group
  • RELX
  • BP
  • Barclays
Features & Tools
  • Portfolio Tracker
  • Stock Screener & Alerts
  • Narratives & Fair Values
  • Dividend Calculator
News & Discovery
  • Latest Stock News
  • Global Market Insights
  • The Foxhole
  • Investing Ideas
  • Community Narratives
  • What's New
Simply Wall St
  • Plans & Pricing
  • Advertising
  • About Us
  • Contact Us
  • Careers
  • Help Center
  • Learn Stock Investing
  • Affiliate Program
  • Business & Enterprise
  • Charlie AI
Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.
© 2026 Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd, US Design Patent #29/544/281, Community and European Design Registration #2845206
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Privacy Policy
  • AI Terms
  • Financial Services Guide