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Tourmaline Oil Corp.TSX:TOU Stock Report

Market Cap CA$25.2b
Share Price
n/a
1Y6.2%
7D4.3%
1D0.4%
Portfolio Value
View

Tourmaline Oil Corp.

TSX:TOU Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$25.2b

Tourmaline Oil (TOU) Stock Overview

Engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of petroleum and natural gas properties in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. More details

TOU fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends1/6

TOU Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 149 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Tourmaline Oil Corp. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Tourmaline Oil
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceCA$65.16
52 Week HighCA$70.57
52 Week LowCA$56.72
Beta0.25
1 Month Change8.85%
3 Month Change8.91%
1 Year Change6.23%
3 Year Change-4.83%
5 Year Change91.31%
Change since IPO215.54%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update Jun 16

TOU: Production Guidance And Mixed Ratings Will Shape Bullish Multi Year Path

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Tourmaline Oil stock slightly lower to CA$71.45 from CA$71.50. This reflects a blend of recent target cuts from BMO and Canaccord alongside higher price targets from Raymond James and Morgan Stanley, while leaving the overall earnings and discount rate assumptions effectively unchanged.
Narrative Update Jun 02

TOU: Mixed Rating Revisions And Production Plans Will Shape Multi Year Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Tourmaline Oil to CA$71.50 from CA$71.02, citing recent mixed revisions to Street price targets, modest adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a slightly lower future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Tourmaline Oil reflects a mix of optimism around the company’s execution and long term positioning, alongside some caution on valuation and forward assumptions.

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 16

TOU: Production Guidance And Mixed Ratings Will Shape Bullish Multi Year Path

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Tourmaline Oil stock slightly lower to CA$71.45 from CA$71.50. This reflects a blend of recent target cuts from BMO and Canaccord alongside higher price targets from Raymond James and Morgan Stanley, while leaving the overall earnings and discount rate assumptions effectively unchanged.
Narrative Update Jun 02

TOU: Mixed Rating Revisions And Production Plans Will Shape Multi Year Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Tourmaline Oil to CA$71.50 from CA$71.02, citing recent mixed revisions to Street price targets, modest adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a slightly lower future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Tourmaline Oil reflects a mix of optimism around the company’s execution and long term positioning, alongside some caution on valuation and forward assumptions.
Narrative Update Apr 24

TOU: Higher P/E Assumptions And Asset Sale Will Shape Multi Year Outlook

Analysts have lifted their average price target on Tourmaline Oil by roughly CA$4 to CA$5 in recent weeks, with the mixed set of revisions reflecting updated views on revenue growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Tourmaline Oil show a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and at least one downgrade on the stock.
Narrative Update Apr 10

TOU: Asset Sale And Cost Efficiencies Will Shape Multi Year Outlook

The fair value estimate for Tourmaline Oil has been nudged higher to CA$71.17 from CA$70.64, reflecting a series of recent analyst price target revisions that include several increases in the CA$1 to CA$5 range alongside some modest trims. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Tourmaline Oil shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets in a relatively tight CA$67 to CA$74 range and one downgrade on the rating front.
Narrative Update Mar 26

TOU: Asset Sale And Balance Sheet Moves Will Shape Multi Year Outlook

Tourmaline Oil's fair value estimate has inched higher from CA$70.34 to CA$70.64 as analysts adjust price targets in a tight CA$67 to CA$74 range, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street Research on Tourmaline Oil points to a relatively tight cluster of price targets between CA$67 and CA$74, with several firms updating their views in quick succession.
Narrative Update Mar 12

TOU: Asset Sales And Margin Shift Will Shape Multi Year Outlook

Narrative update on Tourmaline Oil The updated fair value estimate for Tourmaline Oil edges up to CA$70.34 from CA$70.27, as analysts factor in a lower future P/E assumption alongside higher profit margin expectations. These changes align with recent mixed but generally supportive price target revisions, including increases to CA$74 and CA$67 and an adjustment to CA$68.
Narrative Update Feb 25

TOU: Asset Sale And Margin Assumptions Will Support Multi Year Streamlining

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Tourmaline Oil slightly higher to about CA$70.27 per share from roughly CA$70.22, as recent price target cuts and a downgrade are weighed against updated assumptions on profit margins and forward P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the small lift in fair value to about CA$70.27 as a sign that updated margin and P/E assumptions still support a valuation close to prior levels, even after recent target changes.
Narrative Update Feb 11

TOU: Gas Export Ramp Will Support Multi Year Portfolio Streamlining Plan

Analysts have inched their fair value estimate for Tourmaline Oil up to about CA$70.22 from CA$70.09, citing updated discount rate assumptions, a slightly higher future P/E multiple, and refreshed Street targets that include recent price target trims and a downgrade. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are still anchoring on a P/E framework that supports a fair value close to the current CA$70 range, which suggests they see the business as capable of supporting that earnings multiple over time.
Narrative Update Jan 27

TOU: LNG Export Ramp Will Support Multi Year Gas Production Plan

Analysts have trimmed their average fair value estimate for Tourmaline Oil to about $70 from roughly $71.60, reflecting recent target cuts and slightly softer assumptions for margins and growth, partly offset by a modestly higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of modest price target reductions on Tourmaline Oil, with analysts adjusting their models to reflect updated guidance and new assumptions for the next few years.
Narrative Update Jan 11

TOU: LNG Export Ramp Will Support Long Term Gas Production Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Tourmaline Oil to about $71.57 from $73. This reflects slightly lower price targets and more conservative assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, even as interest in the company's natural gas exposure remains supported by recent research coverage.
Narrative Update Dec 14

TOU: LNG Exports Will Drive Long Term Gas Volume Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Tourmaline Oil slightly higher to about C$73 from roughly C$72.71, citing a combination of modestly stronger long term revenue growth and margin assumptions that offsets recent mixed target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Tourmaline Oil has turned more nuanced, with recent target trims balancing out fresh positive initiations and leaving a mixed but generally constructive outlook on the shares.
Narrative Update Nov 30

TOU: LNG Export Capacity Will Drive Production Expansion Into Next Decade

Tourmaline Oil's analyst price target has been modestly reduced, with updated forecasts now reflecting a decrease of approximately C$2 to C$3 per share as analysts adjust for revised 2025 guidance and evolving market conditions. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates on Tourmaline Oil reflect a range of perspectives on the company’s outlook, valuation, and growth drivers as market conditions and guidance for 2025 and beyond continue to evolve.
Analysis Article Nov 17

Tourmaline Oil's (TSE:TOU) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

A lackluster earnings announcement from Tourmaline Oil Corp. ( TSE:TOU ) last week didn't sink the stock price. Our...
Narrative Update Nov 16

TOU: Upcoming LNG Export Capacity Will Drive Production Expansion Through 2025

Tourmaline Oil's analyst price target has decreased modestly from approximately C$73.57 to C$72.90, as analysts cite recalibrated fair value estimates and a slightly higher discount rate. These factors are partially offset by improved revenue growth and profit margin outlooks.
Narrative Update Nov 01

TOU: LNG Export Capacity Increases Will Drive Natural Gas Market Inflection

Analysts have slightly lowered their average price target for Tourmaline Oil by C$0.38 to C$73.57. They cite mixed views on natural gas fundamentals and company growth prospects.
Narrative Update Oct 17

Canadian LNG Exports Will Open Premium Global Markets

Tourmaline Oil’s analyst price target has been trimmed modestly by analysts to near C$74. This reduction of less than 1 percent reflects slightly softer expectations for revenue growth and profit margins in light of evolving market fundamentals and recent industry research updates.
Narrative Update Oct 03

Canadian LNG Exports Will Open Premium Global Markets

Analysts have slightly reduced their price targets for Tourmaline Oil, with consensus forecasts moving from approximately C$75 to C$74. This adjustment reflects updated expectations for growth and profitability.
User avatar
New Narrative Nov 09

Critical Expansion And Innovation Set To Ignite Growth In The Energy Sector

Strategic timing of operations to coincide with potential higher gas prices could boost revenue and earnings significantly.

Shareholder Returns

TOUCA Oil and GasCA Market
7D4.3%3.7%0.6%
1Y6.2%46.7%28.6%

Return vs Industry: TOU underperformed the Canadian Oil and Gas industry which returned 46.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: TOU underperformed the Canadian Market which returned 28.6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is TOU's price volatile compared to industry and market?
TOU volatility
TOU Average Weekly Movement3.6%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement7.7%
Market Average Movement9.4%
10% most volatile stocks in CA Market16.3%
10% least volatile stocks in CA Market3.6%

Stable Share Price: TOU has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Canadian market.

Volatility Over Time: TOU's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
2008544Mike Rosewww.tourmalineoil.com

Tourmaline Oil Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of petroleum and natural gas properties in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. The company holds interests in properties located in the Alberta Deep Basin, Northeast British Columbia Montney, and the Peace River High Triassic oil complex. Tourmaline Oil Corp. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Tourmaline Oil Corp. Fundamentals Summary

How do Tourmaline Oil's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
TOU fundamental statistics
Market capCA$25.20b
Earnings (TTM)CA$707.55m
Revenue (TTM)CA$4.64b
35.8x
P/E Ratio
5.4x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
TOU income statement (TTM)
RevenueCA$4.64b
Cost of RevenueCA$2.50b
Gross ProfitCA$2.14b
Other ExpensesCA$1.43b
EarningsCA$707.55m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

Jul 29, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)1.82
Gross Margin46.07%
Net Profit Margin15.23%
Debt/Equity Ratio6.9%

How did TOU perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.1%
Current Dividend Yield
109%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/24 04:12
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/24 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Tourmaline Oil Corp. is covered by 37 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harshit GuptaAccountability Research Corporation
Patrick O'RourkeATB Cormark
Kalvin BaimATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities)