The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that AUX International Holdings Limited (HKG:2080) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
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What Is AUX International Holdings's Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that AUX International Holdings had HK$74.8m in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds HK$282.8m in cash, so it actually has HK$208.0m net cash.
How Healthy Is AUX International Holdings' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, AUX International Holdings had liabilities of HK$192.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$90.3m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$282.8m and HK$69.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast HK$69.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This luscious liquidity implies that AUX International Holdings' balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that AUX International Holdings has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
On top of that, AUX International Holdings grew its EBIT by 74% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is AUX International Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. AUX International Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, AUX International Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case AUX International Holdings has HK$208.0m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of HK$31m, being 104% of its EBIT. At the end of the day we're not concerned about AUX International Holdings's debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for AUX International Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
This article has been translated from its original English version, which you can find here.