Intrepid Potash, Inc.

NYSE:IPI Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: US$454.6m

Intrepid Potash Gelecekteki Büyüme

Future kriter kontrolleri 0/6

Intrepid Potash'in gelirinin yıllık 2% oranında azalacağı tahmin edilmektedir.

Anahtar bilgiler

n/a

Kazanç büyüme oranı

n/a

EPS büyüme oranı

Chemicals kazanç büyümesi17.0%
Gelir büyüme oranı-2.0%
Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi1.33%
Analist kapsamı

Low

Son güncelleme14 May 2026

Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Jun 15

Intrepid Potash: Down Significantly, Looking At H2 '26

Summary Intrepid Potash, Inc. remains a high-risk, speculative fertilizer play with a downgraded price target of $15/share and a reiterated Hold rating. IPI's lack of dividend, volatile earnings outlook, and subpar cost structure undermine its appeal despite being debt-free and cash-rich from recent asset sales. The recent $50M share buyback at elevated valuations raises concerns over management's capital allocation discipline amid deteriorating fundamentals. With negative long-term returns, high COGS, and a limited margin of safety, IPI's upside is constrained unless cost competitiveness improves materially. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi • May 15

Intrepid Potash's (NYSE:IPI) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like Intrepid Potash, Inc.'s ( NYSE:IPI...
Analiz Makalesi • Jan 15

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Intrepid Potash, Inc. (NYSE:IPI) With Shares Advancing 28%

The Intrepid Potash, Inc. ( NYSE:IPI ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of...
Analiz Makalesi • Nov 07

There's Reason For Concern Over Intrepid Potash, Inc.'s (NYSE:IPI) Price

It's not a stretch to say that Intrepid Potash, Inc.'s ( NYSE:IPI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x right now...
Analiz Makalesi • Jul 25

Intrepid Potash (NYSE:IPI) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop...
Analiz Makalesi • May 04

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Intrepid Potash, Inc. (NYSE:IPI) With Shares Advancing 29%

The Intrepid Potash, Inc. ( NYSE:IPI ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 26

Intrepid Potash: The Recovery May Be Just Getting Started

Summary I maintain my "Buy" rating on Intrepid Potash stock due to recent strength, potential higher potash prices, and promising earnings outlook. IPI benefits from being the sole domestic potash producer in the U.S., with cost-effective production methods and potential gains from upcoming tariffs on Canadian imports. The company's production levels and EBITDA are improving, with significant cost savings and strategic initiatives under the new CEO driving future growth prospects. While risks exist, including potential market flooding by Canadian producers, IPI's solid balance sheet and operational improvements position it well for future shareholder returns. If the new tariffs are fully implemented, this should keep pushing the potash pricing higher, making IPI quite well-positioned to beat the currently depressed EPS consensus. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi • Jan 30

Intrepid Potash, Inc. (NYSE:IPI) Stock Rockets 28% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

Intrepid Potash, Inc. ( NYSE:IPI ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...
Seeking Alpha • Oct 06

Intrepid Potash: A Low-Risk, High-Uncertainty Value Opportunity

Summary Intrepid Potash offers a "low-risk, high uncertainty" value opportunity with a clean balance sheet, positive cash flow, and cheap valuation despite short-term uncertainties. The company faces headwinds such as declining potash prices and the sudden departure of its long-tenured CEO, who is also the largest shareholder. Upside potential includes improved production volumes and capital allocation changes under new leadership, especially if potash prices rebound. While facing indefinite headwinds, IPI is quietly setting up for long-term returns with a low risk of ruin and a high chance of a large payoff. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi • Sep 18

A Look At The Fair Value Of Intrepid Potash, Inc. (NYSE:IPI)

Key Insights Intrepid Potash's estimated fair value is US$27.22 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With US$25.28...
Seeking Alpha • Jul 25

Intrepid Potash's Lack Of Future Cash Flow Potential Offset By An Attractive Asset Valuation

Summary IPI is overvalued from a cash flow perspective but undervalued from an asset perspective. With CEO Bob Jornayvaz unlikely to return, there is potential for a new CEO to sell off parts of the business. IPI's business primarily sales decreased due to falling potash prices, which look to be improving. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi • May 10

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Intrepid Potash, Inc.'s (NYSE:IPI) P/S

It's not a stretch to say that Intrepid Potash, Inc.'s ( NYSE:IPI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x right now...
Seeking Alpha • May 02

Intrepid Potash: Undervalued And Potentially Rewarding The Patient

Summary Intrepid Potash shares have been stagnant at around $20 per share, but the market is undervaluing the company compared to its tangible book value. The company is a producer of potash, an essential compound used in agriculture, animal feed, and the oil and gas industry. Despite current low potash prices, there is potential for a rebound due to future supply constraints and increasing demand. Shares are a buy with a price target of $35. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi • Jan 06

Intrepid Potash, Inc.'s (NYSE:IPI) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.4x in the Chemicals industry in the United States, you...
Analiz Makalesi • Dec 15

The Returns At Intrepid Potash (NYSE:IPI) Aren't Growing

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Seeking Alpha • Nov 08

The Bottom Fishing Club: Intrepid Potash

Summary Intrepid Potash's stock price has dropped significantly due to bearish potash commodity pricing and weak forecasts for 2024. The company has a strong balance sheet with no debt, and a market capitalization that is significantly below tangible book value. Shares are substantially undervalued and unloved today, holding the potential to double or triple in price over the next 2-3 years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 13

Intrepid Potash: Stay Away As Market Conditions Worsen Significantly

Summary Intrepid Potash has shown short-term bullish momentum but is expected to face challenges due to the poor pricing environment for potash and I think the price will continue to go lower. The company's potash segment makes up a significant portion of its sales, but the average potash price per ton has decreased, impacting earnings, and creating a risky investment scenario. Comparing IPI to Nutrien shows that it has underperformed in terms of stock performance, valuation, and margins, making Nutrien a more favorable option. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi • Sep 08

Intrepid Potash (NYSE:IPI) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see...
Seeking Alpha • Jun 22

Intrepid Potash: Why I Called It A Day (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Intrepid Potash, Inc. hasn't performed as expected, leading to a cautious stance on the stock despite its current low price. Potash prices have continued to decline, debunking the belief that they would rebound after the Russian invasion and challenging the narrative of limited potash exports. Comparables with the previous year present challenges, and it remains uncertain whether 2024 will offer meaningfully better prospects for Intrepid Potash. Altogether, I'm neutral this name. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi • May 05

Here's Why Intrepid Potash (NYSE:IPI) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
Seeking Alpha • Jan 13

Intrepid Potash: Promising But Not At This Price

Summary Lukewarm financial year, recovering from a price bubble. Production is projected to increase in 2023. The company has good fundamentals, but the valuation is still too high. Introduction Over the past year, Intrepid Potash Incorporated (IPI) stock has fallen by 25.19% due to high fertilizer costs and the popping of a bubble created by potash supply shock due to the War in Ukraine. While this wasn't its best year, the company continues to show growth in revenue and sales and benefits from secular growth. Still, not only are macroeconomic risks prevalent, the stock is not trading at an attractive valuation to warrant a sufficient margin of safety. As a result, we place a HOLD rating on the stock and recommend waiting for better buying opportunities. Company Financials Overview IPI is a diversified mineral company that produces potassium (potash), sulfur, salt, and water products that are essential in agriculture, animal feed, and the oil & gas industry. However, it's main two products, which accounted for 91% of total company revenue in Q3 2022, are Potash and its specialty fertilizer Trio. All extraction and production of products are conducted entirely within the United States, with IPI being the only American producer of potash. The locations of extraction and production, or its mines, are concentrated mostly in New Mexico, with the rest coming from Utah. From Q3 2021 to 2022 IPI's financials have been mixed. Over this period, revenue increased by 36% and net profit decreased by 5%. On top of that, net profit margins increased from 10% to 25%. While the company saw some success throughout 2022, it ultimately ended up having a lukewarm year as it saw a great spike in earnings in the middle of the year and later experienced a decline in earnings back to levels not inflated by a supply shock. As a result, the market rightly priced in the decline in earnings. However, the company is still on track to grow, as analysts are predicting earnings that are still above 2019 and 2020 levels before the artificial spike. Seeking Alpha Tailwinds Future Increased Production Through Expansions and Projects IPI has had an intense focus on increasing its Potash and Trio production. According to its Q3 2022 earnings call transcript, one focus is IPI's Moab Cavern Drilling Program, which is on track to have brine production from a new cavern in Moab, Utah by early Q1 of 2023. This brine will be available for the 2023 evaporation season, which in turn will increase Moab's potash production. At its Carlsbad, New Mexico HB Solar Solution mine, they remain on track to significantly increase brine injection rates into the mine in the first quarter of 2023. The more brine injected directly correlates to the future production of additional products. At the Wendover mine, for the first time in several years, they have recently completed their first new deep brine as well. IPI expects to drill more wells in 2023 to sustain the anticipated increased production for numerous years to come. All these projects are extremely promising during a time when the supply of fertilizer is low and demand and price is high. The Projected Strength of the United States Cattle Market in 2023 In Q3 2022, animal feed alongside industrial sales comprised up to 40% of IPI company sales. It is important to note that the war with Russia and Ukraine has also affected livestock feed supply and prices throughout 2022. Farmers in the Midwestern U.S. were financially strained by the war, which in turn disrupted feed exports (primarily corn). However, the initial storm has subsided and the feed market is in for a rebound. Decreasing supply of cattle resulting from the contraction in the cattle industry from 2022 should combine with resurgent demand to provide support for prices throughout the year. If demand for cattle rises, especially for beef production, for which the outlook is very positive, then demand for cattle or livestock feed will also increase. IPI can benefit from this in two ways. First, IPI could capitalize on the increased demand for animal feed with its line of products. Second, since increasing demand for corn or soybeans as an animal feed directly correlates to demand fertilizers in the United States, IPI could seriously profit moving forward through its potash and trio fertilizers. Risk Farmers Deviating from Potassium (Potash) Fertilizers With IPI's potash segment making 54% of its company's revenue throughout the three quarters in 2022, the potash market is both the greatest opportunity for growth and carries the most risk. In 2022, the potash market experienced a supply shock due to the rapid disappearance of Ukrainian and then Russian potash. This resulted in rapid spikes in price, which subsequently resulted in a significant drop in demand, precipitating a cutback in supply, followed by a fall in price. The inflated prices are predicted to drop between 25% to 30% in 2023. This has already been reflected in the poor earnings shown in Q3 2022. While the global shortage will exist soon, the shortage is not enough to counteract the price fluctuations which not only already have taken a big bite out of earnings but are projected to even more so. This anticipated trajectory in potash prices inherently brings uncertainty for IPI in the near future and greatly contributes to our recommendation against a purchase. Valuation Excel After performing a DCF analysis, we believe that IPI is overpriced. Using very optimistic assumptions: a 10% 5 YR growth rate, 7% terminal growth rate, and a 10% discount rate, our model still predicts a lower intrinsic value. Wall St isn't optimistic either, as UBS recently placed a sell rating on the stock, with a $29 price target. This valuation, corroborated by industry analysts shows that IPI is most likely overvalued. ESG IPI's potash is produced from solar solution mining, which is among the safest and most environmentally-friendly production methods. It does this through its Solar Evaporation Mines.

Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri

NYSE:IPI - Analistlerin gelecek tahminleri ve geçmiş finansal verileri (USD Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarSerbest Nakit AkışıFaaliyetlerden NakitAvg. Analist Sayısı
12/31/2028231N/AN/AN/A2
12/31/2027231N/AN/AN/A2
12/31/2026241N/AN/AN/A2
3/31/2026242154068N/A
12/31/2025238112656N/A
9/30/2025219-1972954N/A
6/30/2025222-2022654N/A
3/31/2025215-206742N/A
12/31/2024204-2133472N/A
9/30/2024206-433070N/A
6/30/2024204-482774N/A
3/31/2024221-432176N/A
12/31/2023231-36-2243N/A
9/30/20232416-3258N/A
6/30/202326226-4345N/A
3/31/202327545-2063N/A
12/31/2022294722089N/A
9/30/20222982924489N/A
6/30/202228328375111N/A
3/31/20222582797094N/A
12/31/20212232505979N/A
9/30/2021199255772N/A
6/30/2021178114759N/A
3/31/2021158-172235N/A
12/31/2020150-271531N/A
9/30/2020150-241230N/A
6/30/2020162-141941N/A
3/31/20201760-2356N/A
12/31/201917114N/A49N/A
9/30/201917619N/A49N/A
6/30/201916823N/A58N/A
3/31/201916216N/A58N/A
12/31/201816212N/A64N/A
9/30/20181583N/A59N/A
6/30/2018152-2N/A47N/A
3/31/2018144-7N/A32N/A
12/31/2017136-23N/A17N/A
9/30/2017128-38N/A6N/A
6/30/2017135-54N/A-11N/A
3/31/2017141-62N/A-19N/A
12/31/2016165-64N/A-15N/A
9/30/2016167-568N/A-34N/A
6/30/2016179-558N/A-32N/A
3/31/2016202-550N/A-11N/A
12/31/2015245-525N/A23N/A
9/30/2015295-1N/A66N/A
6/30/20153376N/A127N/A

Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri

Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: IPI 'un tahmini kazanç büyümesinin tasarruf oranının ( 3.5% ) üzerinde olup olmadığını belirlemek için yeterli veri yok.

Kazançlar ve Piyasa: IPI 'un kazançlarının US pazarından daha hızlı büyümesinin öngörülüp öngörülmediğini belirlemek için yeterli veri yok

Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: IPI şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içerisinde önemli ölçüde artıp artmayacağını belirlemek için yeterli veri bulunmuyor.

Gelir ve Pazar: IPI şirketinin gelirinin önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi bekleniyor (yılda -2% ).

Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: IPI şirketinin gelirinin önümüzdeki 3 yıl içinde düşmesi öngörülüyor (yılda -2% ).

Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri

Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi

Gelecekteki ROE: IPI 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde düşük olması tahmin ediliyor ( 1.3 %).

Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/06/20 21:15
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/06/18 00:00
Kazançlar2026/03/31
Yıllık Kazançlar2025/12/31

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntıları GitHub sayfamızda mevcuttur; ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınıza dair kılavuzlarımız ve YouTube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

Intrepid Potash, Inc. 19 Bu analistlerden 2, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
Peter WardBarclays
Farooq HamedBarclays
Edwin CheeBMO Capital Markets Equity Research