Toll Brothers Gelecekteki Büyüme
Future kriter kontrolleri 1/6
Toll Brothers kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 5.6% ve 5.2% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 9.3% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 15% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.
Anahtar bilgiler
5.6%
Kazanç büyüme oranı
9.28%
EPS büyüme oranı
| Consumer Durables kazanç büyümesi | 7.8% |
| Gelir büyüme oranı | 5.2% |
| Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi | 14.98% |
| Analist kapsamı | Good |
| Son güncelleme | 02 Jun 2026 |
Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri
Recent updates
TOL: Luxury Buyer Resilience And Cash Returns Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised down by $11 to $187 from $198, as analysts factor in updated views on peer multiples, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers show a mix of reduced targets and selective increases, as analysts recalibrate their views around peer valuations, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop.Results: Toll Brothers, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company...
TOL: Luxury Demand And Capital Returns Will Support Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been trimmed by $4.38 to $168.38, as analysts weigh expectations for stronger revenue growth and slightly higher profit margins against a higher discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple, following recent mixed rating and target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of optimism on earnings power and concerns about where the stock is currently trading, which helps explain the modest trim to the blended price target.Toll Brothers: Not An Easy Buy, But Valuation And Fundamentals Reassure Us
Summary Toll Brothers, Inc. remains a buy due to its cheap valuation, robust fundamentals, and strategic luxury market positioning. TOL trades at a P/E of 9.98x and a PEG of 0.80x, with a DDM-derived target price of $155.22, supporting upside potential. Resilient demand from affluent buyers, geographic diversification, and prudent debt management underpin TOL’s stability despite macroeconomic headwinds. Technical indicators suggest caution ahead of Q2 2026 results, but strong liquidity, M&A activity, and guidance for 2,400-2,500 home deliveries reinforce long-term growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Shape Balanced Outlook
The updated analyst price target for Toll Brothers reflects a modest trim of fair value to about $130, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions and slightly lower profit margins, while still recognizing differentiated positioning in higher end housing and a range of recent target increases from firms across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers over the past few months has centered on how much earnings power to ascribe to the higher end housing segment and what valuation multiple is appropriate after a strong run in homebuilder shares.TOL: Luxury Buyer Strength And Cash Returns Will Drive Future Upside
The analyst fair value estimate for Toll Brothers has increased to $198 from $181. Analysts are balancing slightly softer growth and margin assumptions with a higher future P/E and a series of recent target increases tied to Q1 results, relative valuation, and expectations for the luxury buyer.TOL: Luxury Demand And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Support Cautious Fair Value View
Analysts have lifted their average price targets on Toll Brothers into a higher $160 to $190 range, citing updated models after Q1 results, a view that the stock screens as undervalued versus its return on equity potential, and expectations that the company could be well positioned if luxury housing demand firms into 2027. Analyst Commentary Across Wall Street coverage, the latest research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of confidence in the business model and caution around housing demand, margins, and valuation.TOL: Luxury Resilience And 2027 Recovery Expectations Will Offset Near Term Margin Headwinds
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Toll Brothers to $132.97 from $119.55 as they update models for higher long term P/E assumptions, a slightly stronger margin outlook in what several firms describe as a resilient luxury segment, and a series of higher Street price targets ranging from about $116 to $198. Analyst Commentary Street research on Toll Brothers has become more active, with several firms adjusting price targets and framing expectations around margins, demand, and the luxury segment.TOL: Luxury Demand And Cash Returns Will Drive Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised from $154.13 to $172.75, as analysts highlight the company’s position in the luxury segment, its recent earnings outperformance, and a series of higher Street targets ranging from about $116 to $198. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers point to a wide spread of price targets, but a generally constructive tone around the company’s execution in the luxury segment and its earnings delivery.Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri
| Tarih | Gelir | Kazançlar | Serbest Nakit Akışı | Faaliyetlerden Nakit | Avg. Analist Sayısı |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/31/2028 | 12,087 | 1,404 | 1,460 | N/A | 5 |
| 10/31/2027 | 11,071 | 1,288 | 1,407 | 1,014 | 14 |
| 10/31/2026 | 10,746 | 1,209 | 1,458 | 834 | 14 |
| 4/30/2026 | 11,045 | 1,288 | 1,215 | 1,312 | N/A |
| 1/31/2026 | 11,253 | 1,380 | 1,453 | 1,540 | N/A |
| 10/31/2025 | 10,967 | 1,346 | 1,026 | 1,112 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 10,877 | 1,375 | 918 | 995 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 10,660 | 1,380 | 723 | 800 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 10,758 | 1,509 | 819 | 896 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 10,847 | 1,571 | 937 | 1,010 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 10,533 | 1,541 | 845 | 919 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 10,493 | 1,582 | 1,210 | 1,273 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 10,163 | 1,420 | 1,250 | 1,317 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 9,995 | 1,372 | 1,193 | 1,266 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 10,687 | 1,567 | 1,839 | 1,908 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 10,494 | 1,426 | 1,265 | 1,337 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 10,265 | 1,326 | 837 | 910 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 10,276 | 1,287 | 915 | 987 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 9,605 | 1,020 | 530 | 608 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 9,365 | 982 | 994 | 1,071 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 9,018 | 889 | 896 | 967 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 8,790 | 834 | 1,236 | 1,303 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 8,295 | 659 | 1,235 | 1,315 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 7,691 | 538 | 1,138 | 1,227 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 7,310 | 486 | 1,333 | 1,430 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 7,078 | 447 | 899 | 1,008 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 6,911 | 450 | 456 | 557 | N/A |
| 4/30/2020 | 7,025 | 481 | 239 | 332 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 7,192 | 535 | N/A | 256 | N/A |
| 10/31/2019 | 7,224 | 590 | N/A | 438 | N/A |
| 7/31/2019 | 7,300 | 699 | N/A | 685 | N/A |
| 4/30/2019 | 7,448 | 746 | N/A | 829 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 7,331 | 728 | N/A | 733 | N/A |
| 10/31/2018 | 7,143 | 748 | N/A | 588 | N/A |
| 7/31/2018 | 6,716 | 629 | N/A | 483 | N/A |
| 4/30/2018 | 6,305 | 584 | N/A | 396 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 6,070 | 597 | N/A | 611 | N/A |
| 10/31/2017 | 5,815 | 535 | N/A | 862 | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 5,643 | 458 | N/A | 882 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 5,410 | 415 | N/A | 408 | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 5,162 | 379 | N/A | 196 | N/A |
| 10/31/2016 | 5,170 | 382 | N/A | 151 | N/A |
| 7/31/2016 | 4,751 | 415 | N/A | -154 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 4,509 | 376 | N/A | 82 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 4,246 | 355 | N/A | 70 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 4,171 | 363 | N/A | 60 | N/A |
| 7/31/2015 | 4,085 | 348 | N/A | 163 | N/A |
Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri
Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: TOL 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 5.6% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.5% ) üzerindedir.
Kazançlar ve Piyasa: TOL şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 5.6% ) US pazarından (yıllık 16.8% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: TOL şirketinin kazançlarının artması bekleniyor, ancak önemli ölçüde.
Gelir ve Pazar: TOL şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 5.2% ) US pazarından (yıllık 11.8% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: TOL şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 5.2% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri
Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi
Gelecekteki ROE: TOL 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde düşük olması tahmin ediliyor ( 15 %).
Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin
Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu
| Veri | Son Güncelleme (UTC saati) |
|---|---|
| Şirket Analizi | 2026/06/08 14:46 |
| Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı | 2026/06/05 00:00 |
| Kazançlar | 2026/04/30 |
| Yıllık Kazançlar | 2025/10/31 |
Veri Kaynakları
Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.
| Paket | Veri | Zaman Çerçevesi | Örnek ABD Kaynağı * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Şirket Finansalları | 10 yıl |
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| Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri | +3 yıl |
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| Piyasa Fiyatları | 30 yıl |
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| Sahiplik | 10 yıl |
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| Yönetim | 10 yıl |
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| Önemli Gelişmeler | 10 yıl |
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* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.
Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.
Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi
Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.
Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.
Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri
Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.
Analist Kaynakları
Toll Brothers, Inc. 34 Bu analistlerden 15, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.
| Analist | Kurum |
|---|---|
| Christopher Graja | Argus Research Company |
| Stephen Kim | Barclays |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |