Toll Brothers Gelecekteki Büyüme
Future kriter kontrolleri 1/6
Toll Brothers kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 8% ve 6.3% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 11.5% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 15.4% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.
Anahtar bilgiler
8.0%
Kazanç büyüme oranı
11.52%
EPS büyüme oranı
| Consumer Durables kazanç büyümesi | 10.8% |
| Gelir büyüme oranı | 6.3% |
| Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi | 15.38% |
| Analist kapsamı | Good |
| Son güncelleme | 11 Sep 2026 |
Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri
Analiz Makalesi • Aug 21
The Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Third-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts
Shareholders might have noticed that Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) filed its third-quarter result this time last...Analiz Makalesi • May 23
Results: Toll Brothers, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company...Recent updates
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Sep 08
TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience Will Likely Be Tempered By Housing Cycle Uncertainty
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Toll Brothers to about $138 from roughly $135, reflecting updated price targets that lean on recent Q3 strength in luxury demand, higher average selling prices, and continued execution despite a choppy housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Toll Brothers points to a generally constructive view on the luxury homebuilder, with several firms lifting price targets following the fiscal Q3 report.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 25
TOL: Resilient Luxury Demand And Land Position Will Support Future Upside
The updated fair value estimate for Toll Brothers has increased from $187.00 to $195.00. This change reflects analysts' higher price targets that highlight resilient luxury housing demand, strong average selling prices, and solid execution in what they describe as a tough and choppy operating backdrop.Analiz Makalesi • Aug 21
The Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Third-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts
Shareholders might have noticed that Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) filed its third-quarter result this time last...Seeking Alpha • Aug 19
Toll Brothers: Relatively Resilient To Rate Pressures
Summary Toll Brothers remains resilient in a challenging housing market, benefiting from its focus on higher-end buyers and a strong balance sheet. Despite macro headwinds, TOL's Q3 EPS of $2.97 beat estimates, but margins and backlog are under pressure amid weak orders and elevated rates. Management maintains a conservative approach to land inventory, prioritizing financial flexibility and shareholder returns through buybacks and dividends. With shares trading at 10.5x 2027 EPS, I maintain a 'hold' rating, awaiting a pullback to $135 for a more attractive entry. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Yeni Anlatı • Aug 19
Toll Brothers: Q3 Shows Resilient Demand, But Margins Remain Under Pressure
Disclosure: I do not hold shares in Toll Brothers. Toll Brothers' latest quarter presents a mixed picture.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 11
TOL: Luxury Demand Resilience Will Likely Be Constrained By Peer Multiple Compression
Analysts have nudged the Toll Brothers fair value estimate higher, with the implied target moving about $3 to $134.86 as they point to resilient luxury housing demand, margin defense and a more favorable view of future price-to-earnings and revenue growth assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street views on Toll Brothers show a mixed picture.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jul 28
TOL: Resilient Luxury Demand And New Communities Will Shape Future Returns
The updated analyst price target for Toll Brothers reflects a modest fair value adjustment to $168.20, supported by slightly lower discount rate assumptions, marginally higher revenue growth and profit margin estimates, and a small upward revision to the assumed future P/E multiple, as analysts highlight the company's exposure to resilient luxury housing demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Toll Brothers points to a mix of optimism and caution.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jul 14
TOL: Luxury Demand Strength Will Likely Struggle Against Ongoing Peer Multiple Pressure
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised higher, reflecting a fair value estimate increase from about $126.90 to $131.73. This revision is supported by updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, which are aligned with recent Street research highlighting the company's exposure to resilient luxury housing demand.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 30
TOL: Luxury Expansion And Resilient Affluent Demand Will Shape Future Returns
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised in a tight range, with recent moves such as Keefe Bruyette lifting its target to $161 from $158 and Argus raising its target to $170 from $165. Analysts point to resilient luxury demand, margin support from affluent buyer segments, and company specific factors like long land positions and post earnings fundamentals in a challenging housing market.Analiz Makalesi • Jun 18
Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Could Be 11% Undervalued After Earnings And Raised Guidance
Toll Brothers (TOL) stock has been in focus after a strong earnings report, raised guidance, and a series of upbeat analyst updates that coincided with a shift away from high profile technology stocks. See our latest analysis for Toll Brothers. Toll Brothers' share price has pulled back by 2.36% over the last day to $149.66, but that comes after a strong run, with a 30 day share price return of 17.87% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 43.02%. This suggests momentum has recently been...Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 16
TOL: Luxury Demand Strength Will Face Pressure From Sector Multiple Compression
Toll Brothers' analyst price target has shifted modestly, with the fair value estimate moving about $3 lower to roughly $126.90 as analysts factor in a slightly lower discount rate, higher expected revenue growth and margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple, supported by recent research highlighting resilient luxury demand, margin defense, and mixed but generally constructive updates to Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Toll Brothers centers on how the luxury focus, order trends, and peer comparisons feed into valuation and execution risks.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 02
TOL: Luxury Buyer Resilience And Cash Returns Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been revised down by $11 to $187 from $198, as analysts factor in updated views on peer multiples, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Toll Brothers show a mix of reduced targets and selective increases, as analysts recalibrate their views around peer valuations, margins, and the luxury housing backdrop.Analiz Makalesi • May 23
Results: Toll Brothers, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Toll Brothers, Inc. ( NYSE:TOL ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. The company...Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 16
TOL: Luxury Demand And Capital Returns Will Support Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Toll Brothers has been trimmed by $4.38 to $168.38, as analysts weigh expectations for stronger revenue growth and slightly higher profit margins against a higher discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple, following recent mixed rating and target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Toll Brothers reflects a mix of optimism on earnings power and concerns about where the stock is currently trading, which helps explain the modest trim to the blended price target.Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri
| Tarih | Gelir | Kazançlar | Serbest Nakit Akışı | Faaliyetlerden Nakit | Avg. Analist Sayısı |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/31/2028 | 12,044 | 1,401 | 1,512 | 425 | 6 |
| 10/31/2027 | 11,014 | 1,281 | 1,588 | 984 | 14 |
| 10/31/2026 | 10,818 | 1,210 | 1,505 | 1,154 | 14 |
| 7/31/2026 | 10,759 | 1,198 | 1,090 | 1,192 | N/A |
| 4/30/2026 | 11,045 | 1,288 | 1,215 | 1,312 | N/A |
| 1/31/2026 | 11,253 | 1,380 | 1,453 | 1,540 | N/A |
| 10/31/2025 | 10,967 | 1,346 | 1,026 | 1,112 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 10,877 | 1,375 | 918 | 995 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 10,660 | 1,380 | 723 | 800 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 10,758 | 1,509 | 819 | 896 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 10,847 | 1,571 | 937 | 1,010 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 10,533 | 1,541 | 845 | 919 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 10,493 | 1,582 | 1,210 | 1,273 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 10,163 | 1,420 | 1,250 | 1,317 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 9,995 | 1,372 | 1,193 | 1,266 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 10,687 | 1,567 | 1,839 | 1,908 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 10,494 | 1,426 | 1,265 | 1,337 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 10,265 | 1,326 | 837 | 910 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 10,276 | 1,287 | 915 | 987 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 9,605 | 1,020 | 530 | 608 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 9,365 | 982 | 994 | 1,071 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 9,018 | 889 | 896 | 967 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 8,790 | 834 | 1,236 | 1,303 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 8,295 | 659 | 1,235 | 1,315 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 7,691 | 538 | 1,138 | 1,227 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 7,310 | 486 | 1,333 | 1,430 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 7,078 | 447 | 899 | 1,008 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 6,911 | 450 | 456 | 557 | N/A |
| 4/30/2020 | 7,025 | 481 | N/A | 332 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 7,192 | 535 | N/A | 256 | N/A |
| 10/31/2019 | 7,224 | 590 | N/A | 438 | N/A |
| 7/31/2019 | 7,300 | 699 | N/A | 685 | N/A |
| 4/30/2019 | 7,448 | 746 | N/A | 829 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 7,331 | 728 | N/A | 733 | N/A |
| 10/31/2018 | 7,143 | 748 | N/A | 588 | N/A |
| 7/31/2018 | 6,716 | 629 | N/A | 483 | N/A |
| 4/30/2018 | 6,305 | 584 | N/A | 396 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 6,070 | 597 | N/A | 611 | N/A |
| 10/31/2017 | 5,815 | 535 | N/A | 862 | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 5,643 | 458 | N/A | 882 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 5,410 | 415 | N/A | 408 | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 5,162 | 379 | N/A | 196 | N/A |
| 10/31/2016 | 5,170 | 382 | N/A | 151 | N/A |
| 7/31/2016 | 4,751 | 415 | N/A | -154 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 4,509 | 376 | N/A | 82 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 4,246 | 355 | N/A | 70 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 4,171 | 363 | N/A | 60 | N/A |
Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri
Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: TOL 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 8% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.7% ) üzerindedir.
Kazançlar ve Piyasa: TOL şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 8% ) US pazarından (yıllık 17.2% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: TOL şirketinin kazançlarının artması bekleniyor, ancak önemli ölçüde.
Gelir ve Pazar: TOL şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 6.3% ) US pazarından (yıllık 13.4% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: TOL şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 6.3% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri
Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi
Gelecekteki ROE: TOL 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde düşük olması tahmin ediliyor ( 15.4 %).
Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin
Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu
| Veri | Son Güncelleme (UTC saati) |
|---|---|
| Şirket Analizi | 2026/09/13 17:38 |
| Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| Kazançlar | 2026/07/31 |
| Yıllık Kazançlar | 2025/10/31 |
Veri Kaynakları
Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.
| Paket | Veri | Zaman Çerçevesi | Örnek ABD Kaynağı * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Şirket Finansalları | 10 yıl |
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| Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri | +3 yıl |
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| Piyasa Fiyatları | 30 yıl |
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| Sahiplik | 10 yıl |
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| Yönetim | 10 yıl |
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| Önemli Gelişmeler | 10 yıl |
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* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.
Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.
Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi
Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına Github sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz; ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınıza dair kılavuzlarımız ve YouTube’da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.
Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan hakkında bilgi edinin.
Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri
Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.
Analist Kaynakları
Toll Brothers, Inc. 34 Bu analistlerden 14, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.
| Analist | Kurum |
|---|---|
| Christopher Graja | Argus Research Company |
| Matthew Bouley | Barclays |
| Stephen Kim | Barclays |