Fastenal Gelecekteki Büyüme
Future kriter kontrolleri 2/6
Fastenal kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 9.1% ve 8.1% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 9.1% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 36.5% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.
Anahtar bilgiler
9.1%
Kazanç büyüme oranı
9.06%
EPS büyüme oranı
| Trade Distributors kazanç büyümesi | 13.7% |
| Gelir büyüme oranı | 8.1% |
| Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi | 36.50% |
| Analist kapsamı | Good |
| Son güncelleme | 15 Jun 2026 |
Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jun 28
Fastenal: What Could Justify The Valuation
Summary Fastenal is a market-leading industrial distributor with a robust, asset-light business model and minimal leverage. At a 40x+ P/E, FAST’s valuation is disconnected from its moderate 8–12% growth and limited margin expansion potential. I set a $31/share price target, reflecting earnings normalization and a more reasonable risk/reward profile. I rate FAST as a 'HOLD' due to insufficient upside at the current valuation; better entry points may emerge with normalization. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnaliz Makalesi • Jun 16
Fastenal (FAST) Stock Looks Fairly Priced After 12% Q1 Sales Growth
Fastenal (FAST) is back in focus after reporting a 12% rise in first quarter 2026 net sales, tied to share gains, broad-based demand, and ongoing efforts in digital tools and cost control. See our latest analysis for Fastenal. Fastenal's recent 12% net sales growth and new board appointment of digital executive Vishal Talwar come against a backdrop of a 14.0% year to date share price return and a 5 year total shareholder return of 102.03%, suggesting momentum has been building over longer...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 15
FAST: Embedded Supply Chain Platform And Buybacks Will Support Future Earnings Power
Analysts maintained the fair value estimate for Fastenal at $55.00 and modestly refined assumptions such as the discount rate and long-term growth inputs. They cited stronger recent sales trends and higher earnings expectations mentioned in recent research as support for their updated price targets.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 01
FAST: New Southeast Hub And Buybacks Will Support Earnings Power
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Fastenal up by $2 to $55, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, slightly adjusted revenue growth expectations, a modestly higher profit margin outlook, and a lower future P/E assumption aligned with recent price target changes from several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Fastenal has centered on a series of price target revisions, with several bullish analysts adjusting their models and signaling a more constructive view on the stock's risk and reward profile.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 06
FAST: Future Returns Will Hinge On Execution Resilience And Carrollton Expansion
Analysts have adjusted Fastenal's price target modestly higher to $46.49. This reflects updated discount rate and P/E assumptions alongside recent mixed target changes from Barclays, Bernstein, Baird, and BofA.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 21
FAST: Future Returns Will Depend On Execution Resilience And Distribution Expansion
Fastenal's updated analyst price target edges higher to about $46.49 from $45.24, with analysts pointing to refreshed models that incorporate Street research adjustments to revenue growth, profit margins, and long term P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fastenal reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revisiting their models and making targeted changes to price targets and assumptions.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 07
FAST: Future Returns Will Rely On Sales Resilience And Execution Consistency
Fastenal's analyst price targets have edged higher, with recent moves such as Baird lifting its target to $52 from $51 and Barclays moving to $44 from $43, as analysts update their models following stronger than expected February average daily sales. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates offer a mixed picture, with some analysts highlighting support from stronger than expected February average daily sales and others taking a more measured stance on how much upside is already reflected in the shares.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 24
FAST: Modest February Sales Strength Will Still Drive Further Multiple Compression
Analysts have nudged Street price targets on Fastenal modestly higher, with moves such as Baird's lift to $52 and Barclays' to $44. These changes reflect updated models that factor in recent data points like stronger than expected February average daily sales.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 10
FAST: Future Returns Will Depend On Margin Resilience And Execution Consistency
We are nudging our Fastenal fair value estimate up to $44.92 from $43.46, reflecting analysts' slightly higher price targets and updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fastenal reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several price target revisions feeding into our refreshed fair value estimate.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 24
FAST: Tighter Margin Outlook Will Drive Further Multiple Compression
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Fastenal has been adjusted by a net $1, as some analysts lifted their targets by $2 while others reduced theirs by $1, reflecting updated views on revenue, margins, and P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Fastenal reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with some analysts lifting price targets and others trimming them.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 09
FAST: Decelerating Sales And Inflation Pressures Will Drive Further Multiple Compression
Narrative Update on Fastenal The updated analyst price target for Fastenal reflects a mixed set of recent Street views, with small model adjustments around revenue growth, profit margins, and long-term P/E assumptions as analysts factor in both higher and lower target revisions following recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around Fastenal has tilted more cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets or ratings as they reassess the balance between growth, margins, and valuation.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 25
FAST: Decelerating Sales And Inflationary Pressures Will Drive Further Multiple Compression
Narrative update on Fastenal Analysts have reset their price expectations for Fastenal, with our fair value estimate moving from US$33.39 to US$38.00 as they factor in slower revenue growth, slightly softer profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple, in line with new Underperform ratings and lower price targets from recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research has tilted more cautious on Fastenal, with a series of Underperform ratings and trimmed price targets pointing to concerns around growth, margins, and valuation.Analiz Makalesi • Jan 22
Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Fastenal Company (NASDAQ:FAST) After Its Annual Report
It's been a good week for Fastenal Company ( NASDAQ:FAST ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 11
FAST: Slowing Sales And Inflationary Margin Pressure Will Drive Further Multiple Compression
Analysts have trimmed their Fastenal price targets by a few dollars to the low to mid US$40s, citing slowing sales trends, pressure on gross margins, and the view that the current valuation and P/E multiple leave room for further compression. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Fastenal have leaned cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and rethinking their stance after the latest Q3 results and sales trends.Analiz Makalesi • Jan 06
Pinning Down Fastenal Company's (NASDAQ:FAST) P/E Is Difficult Right Now
Fastenal Company's ( NASDAQ:FAST ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 38.5x might make it look like a strong sell...Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 26
FAST: Inflation And Slowing Sales Will Pressure Margins And Share Performance
Analysts modestly raised their fair value estimate for Fastenal by about $1.22 to approximately $33.39 per share. This reflects slightly stronger long term revenue growth expectations despite mounting concerns over decelerating sales, margin pressure from inflation, and the potential for further valuation multiple compression highlighted in recent target cuts and Underperform ratings.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 11
FAST: Future Returns Will Hinge On Margin Resilience Amid Slowing Sales
The analyst price target for Fastenal has been nudged lower by $0.04 to $43.46, as analysts factor in decelerating sales, emerging inflationary pressure on gross margins, and the risk of further multiple compression, even as long term growth prospects remain solid. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a more cautious stance on Fastenal, with multiple price target reductions and a tilt toward Underperform ratings as analysts reassess the balance between the company’s structural strengths and near term execution risks.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 27
FAST: Future Returns Will Depend On Margin Defense Amid Inflationary Pressures
Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value estimate for Fastenal to approximately $43.46 per share from $43.58. They cite pressures on revenue growth and profit margins, as recent research highlights slowing sales, margin headwinds, and a more challenging valuation environment.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 13
FAST: Future Performance Will Rely On Overcoming Margin Pressures And Execution Risks
Fastenal's analyst price target has edged down from $44.35 to $43.58, as analysts cite increased caution around future growth, margin pressures, and lower revised earnings estimates following recent coverage and earnings misses. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Fastenal reflects a diverse range of perspectives regarding the company's outlook and valuation.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 27
Managed Inventory Expansion And Digital Footprint Will Transform Supply Chains
Fastenal’s consensus price target was raised to $44.05 on the back of strong Q2 results, improving sales trends, and continued margin outperformance, with analysts expecting double-digit sales growth and justifying a premium valuation despite an already elevated multiple. Analyst Commentary Strong Q2 performance, with Fastenal beating consensus on sales, gross margin, and operating margin.Seeking Alpha • Apr 19
Fastenal: Expensive But Strong Growth Prospects
Summary Fastenal's shift from branch closures to expansion, creates strong growth outlook. Investments in FASTCrib and digital services enhance customer retention, increase margins, and expand Fastenal's TAM. Secular tailwinds from end markets and increasing customer bases create a GDP+ growth. Despite the current high valuation, entry exists ~5-6% below current share price. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 12
Fastenal: Set To Gain Market Share In Tough Times, But There's A Caveat
Summary Fastenal's Q1-2025 results met expectations, with net sales up 3.4% YoY and EPS flat at $0.52, driving the stock up 6.4%. The company is highly profitable, with strong free cash flow and steady growth, but the current valuation is too high to recommend a Buy. Fastenal is well-positioned to handle tariffs through price hikes and diversified sourcing, potentially gaining market share during economic disruptions. Despite solid fundamentals and market outperformance, the stock's high valuation near decade highs justifies a Hold rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 27
Fastenal: High Quality, But Valuation Concerns Apparent Amid Manufacturing Uncertainty
Summary The Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) is the only S&P 500 sector ETF in negative territory year to date, with resource stocks under pressure. Fastenal (FAST) trades at a premium multiple despite modest earnings growth expectations, supported by strong fundamentals and market share gains. Key risks include manufacturing weakness, a strong US dollar, and heightened competition, but FAST's low debt and healthy FCF yield are positives. With a long-term uptrend but shares 10% overvalued, I maintain a hold rating on FAST, seeking double-digit EPS growth for a higher valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 14
High-Quality Dividend Stock Universe: Fastenal Company - In Need Of A Moderate Pullback
Summary Fastenal reported better than expected Q3 earnings, resulting in a 10% jump in stock price. Fastenal has returned more than 51,000% since inception, equating to a CAGR of almost 20%. Earlier this year, the company achieved dividend champion status, but the rising payout ratio is something investors should monitor. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 06
Fastenal: Resilience Is Overshadowed By Steep Valuation
Summary Fastenal's growth has temporarily slowed down due to weak industrial activity, and a weak PMI still looks to pressure growth in Q3. Despite the weaker growth, Fastenal's margins have remained resilient, and the company looks poised to return to greater growth with an eventual improvement in manufacturing with Onsite and eBusiness growth. The FAST stock's valuation still stands too steep, likely making the stock's return weak. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 12
Fastenal: Shifting From Branch To Onsite; Initiate With 'Sell' Due To High Valuation
Summary Fastenal's shift from branch to onsite locations has improved customer experience and market share, but I believe the stock is overvalued, warranting a 'Sell' rating with a $50 target price. The company's digital distribution network, including Fastenal Management Inventory, enhances its competitive advantage and supports solid revenue growth. Recent financial results show moderate revenue growth but declining operating income, impacted by weak industrial production and pricing pressures. Despite strong cash flow and potential upside risks, near-term challenges are not fully reflected in the current stock price, justifying the 'Sell' rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaKazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri
| Tarih | Gelir | Kazançlar | Serbest Nakit Akışı | Faaliyetlerden Nakit | Avg. Analist Sayısı |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 10,686 | 1,690 | 1,302 | 1,650 | 10 |
| 12/31/2027 | 9,925 | 1,562 | 1,217 | 1,518 | 15 |
| 12/31/2026 | 9,125 | 1,421 | 1,131 | 1,402 | 15 |
| 3/31/2026 | 8,443 | 1,300 | 1,164 | 1,412 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 8,201 | 1,258 | 1,051 | 1,296 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 7,998 | 1,227 | 965 | 1,211 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 7,774 | 1,189 | 876 | 1,121 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 7,610 | 1,152 | 869 | 1,100 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 7,546 | 1,151 | 947 | 1,173 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 7,480 | 1,155 | 1,042 | 1,245 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 7,416 | 1,152 | 1,146 | 1,336 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 7,383 | 1,158 | 1,190 | 1,380 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 7,347 | 1,155 | 1,260 | 1,433 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 7,284 | 1,134 | 1,201 | 1,381 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 7,240 | 1,123 | 1,070 | 1,250 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 7,136 | 1,112 | 928 | 1,100 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 6,981 | 1,087 | 767 | 941 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 6,817 | 1,073 | 623 | 796 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 6,569 | 1,031 | 533 | 705 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 6,298 | 984 | 566 | 725 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 6,011 | 925 | 614 | 770 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,837 | 890 | 775 | 935 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 5,696 | 868 | 911 | 1,056 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 5,697 | 867 | 984 | 1,136 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 5,647 | 859 | 934 | 1,102 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 5,566 | 842 | 848 | 1,033 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 5,532 | 834 | 788 | 1,002 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 5,391 | 799 | 638 | 879 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 5,334 | 791 | N/A | 843 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 5,288 | 781 | N/A | 768 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 5,189 | 765 | N/A | 696 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 5,089 | 772 | N/A | 719 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 4,965 | 752 | N/A | 674 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 4,822 | 736 | N/A | 626 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 4,675 | 681 | N/A | 604 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 4,529 | 619 | N/A | 535 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 4,391 | 579 | N/A | 585 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 4,250 | 541 | N/A | 589 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 4,130 | 525 | N/A | 560 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 4,023 | 507 | N/A | 564 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,962 | 499 | N/A | 520 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,937 | 497 | N/A | 532 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 3,919 | 506 | N/A | 539 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 3,903 | 515 | N/A | 533 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 3,869 | 516 | N/A | 550 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 3,873 | 523 | N/A | 568 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 3,858 | 520 | N/A | 538 | N/A |
Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri
Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: FAST 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 9.1% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.5% ) üzerindedir.
Kazançlar ve Piyasa: FAST şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 9.1% ) US pazarından (yıllık 18.5% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: FAST şirketinin kazançlarının artması bekleniyor, ancak önemli ölçüde.
Gelir ve Pazar: FAST şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 8.1% ) US pazarından (yıllık 12.6% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: FAST şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 8.1% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri
Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi
Gelecekteki ROE: FAST 'in Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde yüksek olması tahmin ediliyor ( 36.5 %)
Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin
Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu
| Veri | Son Güncelleme (UTC saati) |
|---|---|
| Şirket Analizi | 2026/06/29 17:39 |
| Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı | 2026/06/26 00:00 |
| Kazançlar | 2026/03/31 |
| Yıllık Kazançlar | 2025/12/31 |
Veri Kaynakları
Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.
| Paket | Veri | Zaman Çerçevesi | Örnek ABD Kaynağı * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Şirket Finansalları | 10 yıl |
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| Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri | +3 yıl |
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| Piyasa Fiyatları | 30 yıl |
| |
| Sahiplik | 10 yıl |
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| Yönetim | 10 yıl |
| |
| Önemli Gelişmeler | 10 yıl |
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* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.
Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.
Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi
Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntıları GitHub sayfamızda mevcuttur; ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınıza dair kılavuzlarımız ve YouTube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.
Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.
Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri
Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.
Analist Kaynakları
Fastenal Company 35 Bu analistlerden 15, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.
| Analist | Kurum |
|---|---|
| John Eade | Argus Research Company |
| David Manthey | Baird |
| Guy Hardwick | Barclays |