New Risk • May 01
New major risk - Financial position The company's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Currently running at an operating cash loss. This is considered a major risk. If the company's operating cash flows are too small relative to the size of their debt, it increases their balance sheet risk. The company has less cash from operations to cover its expenses from servicing large debt and it increases the risk of liquidity issues. It also extends the time it would take for the company to pay back the debt in full, meaning it may not be able to easily pay it all off in a distress scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (currently running at an operating cash loss). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Earnings have declined by 48% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (PK₨3.59b market cap, or US$12.9m). Duyuru • Apr 22
Saif Power Limited to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Apr 29, 2026 Saif Power Limited announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results on Apr 29, 2026 Upcoming Dividend • Apr 10
Upcoming dividend of PK₨0.75 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 17 April 2026. Payment date: 18 May 2026. The company is not currently making a profit but it is cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 14%. Within top quartile of Pakistani dividend payers (7.9%). Higher than average of industry peers (11%). Duyuru • Apr 07
Saif Power Limited, Annual General Meeting, Apr 24, 2026 Saif Power Limited, Annual General Meeting, Apr 24, 2026. Location: at kehakshan hall 2, ground floor at the islamabad hotel, g-6 civic centre, melody chowk, islamabad Pakistan Reported Earnings • Apr 05
Full year 2025 earnings released: PK₨0.10 loss per share (vs PK₨0.34 profit in FY 2024) Full year 2025 results: PK₨0.10 loss per share (down from PK₨0.34 profit in FY 2024). Revenue: PK₨9.19b (down 5.0% from FY 2024). Net loss: PK₨38.4m (down 129% from profit in FY 2024). Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 60 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Duyuru • Mar 18
Saif Power Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Mar 25, 2026 Saif Power Limited announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results at 12:30 PM, Pakistan Standard Time on Mar 25, 2026 New Risk • Nov 01
New minor risk - Dividend sustainability The dividend is not well covered by earnings. The company is paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Dividend yield: 19% This is considered a minor risk. Companies that pay out too much of their earnings are at risk of having to reduce or cut their dividend in future. If earnings growth slows or earnings fall, then there may not be enough earnings to maintain the same dividend. Or in extreme cases, companies may opt to dig into capital reserves or take on debt to maintain the dividend. However, this risk is mitigated by the fact the dividend is covered by cash flows. For dividend paying companies, any reduction in the dividend can significantly impact the share price. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings have declined by 42% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risks Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Market cap is less than US$100m (PK₨4.08b market cap, or US$14.5m). Reported Earnings • Oct 30
Third quarter 2025 earnings released: PK₨0.17 loss per share (vs PK₨1.39 profit in 3Q 2024) Third quarter 2025 results: PK₨0.17 loss per share (down from PK₨1.39 profit in 3Q 2024). Revenue: PK₨2.61b (down 42% from 3Q 2024). Net loss: PK₨65.7m (down 112% from profit in 3Q 2024). Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 67 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Duyuru • Oct 20
Saif Power Limited Announces Appointment of Mr. Khalid Siddiq Tirmizey as A Director, Effective October 17, 2025 Saif Power Limited announced the appointment of Mr. Khalid Siddiq Tirmizey as a director of the company, effective October 17, 2025. This appointment comes as Mr. Tirmizey replaces Mr. Rashid Ibrahim on the board According to information available from the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX), the transition in the board of directors at Saif Power Limited is a notable development within the designated market category. Stakeholders and certificate holders of the exchange have been advised of this change, which marks a new chapter in the governance of the company. Reported Earnings • Aug 31
Second quarter 2025 earnings released: PK₨0.34 loss per share (vs PK₨1.34 profit in 2Q 2024) Second quarter 2025 results: PK₨0.34 loss per share (down from PK₨1.34 profit in 2Q 2024). Revenue: PK₨3.28b (up 27% from 2Q 2024). Net loss: PK₨131.8m (down 126% from profit in 2Q 2024). Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 55 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Duyuru • Aug 31
Saif Power Limited Announces Resignation of Rashid Ibrahim as Director, Effective August 27, 2025 Saif Power Limited announced that Mr. Rashid Ibrahim has resigned as director from the Board of Directors of Saif Power Limited with effect from August 27, 2025. The casual vacancy arising from the above resignation will be filled by the Board of Directors of the Company. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 15
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to PK₨11.73, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 27.1x. Average trailing P/E is 5x in the Renewable Energy industry in Pakistan. Total returns to shareholders of 36% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 30
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16% After last week's 16% share price decline to PK₨11.37, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 33x. Average trailing P/E is 7x in the Renewable Energy industry in Pakistan. Total returns to shareholders of 21% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Apr 11
Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: PK₨0.35 (vs PK₨0.87 in FY 2023) Full year 2024 results: EPS: PK₨0.35 (down from PK₨0.87 in FY 2023). Revenue: PK₨9.67b (down 49% from FY 2023). Net income: PK₨133.3m (down 60% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 1.4% (down from 1.8% in FY 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 44% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 16% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Duyuru • Apr 10
Saif Power Limited, Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2025 Saif Power Limited, Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2025. Location: at kehakshan hall 2 ground floor at, the islamabad hotel, g-6 civic centre, melody chowk, islamabad Pakistan Duyuru • Feb 19
Saif Power Limited Appoints Humayun Saifullah Khan as Director Saif Power Limited has announced a significant change in its board of directors with the appointment of Mr. Humayun Saifullah Khan as the new director. This decision comes following the resignation of Mrs. Hoor Yousafzai, which created a casual vacancy in the company"s leadership structure. The board"s decision to appoint Mr. Khan was made to ensure continued strategic oversight and governance within the company, which operates within the designated market category of the power sector. Mr. Khan is expected to bring a new perspective to the board, aligning with the company"s goals for sustained growth and operational efficiency. Mrs. Yousafzai"s resignation marks the end of her tenure, during which she contributed to various initiatives aimed at strengthening the company"s market presence. Her departure necessitated the immediate appointment to fill the vacancy, underscoring the company"s commitment to seamless governance practices. Duyuru • Feb 07
Saif Power Limited Announces Resignation of Hoor Yousafzai from Board of Directors Saif Power Limited has announced the resignation of Mrs. Hoor Yousafzai from its Board of Directors, effective February 04, 2025. This resignation has been officially accepted by the company's board, marking a significant change in the governance of the company. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 09
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19% After last week's 19% share price gain to PK₨14.98, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 4.1x. Average trailing P/E is 3x in the Renewable Energy industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 134% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 11
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16% After last week's 16% share price decline to PK₨15.08, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 3.6x. Average trailing P/E is 3x in the Renewable Energy industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 174% over the past three years. Price Target Changed • Sep 13
Price target increased by 15% to PK₨30.00 Up from PK₨26.00, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 66% above last closing price of PK₨18.06. Stock is up 7.0% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of PK₨4.00 for next year compared to PK₨0.87 last year. Declared Dividend • Aug 30
Dividend of PK₨1.25 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of PK₨1.25. Ex-date: 4th September 2024 Payment date: 30th September 2024 Dividend yield will be 22%, which is lower than the industry average of 28%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is not covered by earnings (378% earnings payout ratio). However, it is well covered by cash flows (42% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 4.1% per year over the past 9 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. The company's earnings per share (EPS) would need to grow by 320% to bring the payout ratio under control. EPS is expected to grow by 182% over the next 3 years, which means the dividend may need to be reduced to reach a sustainable payout ratio. Reported Earnings • May 02
First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: PK₨0.01 (vs PK₨0.26 loss in 1Q 2023) First quarter 2024 results: EPS: PK₨0.01 (up from PK₨0.26 loss in 1Q 2023). Revenue: PK₨1.06b (down 48% from 1Q 2023). Net income: PK₨2.14m (up PK₨102.4m from 1Q 2023). Profit margin: 0.2% (up from net loss in 1Q 2023). The move to profitability was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 41% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 5% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Upcoming Dividend • Apr 15
Upcoming dividend of PK₨1.50 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 19 April 2024. Payment date: 21 May 2024. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits but is generating plenty of cash to support the dividend. Trailing yield: 21%. Within top quartile of Pakistani dividend payers (13%). Lower than average of industry peers (25%). Reported Earnings • Apr 09
Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: PK₨0.87 (vs PK₨5.05 in FY 2022) Full year 2023 results: EPS: PK₨0.87 (down from PK₨5.05 in FY 2022). Revenue: PK₨19.0b (down 17% from FY 2022). Net income: PK₨336.1m (down 83% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 1.8% (down from 8.5% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 36% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 4% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 01
Now 22% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 3.6% to PK₨20.05. The fair value is estimated to be PK₨16.44, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 32% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 31%. Declared Dividend • Apr 01
Dividend of PK₨1.50 announced Shareholders will receive a dividend of PK₨1.50. Ex-date: 19th April 2024 Payment date: 21st May 2024 Dividend yield will be 22%, which is lower than the industry average of 28%. Sustainability & Growth Dividend is not covered by earnings (dividend approximately 30x earnings) nor is it covered by cash flows (173% cash payout ratio). The dividend has increased by an average of 6.5% per year over the past 9 years. However, payments have been volatile during that time. The company's earnings per share (EPS) would need to grow by 3,236% to bring the payout ratio under control. EPS is expected to grow by 192% over the next 2 years, which means the dividend may need to be reduced to reach a sustainable payout ratio. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Mar 15
Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 6.3% to PK₨20.55. The fair value is estimated to be PK₨17.06, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 32% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 31%. Duyuru • Jan 27
Saif Power Limited Announces Board Changes Saif Power Limited has officially announced a change in its board of directors. Mr. Asif Saifullah Khan has been appointed as a director of the company, effective from January 26, 2024. He replaces Mr. Rana Muhammad Shall in this role. New Risk • Dec 09
New minor risk - Earnings quality The company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 41% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.3x net interest cover). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Dividend per share is over 30x earnings per share. Cash payout ratio: 173% Earnings have declined by 22% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (0.3% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (PK₨7.44b market cap, or US$26.2m). New Risk • Oct 20
New minor risk - Profit margin trend The company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 2.0% Last year net profit margin: 8.9% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.6x net interest cover). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 350% Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Earnings have declined by 17% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risks Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (2.0% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (PK₨7.13b market cap, or US$25.6m). Buying Opportunity • Sep 12
Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 6.5%. The fair value is estimated to be PK₨21.14, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 32% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 23%. Upcoming Dividend • Apr 12
Upcoming dividend of PK₨2.50 per share at 41% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 19 April 2023. Payment date: 22 May 2023. The company is paying out more than 100% of its earnings and cash flow. Trailing yield: 41%. Within top quartile of Pakistani dividend payers (13%). Higher than average of industry peers (28%). Reported Earnings • Apr 08
Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: PK₨5.05 (vs PK₨4.52 in FY 2021) Full year 2022 results: EPS: PK₨5.05 (up from PK₨4.52 in FY 2021). Revenue: PK₨22.9b (up 40% from FY 2021). Net income: PK₨1.95b (up 12% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 8.5% (down from 11% in FY 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 30% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 3% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Price Target Changed • Mar 31
Price target increased by 7.7% to PK₨28.00 Up from PK₨26.00, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 35% above last closing price of PK₨20.68. Stock is down 5.4% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of PK₨4.30 for next year compared to PK₨4.52 last year. Price Target Changed • Nov 16
Price target decreased to PK₨26.00 Down from PK₨29.00, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 36% above last closing price of PK₨19.14. Stock is up 14% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of PK₨4.30 for next year compared to PK₨4.52 last year. Board Change • Nov 16
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there is only 1 independent director on the board. The company's board is composed of: 1 independent director. 6 non-independent directors. Independent Director Saima Khattak was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Reported Earnings • Oct 30
Third quarter 2022 earnings released Third quarter 2022 results: Revenue: PK₨8.29b (up 25% from 3Q 2021). Net income: PK₨749.3m (up 66% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 9.0% (up from 6.8% in 3Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Price Target Changed • Oct 28
Price target decreased to PK₨26.00 Down from PK₨29.00, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 38% above last closing price of PK₨18.86. Stock is up 1.9% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of PK₨4.30 for next year compared to PK₨4.52 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 21
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 28% share price decline to PK₨16.84, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 4x. Average trailing P/E is 5x in the Renewable Energy industry in Pakistan. Total returns to shareholders of 162% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 22
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 16% share price gain to PK₨20.20, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 4.7x. Average trailing P/E is 5x in the Renewable Energy industry in Pakistan. Total returns to shareholders of 131% over the past three years. Duyuru • Jun 14
Saif Power Limited Announces Chairman Changes Saif Power Limited announced that Mr. Assad Saifullah Khan has been appointed as a Chairman of the company with effect from June 13, 2022 in place of Mr. Osman Saifullah Khan. Board Change • Apr 27
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there is only 1 independent director on the board. The company's board is composed of: 1 independent director. 6 non-independent directors. Independent Director Saima Khattak was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2020. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Duyuru • Apr 13
Saif Power Limited Announces Board Changes Saif Power Limited announced that Mr. Rashid Ibrahim has been appointed as Director of the company with effect from April 11, 2022 in place of Mr. Naveed Abid Khan. Upcoming Dividend • Apr 13
Upcoming dividend of PK₨1.00 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 20 April 2022. Payment date: 24 May 2022. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits and is paying out 79% of its cash flow. Trailing yield: 20%. Within top quartile of Pakistani dividend payers (10%). Lower than average of industry peers (24%). Price Target Changed • Feb 15
Price target decreased to PK₨23.00 Down from PK₨28.00, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 18% above last closing price of PK₨19.41. Stock is up 22% over the past year. The company posted earnings per share of PK₨6.13 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 27
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 15% share price gain to PK₨25.37, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 6x. Average trailing P/E is 6x in the Renewable Energy industry in Pakistan. Total returns to shareholders of 77% over the past three years. Upcoming Dividend • Nov 03
Upcoming dividend of PK₨2.00 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 10 November 2021. Payment date: 03 December 2021. Trailing yield: 24%. Within top quartile of Pakistani dividend payers (10%). Higher than average of industry peers (19%). Reported Earnings • Oct 30
Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS PK₨1.17 (vs PK₨1.18 in 3Q 2020) The company reported a decent third quarter result with improved revenues, although earnings and profit margins were weaker. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: PK₨6.61b (up 187% from 3Q 2020). Net income: PK₨451.1m (down 1.4% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 6.8% (down from 20% in 3Q 2020). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 18% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 11% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Reported Earnings • Aug 31
Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS PK₨0.84 (vs PK₨1.44 in 2Q 2020) The company reported a mediocre second quarter result with weaker earnings and profit margins, although revenues improved. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: PK₨4.65b (up 77% from 2Q 2020). Net income: PK₨324.8m (down 42% from 2Q 2020). Profit margin: 7.0% (down from 21% in 2Q 2020). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 11% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 15% per year. Reported Earnings • May 02
First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS PK₨1.18 (vs PK₨2.32 in 1Q 2020) The company reported a soft first quarter result with weaker earnings and profit margins, although revenues improved. First quarter 2021 results: Revenue: PK₨1.75b (up 3.7% from 1Q 2020). Net income: PK₨455.0m (down 49% from 1Q 2020). Profit margin: 26% (down from 53% in 1Q 2020). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 3% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 20% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 19
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 17% share price decline to PK₨15.38, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 2.5x. Average trailing P/E is 3x in the Renewable Energy industry in Pakistan. Total loss to shareholders of 5.2% over the past three years. Upcoming Dividend • Apr 09
Upcoming dividend of PK₨2.50 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 15 April 2021. Payment date: 18 May 2021. Trailing yield: 21%. Within top quartile of Pakistani dividend payers (8.7%). Higher than average of industry peers (14%). Reported Earnings • Mar 31
Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS PK₨6.14 (vs PK₨9.44 in FY 2019) The company reported a soft full year result with weaker earnings and revenues, although profit margins were improved. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: PK₨8.93b (down 40% from FY 2019). Net income: PK₨2.37b (down 35% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 27% (up from 25% in FY 2019). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 4% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 15% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 18
New 90-day high: PK₨16.15 The company is up 1.0% from its price of PK₨16.00 on 20 October 2020. The Pakistani market is up 11% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Renewable Energy industry, which is up 18% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 16
New 90-day low: PK₨14.49 The company is down 16% from its price of PK₨17.25 on 17 September 2020. The Pakistani market is flat over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Renewable Energy industry, which is down 5.0% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 16
New 90-day low: PK₨14.62 The company is down 18% from its price of PK₨17.74 on 18 August 2020. The Pakistani market is flat over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Renewable Energy industry, which is down 5.0% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 30
New 90-day low: PK₨15.13 The company is down 11% from its price of PK₨16.95 on 30 July 2020. The Pakistani market is up 2.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Renewable Energy industry, which is up 2.0% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 07
New 90-day low: PK₨16.01 The company is down 2.0% from its price of PK₨16.41 on 09 July 2020. The Pakistani market is up 8.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Renewable Energy industry, which is up 7.0% over the same period.