Duyuru • Oct 26
CVA EOS S.r.l. completed the acquisition of a 60% stake in Renergetica S.p.A. (BIT:RNG) from Exacto Societa' Per Azioni. CVA EOS S.r.l. signed an agreement to acquire 60% stake in Renergetica S.p.A. (BIT:RNG) from Exacto Societa' Per Azioni for €49.2 million on August 4, 2023. Under the terms of agreement, CVA EOS has committed to purchase the stake from Exacto at a price per share of Euro 10.11, subject to possible downward adjustment in the event of any disallowed payments up to the closing date. Following completion of the acquisition, CVA EOS will be required to launch a full mandatory public tender offer pursuant to Renergetica's by-laws on the remaining ordinary shares of Renergetica (the “Tender Offer”; and, together with the acquisition of the stake, the “Transaction”). Finally, the Agreement provides that, upon closing, CVA EOS and Exacto will sign a five-year shareholders' agreement covering, among other things, corporate governance rules and limitations on the transfer of Renergetica shares, with the aim of ensuring stability in governance and corporate structure. The Transaction will be financed through recourse to the CVA Group's own financial means. Following the closing, Exacto will retain ownership of no. 1.764.038 Renergetica shares, in total representing 21.77% of the share capital, which will not be tendered to the Tender Offer.
The Transaction is subject to, in addition to the usual conditions for transactions of this nature (including obtaining of the clearance under the FDI regulations without any commitments/conditions/need to make some amendments for the execution of the Transaction), the transfer by Renergetica to Exacto of its foreign subsidiaries in Spain and the United States. It is currently expected that the Transaction may be performed by October 2023. CVA Group is assisted by PwC Strategy&, as strategic and financial advisor, as well as by Fieldfisher as legal advisor. Exacto is assisted by BNP Paribas as financial advisor, as well as by ADVANT Nctm as legal advisor.
CVA EOS S.r.l. completed the acquisition of a 60% stake in Renergetica S.p.A. (BIT:RNG) from Exacto Societa' Per Azioni on October 24, 2023. New Risk • Oct 02
New major risk - Earnings quality The company has a high level of non-cash earnings. Accrual ratio: 22% This is considered a major risk. Non-cash earnings can arise from many different things. However, if a company consistently has a high level of non-cash earnings, it may be a sign that they are recognizing revenue from customers before the full value of the sales are received as cash or they are not depreciating the value of their assets appropriately. These are practices that inflate earnings, while not providing a similar increase to cash flows. Companies in some select industries naturally have a high level of non-cash earnings and it is not a major concern. However, in the worst case scenario it can be an early sign of performance manipulation by management. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (15% average weekly change). High level of non-cash earnings (22% accrual ratio). Minor Risks Revenue is less than US$5m (€3.3m revenue, or US$3.4m). Market cap is less than US$100m (€79.4m market cap, or US$83.4m). Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 07
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 60% After last week's 60% share price gain to €9.70, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 35x. Average forward P/E is 17x in the Renewable Energy industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 133% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €7.77 per share. Buying Opportunity • Jul 17
Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 6.8%. The fair value is estimated to be €7.77, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 42% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 25%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 31% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 23% per annum over the same time period. New Risk • Jun 23
New major risk - Financial position The company's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Currently running at an operating cash loss. This is considered a major risk. If the company's operating cash flows are too small relative to the size of their debt, it increases their balance sheet risk. The company has less cash from operations to cover its expenses from servicing large debt and it increases the risk of liquidity issues. It also extends the time it would take for the company to pay back the debt in full, meaning it may not be able to easily pay it all off in a distress scenario. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (currently running at an operating cash loss). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (7.4% average weekly change). Minor Risks Revenue is less than US$5m (€3.2m revenue, or US$3.5m). Market cap is less than US$100m (€55.1m market cap, or US$60.0m). Major Estimate Revision • Jun 23
Consensus forecasts updated The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. Renewable Energy industry in Italy expected to see average net income growth of 15% next year. Consensus price target of €9.95 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 11% to €6.80 over the past week. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 08
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18% After last week's 18% share price gain to €6.20, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 19.2x. Average forward P/E is 19x in the Renewable Energy industry in Italy. Total returns to shareholders of 64% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 16
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16% After last week's 16% share price decline to €5.45, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 21x in the Renewable Energy industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 48% over the past three years. Board Change • Nov 16
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there is only 1 independent director on the board. The company's board is composed of: 1 independent director. 6 non-independent directors. President, CEO & Chairman of the Board Stefano Giusto was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Major Estimate Revision • Oct 11
Consensus forecasts updated The consensus outlook for 2022 has been updated. 2022 revenue forecast fell from €13.4m to €12.9m. EPS estimate rose from €0.45 to €0.49. Net income forecast to shrink 2.0% next year vs 22% growth forecast for Renewable Energy industry in Italy . Consensus price target of €9.75 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at €7.30 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Sep 30
First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: €0 (vs €0.13 in 1H 2021) First half 2022 results: EPS: €0. Revenue: €6.42m (up €5.73m from 1H 2021). Net income: €2.66m (up 145% from 1H 2021). Profit margin: 41% (down from 156% in 1H 2021). Revenue is forecast to grow 6.1% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.0% growth forecast for the Renewable Energy industry in Europe. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 01
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 18% share price gain to €7.50, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 24x in the Renewable Energy industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 129% over the past three years. Price Target Changed • Apr 27
Price target increased to €8.04 Up from €7.17, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 17% above last closing price of €6.88. Stock is up 65% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.48 for next year compared to €0.33 last year. Board Change • Apr 27
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there is only 1 independent director on the board. The company's board is composed of: 1 independent director. 6 non-independent directors. President, CEO & Chairman of the Board Stefano Giusto was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2021. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Reported Earnings • Apr 19
Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Full year 2021 results: EPS: €0.33 (up from €0.27 in FY 2020). Revenue: €13.3m (up €11.7m from FY 2020). Net income: €2.66m (up 22% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 20% (down from 134% in FY 2020). The decrease in margin was primarily driven by lower expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 1.2%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 100%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 5.2% compared to a 20% decline forecast for the industry in Italy. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 21% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 32% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Price Target Changed • Apr 06
Price target increased to €8.04 Up from €6.99, the current price target is provided by 1 analyst. New target price is 16% above last closing price of €6.90. Stock is up 74% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.28 for next year compared to €0.27 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 07
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 16% share price decline to €5.66, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17x. Average forward P/E is 31x in the Renewable Energy industry in Italy. Total returns to shareholders of 84% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 01
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 22% share price gain to €6.10, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 19x. Average forward P/E is 35x in the Renewable Energy industry in Italy. Total returns to shareholders of 339% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Oct 01
First half 2021 earnings released: EPS €0.13 (vs €0.17 in 1H 2020) First half 2021 results: Net income: €1.08m (down 20% from 1H 2020). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 33% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 52% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 21
New 90-day low: €3.69 The company is down 9.0% from its price of €4.05 on 23 October 2020. The Italian market is up 15% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Renewable Energy industry, which is up 23% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 30
New 90-day low: €4.08 The company is down 7.0% from its price of €4.38 on 31 July 2020. The Italian market is down 8.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. However, it underperformed the Renewable Energy industry, which is down 6.0% over the same period. Duyuru • Jul 17
Stefano Giusto acquired an unknown stake in Renergetica S.p.A. (BIT:REN) for €4,665. Stefano Giusto acquired an unknown stake in Renergetica S.p.A. (BIT:REN) for €4,665 on July 14, 2020. As per terms, Stefano Giusto acquired 1,000 shares of Renergetica S.p.A. at €4.665 per share.
Stefano Giusto completed the acquisition of an unknown stake in Renergetica S.p.A. (BIT:REN) on July 14, 2020.