Serco Group Gelecekteki Büyüme
Future kriter kontrolleri 1/6
Serco Group kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 8.1% ve 3.6% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 8.4% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 17.5% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.
Anahtar bilgiler
8.1%
Kazanç büyüme oranı
8.42%
EPS büyüme oranı
| Commercial Services kazanç büyümesi | 17.9% |
| Gelir büyüme oranı | 3.6% |
| Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi | 17.51% |
| Analist kapsamı | Good |
| Son güncelleme | 14 May 2026 |
Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri
Recent updates
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 03
SRP: Rising Optimism And Capital Returns Will Likely Constrain Future Share Upside
Serco Group’s analyst price targets have been revised higher, with the consolidated fair value estimate moving from £1.59 to about £1.66. Analysts are factoring in updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, alongside recent target lifts from Citi to £3.69 and Berenberg to £3.50, and a new neutral initiation from BNP Paribas.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 19
SRP: Higher Earnings Visibility And Capital Returns Will Support Future Rerating
Analysts have nudged their average price outlook for Serco Group higher, into a £3.50 to £3.69 range, reflecting recent target increases and refreshed views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serco Group points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, with price targets now clustering in the mid £3 range and views ranging from neutral to positive.Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 03
SRP: Higher Earnings Visibility And Capital Returns Will Support Rerating
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Serco Group from £2.98 to £3.85. Recent target price increases from several banks, along with slightly revised assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, have all contributed to the updated view.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 18
SRP: Rising Price Optimism And Buybacks Will Likely Restrain Future Returns
Analysts have lifted their price targets for Serco Group to a range that now spans about £350 to £369 per share, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, modestly higher revenue growth and slightly improved profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to higher price targets for Serco Group clustered between about £3.50 and £3.69 per share, with several firms reiterating positive stances alongside their revised numbers.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 04
SRP: Rising Price Optimism And Buybacks Will Still Limit Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their average price target for Serco Group by £0.45, with recent Street research citing refreshed views on discount rates, revenue growth and profit margins as key drivers behind the updated valuations. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a cluster of upward price target revisions on Serco Group, with several firms recalibrating their models around updated assumptions for growth, margins and discount rates.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 20
SRP: Higher Buybacks And Dividend Will Still Cap Future Upside
Analysts have lifted Serco Group's price targets, with recent moves such as Citi's increase to £3.69 from £3.24 and Berenberg's to £3.50 from £3.30, while fine tuning assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E to reflect updated views on the business. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serco Group has centred on reassessing fair value, with several firms updating their price targets in light of revised assumptions on growth, profitability and risk.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 06
SRP: Fair Value View Will Rely On Defence Visibility And CFO Transition
Serco Group's implied fair value has increased from £2.73 to £2.89 per share. This change reflects analysts' updated price targets and assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent research updates from several banks.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 20
SRP: Raised Guidance And Contract Wins Will Still Cap Future Upside
Analysts have nudged up their implied fair value for Serco Group to £1.64 per share, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with a series of recent price target increases to as high as £2.45 from major banks. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a gap between Serco Group’s trading price, the raised price targets and the updated implied fair value of £1.64 per share.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 06
SRP: Fair Value View Will Rely On Execution And New CFO Transition
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Serco Group slightly higher to £2.73 per share, citing recent price target increases to £2.45 and £2.75 that reflect updated views on discount rates, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a generally constructive stance on Serco Group, with fair value and price targets clustered in the mid £2 range and modestly above.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 23
SRP: Execution And Margin Risks Will Limit Upside Despite Higher Guidance
Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for Serco Group slightly lower to £1.64 from £1.66, as recent price target increases to £2.45 by several firms are balanced against updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Serco Group points to a more mixed backdrop than headline price targets alone might suggest.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 08
SRP: Discount Rate Assumptions Will Expose Limited Upside Risk Ahead
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Serco Group to £1.66 from £1.47, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, alongside a higher £2.45 Street price target. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Serco Group points to a more cautious tone, even where headline price targets sit above the current fair value estimate.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 25
SRP: Defense Contracts And New CFO Will Support Steady Medium Term Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Serco Group from £2.54 to £2.71, citing a slightly lower discount rate, improved profit margin expectations, and a marginally higher future P E multiple that together more than offset a small reduction in projected revenue growth. What's in the News Serco appointed Mark Reid, currently Group CFO at Belgian telecoms group Proximus, as Chief Financial Officer effective 6 March 2026.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 11
SRP: Defense Contracts Will Support Steady Outlook With Balanced Long Term Prospects
Analysts have nudged up their price target on Serco Group by approximately 1 percent in sterling terms, citing a slightly lower implied discount rate, marginally stronger long term revenue growth assumptions, and a modestly higher future P E multiple that more than offset a broadly unchanged profit margin outlook. What's in the News Serco secured a new contract worth around £500 million to continue managing HMP Dovegate in Staffordshire for 12 years, with options for three additional one-year extensions, following a competitive procurement process (Key Developments).Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 27
SRP: US Air Force Contract Will Support Measured Gains Amid Defense Sector Stability
Serco Group's analyst price target remains steady at £2.52. Analysts' outlook remains unchanged, as incremental shifts in underlying profit and revenue forecasts are viewed as broadly neutral to the company's value proposition.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 06
SRP: Defense Contract Win Will Drive Measured Progress Amid Ongoing Sector Uncertainty
Narrative Update on Serco Group Analysts have raised their price target for Serco Group by £0.05 to £2.15 per share, citing a modest improvement in fair value estimates and a stable outlook on profitability. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts have slightly increased their price targets, which suggests renewed confidence in Serco Group's valuation prospects.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Sep 13
Expanding North American And European Contracts Will Unlock Future Potential
Analysts have raised Serco Group’s price target to £2.45, reflecting improved contract wins, stronger order book momentum, and enhanced margin guidance, despite ongoing caution around cyclical risks. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are revising price targets upwards, citing improved contract wins and stronger order book momentum.Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 27
Expanding North American And European Contracts Will Unlock Future Potential
Serco Group's consensus price target has been raised to £2.40, reflecting upgrades driven by stronger recent results, robust contract momentum, margin expansion, and improved confidence in revenue growth and international diversification. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have increased price targets due to stronger-than-expected performance in recent results.
Yeni Anlatı • Mar 10
International Expansion And Defense Focus Will Boost Future Prospects
Strategic growth initiatives in the defense sector and North America are expected to drive revenue and profit, boosted by key acquisitions.Analiz Makalesi • Jun 10
There's No Escaping Serco Group plc's (LON:SRP) Muted Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.2x Serco Group plc ( LON:SRP ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Analiz Makalesi • May 22
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Serco Group plc (LON:SRP)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Serco Group fair value estimate is UK£2.05 Serco Group's...Analiz Makalesi • Feb 23
With EPS Growth And More, Serco Group (LON:SRP) Makes An Interesting Case
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Analiz Makalesi • Dec 13
Is Serco Group plc (LON:SRP) Worth UK£1.6 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?
Key Insights Serco Group's estimated fair value is UK£1.25 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Analiz Makalesi • Nov 10
Here's Why Serco Group (LON:SRP) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analiz Makalesi • Sep 04
Serco Group's (LON:SRP) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Serco Group plc's ( LON:SRP ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 6th of October to £0.0114, with investors...Analiz Makalesi • Aug 20
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.0114
Serco Group plc's ( LON:SRP ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 6th of October to £0.0114, with investors...Analiz Makalesi • Aug 06
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
The board of Serco Group plc ( LON:SRP ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend by 21% on the 6th of...Analiz Makalesi • Mar 21
These 4 Measures Indicate That Serco Group (LON:SRP) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analiz Makalesi • Mar 03
Serco Group (LON:SRP) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To £0.0192
Serco Group plc ( LON:SRP ) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 9th of June to...Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri
| Tarih | Gelir | Kazançlar | Serbest Nakit Akışı | Faaliyetlerden Nakit | Avg. Analist Sayısı |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 5,454 | 191 | 196 | 366 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,242 | 178 | 171 | 358 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 5,038 | 168 | 169 | 344 | 9 |
| 12/31/2025 | 4,877 | 146 | 414 | 447 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 4,862 | 97 | 402 | 436 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 4,847 | 49 | 391 | 425 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 4,817 | 46 | 388 | 422 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,787 | 44 | 385 | 419 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,774 | 92 | 363 | 396 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 4,761 | 139 | 341 | 373 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 4,817 | 171 | 356 | 383 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4,874 | 202 | 370 | 393 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,851 | 207 | 351 | 373 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,828 | 212 | 333 | 352 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 4,681 | 184 | 320 | 340 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,534 | 155 | 308 | 327 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 4,485 | 158 | 299 | 321 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 4,436 | 160 | 290 | 315 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 4,430 | 232 | 304 | 333 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 4,425 | 304 | 318 | 350 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,327 | 301 | 305 | 344 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 4,230 | 299 | 293 | 337 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,057 | 216 | 256 | 303 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,885 | 134 | 218 | 269 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,740 | 128 | 209 | 251 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,595 | 123 | 201 | 234 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,422 | 86 | 140 | 168 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,248 | 50 | 79 | 103 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,097 | 51 | N/A | 83 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,946 | 51 | N/A | 63 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,891 | 59 | N/A | 33 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,837 | 67 | N/A | 3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 2,823 | 46 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 2,810 | 26 | N/A | -25 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,880 | 9 | N/A | -23 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,951 | -8 | N/A | -20 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,988 | -33 | N/A | -35 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 3,025 | -57 | N/A | -49 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 3,018 | -20 | N/A | -56 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 3,011 | 17 | N/A | -62 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 3,034 | 5 | N/A | -24 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 3,058 | -7 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 3,117 | -47 | N/A | -3 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 3,177 | -86 | N/A | -19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 3,182 | -1,024 | N/A | -78 | N/A |
Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri
Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: SRP 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 8.1% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.4% ) üzerindedir.
Kazançlar ve Piyasa: SRP şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 8.1% ) UK pazarından (yıllık 11.5% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: SRP şirketinin kazançlarının artması bekleniyor, ancak önemli ölçüde.
Gelir ve Pazar: SRP şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 3.6% ) UK pazarından (yıllık 4.5% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: SRP şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 3.6% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.
Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri
Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi
Gelecekteki ROE: SRP 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde düşük olması tahmin ediliyor ( 17.5 %).
Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin
Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu
| Veri | Son Güncelleme (UTC saati) |
|---|---|
| Şirket Analizi | 2026/06/08 07:20 |
| Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı | 2026/06/05 00:00 |
| Kazançlar | 2025/12/31 |
| Yıllık Kazançlar | 2025/12/31 |
Veri Kaynakları
Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.
| Paket | Veri | Zaman Çerçevesi | Örnek ABD Kaynağı * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Şirket Finansalları | 10 yıl |
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| Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri | +3 yıl |
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| Piyasa Fiyatları | 30 yıl |
| |
| Sahiplik | 10 yıl |
| |
| Yönetim | 10 yıl |
| |
| Önemli Gelişmeler | 10 yıl |
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* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.
Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.
Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi
Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.
Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.
Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri
Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.
Analist Kaynakları
Serco Group plc 25 Bu analistlerden 10, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.
| Analist | Kurum |
|---|---|
| James Rosenthal | Barclays |
| Paul Daniel Sullivan | Barclays |
| Alex Smith | Berenberg |