Board Change • Nov 16
Insufficient new directors No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 2 experienced directors. 5 highly experienced directors. Independent Lead Director Tim Taylor was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2019. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Insufficient board refreshment. Reported Earnings • Nov 03
Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$2.83 (vs US$1.02 in 3Q 2021) Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: US$2.83 (up from US$1.02 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: US$2.45b (up 79% from 3Q 2021). Net income: US$1.01b (up 174% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 41% (up from 27% in 3Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue is expected to fall by 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years compared to a 4.4% decline forecast for the Oil and Gas industry in Germany. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 85% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 37% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Reported Earnings • Jul 30
Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$3.38 (vs US$0.80 in 2Q 2021) Second quarter 2022 results: EPS: US$3.38 (up from US$0.80 in 2Q 2021). Revenue: US$2.65b (up 115% from 2Q 2021). Net income: US$1.21b (up 318% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 46% (up from 23% in 2Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 29%, compared to a 36% growth forecast for the industry in Germany. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 59% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 28% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 01
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 16% share price gain to €65.50, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6x. Average forward P/E is 6x in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 91% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €59.84 per share. Reported Earnings • May 06
First quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$1.67 (vs US$0.72 in 1Q 2021) First quarter 2022 results: EPS: US$1.67 (up from US$0.72 in 1Q 2021). Revenue: US$2.15b (up 83% from 1Q 2021). Net income: US$597.8m (up 130% from 1Q 2021). Profit margin: 28% (up from 22% in 1Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 42%, compared to a 51% growth forecast for the industry in Germany. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 23% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 14% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Board Change • Apr 27
Insufficient new directors There is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 2 experienced directors. 4 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Tim Taylor was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2019. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 28
President recently sold €1.4m worth of stock On the 23rd of March, Jack Stark sold around 25k shares on-market at roughly €57.88 per share. In the last 3 months, they made an even bigger sale worth €2.8m. Jack has been a seller over the last 12 months, reducing personal holdings by €6.8m. Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 24
President recently sold €2.6m worth of stock On the 16th of March, Jack Stark sold around 50k shares on-market at roughly €51.89 per share. In the last 3 months, they made an even bigger sale worth €2.8m. Jack has been a seller over the last 12 months, reducing personal holdings by €5.3m. Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 16
Key Executive recently bought €18m worth of stock On the 8th of March, Harold Hamm bought around 337k shares on-market at roughly €54.43 per share. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Harold has been a buyer over the last 12 months, purchasing a net total of €57m worth in shares. Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 03
Insider recently sold €929k worth of stock On the 28th of February, Robert Hagens sold around 19k shares on-market at roughly €48.57 per share. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought €36m more than they sold in the last 12 months. Reported Earnings • Feb 15
Full year 2021 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat Full year 2021 results: EPS: US$4.61 (up from US$1.65 loss in FY 2020). Revenue: US$5.72b (up 138% from FY 2020). Net income: US$1.66b (up US$2.26b from FY 2020). Profit margin: 29% (up from net loss in FY 2020). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.4%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 30%, compared to a 77% growth forecast for the oil industry in Germany. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 15% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 11% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Recent Insider Transactions • Dec 06
Key Executive recently bought €9.7m worth of stock On the 2nd of December, Harold Hamm bought around 250k shares on-market at roughly €38.95 per share. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Harold has been a buyer over the last 12 months, purchasing a net total of €34m worth in shares. Board Change • Dec 06
Insufficient new directors There is 1 new director who has joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: 1 new director. 2 experienced directors. 4 highly experienced directors. Independent Director Tim Taylor was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2019. The company’s insufficient board refreshment is considered a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 30
Senior VP recently sold €405k worth of stock On the 24th of November, John Hart sold around 9k shares on-market at roughly €44.95 per share. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. John has been a seller over the last 12 months, reducing personal holdings by €573k. Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 10
Lead Independent Director recently bought €79k worth of stock On the 5th of November, John McNabb bought around 2k shares on-market at roughly €39.56 per share. In the last 3 months, there was an even bigger purchase from another insider worth €9.3m. Insiders have collectively bought €18m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months. Reported Earnings • Nov 05
Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$1.02 (vs US$0.22 loss in 3Q 2020) The company reported a strong third quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: US$1.37b (up 107% from 3Q 2020). Net income: US$369.3m (up US$448.8m from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 27% (up from net loss in 3Q 2020). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 59 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 09
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 16% share price gain to €46.01, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14x. Average forward P/E is 8x in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 10% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €37.65 per share. Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 20
Key Executive recently bought €9.3m worth of stock On the 15th of September, Harold Hamm bought around 262k shares on-market at roughly €35.53 per share. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Harold has been a buyer over the last 12 months, purchasing a net total of €28m worth in shares. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 17
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 15% share price gain to €35.69, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12x. Average forward P/E is 8x in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 30% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €34.04 per share. Executive Departure • Sep 07
Senior VP, General Counsel, Chief Risk Officer & Secretary Eric Eissenstat has left the company On the 1st of September, Eric Eissenstat's tenure as Senior VP, General Counsel, Chief Risk Officer & Secretary ended after 10.1 years in the role. As of June 2021, Eric still personally held 228.40k shares (€7.2m worth at the time). Eric is the only executive to leave the company over the last 12 months. The current median tenure of the management team is 5.50 years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 28
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 15% share price gain to €32.08, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11x. Average forward P/E is 8x in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 42% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €34.70 per share. Reported Earnings • Aug 03
Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.80 (vs US$0.66 loss in 2Q 2020) The company reported a strong second quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: US$1.24b (up US$1.06b from 2Q 2020). Net income: US$289.3m (up US$528.6m from 2Q 2020). Profit margin: 23% (up from net loss in 2Q 2020). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 65 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Recent Insider Transactions • Jun 12
Senior VP recently sold €590k worth of stock On the 9th of June, Eric Eissenstat sold around 20k shares on-market at roughly €29.49 per share. In the last 3 months, there was an even bigger sale from another insider worth €689k. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought €118m more than they sold in the last 12 months. Recent Insider Transactions • May 18
Senior Vice President of Operations recently sold €179k worth of stock On the 13th of May, Patrick Bent sold around 7k shares on-market at roughly €24.54 per share. In the last 3 months, there was an even bigger sale from another insider worth €253k. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought €119m more than they sold in the last 12 months. Reported Earnings • Apr 30
First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.72 (vs US$0.51 loss in 1Q 2020) The company reported a strong first quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. First quarter 2021 results: Revenue: US$1.22b (up 50% from 1Q 2020). Net income: US$259.6m (up US$445.3m from 1Q 2020). Profit margin: 21% (up from net loss in 1Q 2020). The move to profitability was primarily driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 59 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 27
Senior VP recently sold €169k worth of stock On the 24th of March, John Hart sold around 8k shares on-market at roughly €22.51 per share. In the last 3 months, there was an even bigger sale from another insider worth €253k. This was John's only on-market trade for the last 12 months. Recent Insider Transactions • Mar 11
Independent Director recently sold €140k worth of stock On the 8th of March, Ellis McCain sold around 5k shares on-market at roughly €25.82 per share. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Despite this recent sale, insiders have collectively bought €121m more than they sold in the last 12 months. Reported Earnings • Feb 18
Full year 2020 earnings released: US$1.65 loss per share (vs US$2.09 profit in FY 2019) The company reported a poor full year result with weaker earnings, revenues and control over costs. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: US$2.41b (down 43% from FY 2019). Net loss: US$596.9m (down 177% from profit in FY 2019). Oil reserves and sales price Proven reserves: 496.975 MMbbls Average sales price/bbl: US$34.71 Gas reserves and sales price Proven reserves: 3640.724 Bcf Average sales price/mcf: US$1.04 Combined production and costs Oil equivalent production: 109.833 MMboe (124.244 MMboe in FY 2019) Average production cost/Boe: US$5.02 (US$6.46/Boe in FY 2019) Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 67% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 22% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Feb 18
Revenue beats expectations Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.8%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 50%, compared to a 27% growth forecast for the Oil and Gas industry in Germany. Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 15
New 90-day high: €19.30 The company is up 64% from its price of €11.80 on 17 November 2020. The German market is up 10.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Oil and Gas industry, which is up 33% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is €20.55 per share. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 28
New 90-day high: €17.00 The company is up 63% from its price of €10.40 on 30 October 2020. The German market is up 19% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. However, it underperformed the Oil and Gas industry, which is up 64% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is €13.93 per share. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 08
New 90-day high: €16.30 The company is up 39% from its price of €11.70 on 09 October 2020. The German market is up 8.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Oil and Gas industry, which is up 35% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is €11.95 per share. Recent Insider Transactions • Dec 31
Independent Director recently bought €82k worth of stock On the 28th of December, Timothy Taylor bought around 6k shares on-market at roughly €13.92 per share. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have collectively bought €124m more in shares than they have sold in the last 12 months. Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 10
New 90-day high: €15.00 The company is up 35% from its price of €11.10 on 11 September 2020. The German market is up 2.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. However, it underperformed the Oil and Gas industry, which is up 39% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is €10.14 per share. Reported Earnings • Nov 08
Third quarter 2020 earnings released: US$0.22 loss per share The company reported a poor third quarter result with weaker earnings, revenues and control over expenses. Third quarter 2020 results: Revenue: US$692.4m (down 32% from 3Q 2019). Net loss: US$79.4m (down 150% from profit in 3Q 2019). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 34% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 35% per year. Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Nov 08
Revenue beats expectations Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 11%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 17%, compared to a 11% growth forecast for the Oil and Gas industry in Germany. Recent Insider Transactions • Oct 01
Founder & Executive Chairman recently bought €8.4m worth of stock On the 25th of September, Harold Hamm bought around 769k shares on-market at roughly €10.91 per share. In the last 3 months, they made an even bigger purchase worth €42m. Harold has been a buyer over the last 12 months, purchasing a net total of €66m worth in shares. Is New 90 Day High Low • Sep 25
New 90-day low: €11.00 The company is down 23% from its price of €14.20 on 26 June 2020. The German market is up 3.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Oil and Gas industry, which is up 60% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is €12.75 per share.