Naspers Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Naspers's earnings are forecast to decline at 1.4% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 21.6% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 6.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18.9% in 3 years.
Key information
-1.4%
Earnings growth rate
6.25%
EPS growth rate
| Multiline Retail earnings growth | 15.6% |
| Revenue growth rate | 21.6% |
| Future return on equity | 18.85% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 19 Apr 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 03
NPN: Future Upside Will Rely On Execution Against Refined P/E Assumptions
Naspers' analyst price target has been adjusted slightly from ZAR1,085.72 to ZAR1,076.13 as analysts refine their views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions following recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around the ZAR1,076.13 price target highlight a more cautious tone, with several Bearish analysts focusing on execution risks, valuation assumptions, and the sensitivity of Naspers' earnings to changes in discount rates and profit margin expectations.Narrative Update • Apr 18
NPN: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Portfolio Execution And Premium P/E
Narrative Update on Naspers The updated analyst price target for Naspers has shifted from around ZAR1,184 to about ZAR1,086. Analysts attribute this change to small adjustments in the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions following recent research updates.
Narrative Update • Apr 03
NPN: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Support A More Constructive Outlook
Naspers' updated analyst price target has shifted from ZAR1,752.32 to ZAR1,875.55, with analysts pointing to recalibrated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as key drivers behind the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a more constructive tone around Naspers, with bullish analysts reassessing key inputs such as discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.Narrative Update • Mar 19
NPN: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Higher Growth And Premium P/E
Analysts have raised their price target for Naspers to ZAR1,184, citing adjusted assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E as key drivers of the updated view. Valuation Changes Fair Value: ZAR1,184.25 remains unchanged in the updated assessment.Narrative Update • Mar 05
NPN: Future Returns Will Reflect Higher Growth And Premium Earnings Multiple
Narrative Update on Naspers Price Target Analysts have updated their fair value estimate for Naspers from ZAR1,242.88 to ZAR1,184.25, reflecting adjustments to assumptions around revenue, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Updated from ZAR1,242.88 to ZAR1,184.25, indicating a small cut to the central valuation estimate.Narrative Update • Feb 18
NPN: Lower Discount Rate Will Support A More Optimistic Future P/E
Analysts have slightly trimmed their Naspers fair value estimate from ZAR1,768.46 to ZAR1,752.32 as tweaks to discount rate, growth and margin assumptions feed through to a modestly higher future P/E outlook. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Updated to ZAR1,752.32 from ZAR1,768.46, representing a small reduction in the estimate.Narrative Update • Feb 04
NPN: Higher Growth Assumptions Will Support A More Optimistic Future P/E
Analysts have cut their implied fair value estimate for Naspers from R8,039.18 to R1,768.46, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that together indicate a more conservative view of the stock's potential valuation range. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Reduced from ZAR 8,039.18 to ZAR 1,768.46, pointing to a much lower implied valuation level.Analysis Article • Feb 01
Why Naspers Limited (JSE:NPN) Could Be Worth Watching
Let's talk about the popular Naspers Limited ( JSE:NPN ). The company's shares saw significant share price movement...
Narrative Update • Jan 21
NPN: Dividend Policy And Profitability Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Naspers, with fair value moving from R1,569.02 to R1,533.03, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Naspers Limited announced an annual dividend of ZAR 5.08 per share, payable on December 8, 2025, with an ex-date of December 3, 2025, and a record date of December 5, 2025 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 07
NPN: Higher Revenue Outlook And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Naspers from R1,586.07 to R1,569.02, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Naspers Limited declared an annual dividend of R5.08 per share, with an ex-date on December 3, 2025, a record date on December 5, 2025, and payment scheduled for December 8, 2025 (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Dec 22
Naspers' (JSE:NPN) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Narrative Update • Dec 19
NPN: Future Returns Will Reflect Lower Margins And Higher Required Yield
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Naspers from approximately R5,295 to about R1,243. This reflects a more conservative stance on long term profitability and valuation multiples despite relatively stable growth expectations.Analysis Article • Dec 09
Do Naspers' (JSE:NPN) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Narrative Update • Dec 05
NPN: Five-For-One Stock Split Will Unlock Additional Shareholder Value
Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on Naspers to roughly $1,586 from about $1,607, as higher assumed discount rates and lower long term profit margins, partly offset by stronger revenue growth expectations and a higher future earnings multiple, recalibrate their valuation models. What's in the News Naspers Limited declared an annual dividend of ZAR 5.08 per share, payable on December 08, 2025, with an ex-dividend date of December 03, 2025, and a record date of December 05, 2025 (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Nov 26
Naspers (JSE:NPN) Could Easily Take On More Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Narrative Update • Nov 21
NPN: Five-For-One Stock Split Will Unlock Additional Value For Shareholders
Analysts have raised their price target for Naspers, increasing the fair value estimate from R1,549.02 to R1,606.87. This change reflects updated views on modest adjustments in growth expectations and risks.Analysis Article • Nov 09
Investors Appear Satisfied With Naspers Limited's (JSE:NPN) Prospects
There wouldn't be many who think Naspers Limited's ( JSE:NPN ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.2x is worth a...Narrative Update • Nov 05
NPN: Five-For-One Stock Split Will Unlock Additional Value For Shareholders
Analysts have revised their price target for Naspers, maintaining the fair value estimate at R1,549.02 per share. The update reflects modest changes in discount rates and future growth expectations.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analysts Boost Naspers Price Target Following Stock Split and Updated Valuation Metrics
Naspers Analyst Price Target Raised amid Revised Valuation Metrics Analysts have increased their price target for Naspers from approximately R1,480 to R1,549. They cite minor adjustments to discount rates and expected earnings multiples, which slightly boost fair value estimates.Narrative Update • Oct 08
AI-Driven E-commerce And Capital Investments Will Transform Operations
Analysts have significantly lowered their price target for Naspers from R6,927.62 to R1,479.85. This change is based on updated fair value estimates and a reassessment of future earnings potential.Analysis Article • Oct 03
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Naspers Limited (JSE:NPN)?
Let's talk about the popular Naspers Limited ( JSE:NPN ). The company's shares saw a decent share price growth of 19...Narrative Update • Sep 24
AI-Driven E-commerce And Capital Investments Will Transform Operations
Despite analysts expressing increased confidence in Naspers’ growth strategy, improved core holdings outlook, and ongoing value-unlocking initiatives, the consensus analyst price target has edged down marginally from ZAR7002 to ZAR6928. Analyst Commentary Raised forecasts following positive updates from capital markets day presentations.Narrative Update • Aug 27
AI-Driven E-commerce And Capital Investments Will Transform Operations
Despite increased forecasts following capital markets day updates and new company guidance, the consensus analyst price target for Naspers has edged down slightly from ZAR7097 to ZAR7009. Analyst Commentary Increased forecasts following capital markets day presentations and updated company guidance.Analysis Article • Aug 15
Naspers (JSE:NPN) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • Jul 31
Naspers Limited's (JSE:NPN) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
It's not a stretch to say that Naspers Limited's ( JSE:NPN ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.2x right now seems...Analysis Article • Jun 30
Naspers' (JSE:NPN) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality
Naspers Limited ( JSE:NPN ) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy...Analysis Article • Jun 23
Should You Investigate Naspers Limited (JSE:NPN) At R5,235?
Naspers Limited ( JSE:NPN ) saw a significant share price rise of 23% in the past couple of months on the JSE. The...
New Narrative • Apr 26
AI-Driven E-commerce And Capital Investments Will Transform Operations
Strategic investments in competitive regions and AI-driven innovations aim to enhance revenue, net margins, and operational efficiency.Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2028 | 13,951 | 5,457 | 3,092 | 3,738 | 7 |
| 3/31/2027 | 13,168 | 4,505 | 2,119 | 2,797 | 8 |
| 3/31/2026 | 10,235 | 4,338 | 1,782 | 2,353 | 8 |
| 9/30/2025 | 7,855 | 5,747 | 1,825 | 1,957 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 7,518 | 5,559 | 1,798 | 1,931 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 7,181 | 5,370 | 1,770 | 1,905 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 7,024 | 4,420 | 1,529 | 1,655 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 6,867 | 3,470 | 1,287 | 1,405 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 6,649 | 3,298 | 1,112 | 1,220 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 6,431 | 3,125 | 937 | 1,034 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 6,320 | 3,870 | 715 | 858 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 6,208 | 4,615 | 493 | 682 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 6,084 | 4,320 | 7 | 253 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 5,960 | 4,024 | -479 | -177 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5,790 | 2,301 | -987 | -646 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 6,042 | 7,236 | -983 | -674 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 6,294 | 12,170 | -979 | -702 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 7,164 | 13,122 | -739 | -497 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 6,700 | 14,114 | -500 | -293 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 6,317 | 9,709 | -283 | -110 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 5,934 | 5,304 | -67 | 73 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 5,351 | 4,142 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 4,768 | 2,980 | -111 | -24 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 4,385 | 3,039 | -210 | -110 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 4,001 | 3,097 | -309 | -196 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,509 | 3,041 | 63 | 197 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,400 | 3,592 | N/A | 304 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,291 | 4,142 | N/A | 410 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 1,392 | 13,435 | N/A | 282 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 2,189 | 12,302 | N/A | 62 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,985 | 11,168 | N/A | -158 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 6,452 | 7,113 | N/A | -148 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 6,245 | 2,875 | N/A | -139 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 6,172 | 2,606 | N/A | -89 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 6,098 | 2,337 | N/A | -40 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 6,002 | 1,638 | N/A | -57 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,905 | 938 | N/A | -74 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 5,918 | 966 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,930 | 994 | N/A | 78 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 6,253 | 1,044 | N/A | 186 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 7,066 | 1,220 | N/A | 302 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 6,646 | 1,194 | N/A | 228 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: NPN's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.4% per year).
Earnings vs Market: NPN's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: NPN's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: NPN's revenue (21.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the ZA market (7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: NPN's revenue (21.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: NPN's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18.9%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/08 23:28 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/03/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Naspers Limited is covered by 21 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Bradley | Absa Bank Limited |
| John-Paul Davids | Barclays |
| Maurice Patrick | Barclays |