Sasol Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Sasol's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -7%, while the Chemicals industry saw earnings growing at 21% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 4.1% per year. Sasol's return on equity is 2.4%, and it has net margins of 1%.
Key information
-6.96%
Earnings growth rate
-6.52%
EPS growth rate
| Chemicals Industry Growth | 13.08% |
| Revenue growth rate | 4.07% |
| Return on equity | 2.44% |
| Net Margin | 0.97% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Dec 2025 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 03
SOL: Elevated Discount Rate And Weaker Gas Volumes Will Pressure Future P/E
Analysts now maintain Sasol's fair value price target at ZAR155.00, with only small adjustments to assumptions around the discount rate, revenue contraction, profit margin and future P/E, which together support this unchanged view. What's in the News Sasol confirmed revised guidance for fiscal year 2026, keeping most guidance unchanged while updating specific volume expectations.Narrative Update • May 16
SOL: Lower Margins And Sales Guidance Will Pressure Future P/E
Analysts have lifted their Sasol price target from ZAR151.63 to ZAR155.00, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Sasol confirmed guidance for fiscal 2026 sales volumes, with most metrics unchanged compared with fiscal 2025 levels (company guidance).Narrative Update • Apr 30
SOL: Severe EPS Collapse Will Undermine Higher Margin Outlook And Future P/E Assumptions
Analysts have raised their price target for Sasol from ZAR117.00 to approximately ZAR151.63, reflecting updated assumptions that include a slightly lower discount rate, revised revenue expectations, higher profit margin forecasts, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Updated fiscal year 2026 guidance keeps most targets unchanged.
Narrative Update • Apr 16
SOL: Higher Margins And Weaker Near Term EPS Will Shape Future Rerating
Analysts have lifted their price target on Sasol from ZAR175.84 to ZAR222.00, citing updated assumptions that include a lower discount rate, a changed revenue growth outlook, higher expected profit margins and a revised future P/E multiple. What's in the News Sasol issued revenue guidance for the six months ended 31 December 2025, focusing on expected earnings per share for the period.Narrative Update • Apr 01
SOL: Severe EPS Collapse Will Weigh On Long-Term Bio-Circular Surfactant Story
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Sasol from ZAR82 to ZAR117, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Sasol issued earnings guidance for the six months ending 31 December 2025, focusing on expected earnings per share rather than providing a revenue range.
Narrative Update • Mar 18
SOL: EPS Collapse Guidance Will Undermine Confidence In Future Earnings Sustainability
Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Sasol from ZAR122.44 to ZAR149.78, citing updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the key drivers of the new price target. What's in the News Sasol issued revenue guidance for the six months ended 31 December 2025, including an EPS range of ZAR0.10 to ZAR0.80 per share, compared with prior period EPS of ZAR7.22.Narrative Update • Mar 04
SOL: EPS Collapse Guidance Will Undermine Confidence In Higher Future Margins
Analysts have trimmed their Sasol price target slightly to ZAR122.44 from ZAR124.24, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, modestly higher revenue growth, stronger profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Sasol issued revenue guidance for the six months ending 31 December 2025, including an earnings per share (EPS) range of ZAR0.10 to ZAR0.80 per share.Narrative Update • Feb 18
SOL: Severe EPS Guidance Will Weigh On Long-Term Bio-Circular Surfactant Story
Analysts have reduced their price target for Sasol from ZAR107 to ZAR82, citing revised assumptions that include a lower revenue growth outlook, a higher projected profit margin, a reduced discount rate and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Sasol issued revenue guidance for the six months ending 31 December 2025, with expected EPS in a range of ZAR0.10 to ZAR0.80 per share.Narrative Update • Feb 04
SOL: Higher Margins And Lower Risk Profile Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price expectations for Sasol, with the fair value estimate moving from R131.11 to R124.24 as they factor in updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: reduced slightly from R131.11 to R124.24, reflecting updated assumptions in the model.Analysis Article • Jan 25
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Sasol's (JSE:SOL) Returns On Capital
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a...Narrative Update • Jan 20
SOL: Higher Profit Margin Outlook Will Support Bullish Long Term rerating
Sasol's updated analyst price target is now set around R175.84, a small move from the prior R175.22. Analysts cited revised assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as the basis for this fine tuning.Narrative Update • Jan 06
SOL: Bio-Circular Surfactants Will Support A Steady And Balanced Long-Term Outlook
Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Sasol steady at R107, with small tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions supporting the unchanged price target. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Kept unchanged at R107.00 per share, reflecting the updated set of assumptions.Analysis Article • Dec 29
Sasol (JSE:SOL) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Narrative Update • Dec 19
SOL: Bio-Circular Surfactants Will Support A More Balanced Long-Term Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Sasol from approximately $70 to $107 per share, citing a higher assumed future earnings multiple that more than offsets adjusted expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Sasol International Chemicals has launched LIVINEX IO 7, a patent-pending bio-circular surfactant derived from insect oils, positioned as a first of its kind in fabric, home care, industrial and institutional cleaning markets (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 05
SOL: Lower Risk Profile And Bio Circular Surfactants Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Sasol slightly higher, from R130.78 to R131.11. This reflects a modestly lower perceived risk via a reduced discount rate, which more than offsets slightly softer assumptions for long term revenue growth and profit margins.Analysis Article • Nov 17
Sasol Limited's (JSE:SOL) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
Sasol Limited ( JSE:SOL ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...Narrative Update • Oct 31
SOL: Surfactant Commercialization And Higher Margins Will Drive Future Performance
Analysts have revised their price target for Sasol downward from R134.11 to R130.78, citing slightly increased discount rates even though revenue growth and profit margin forecasts have improved. What's in the News Sasol International Chemicals has launched and commercialized LIVINEX IO 7, a bio-circular, palm and deforestation-free surfactant made from insect oils (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Oct 14
Sasol (JSE:SOL) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll...Analysis Article • Sep 23
Sasol (JSE:SOL) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Sep 01
Why Sasol's (JSE:SOL) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem
Investors signalled that they were pleased with Sasol Limited's ( JSE:SOL ) most recent earnings report. This reaction...Narrative Update • Aug 28
Renewable Energy And Specialty Chemicals Will Fuel Future Success
Sasol’s valuation outlook is essentially unchanged, as both the discount rate and future P/E saw only marginal adjustments, leaving the consensus analyst price target steady at ZAR123.56. What's in the News Sasol Limited expects EPS for the fiscal year ended June 2025 to increase by over 20% versus the prior year's loss per share of ZAR 69.94, which was heavily affected by negative remeasurement items of ZAR 88.13 per share (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Aug 26
Further Upside For Sasol Limited (JSE:SOL) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 35% Bounce
Despite an already strong run, Sasol Limited ( JSE:SOL ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 35% in the last...
New Narrative • Feb 09
Streamlined Operations And Renewable Energy Projects Will Improve Future Efficiency
Streamlining operations, restructuring roles, and focusing on core business could enhance efficiency, accountability, and earnings through improved margins and cash generation.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Sasol makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 249,381 | 2,408 | 44,720 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 249,239 | 4,588 | 44,826 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 249,096 | 6,767 | 44,932 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 255,012 | -21,244 | 45,174 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 260,928 | -49,255 | 45,415 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 268,020 | -46,763 | 45,665 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 275,111 | -44,271 | 45,915 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 275,650 | -20,232 | 45,911 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 276,189 | 3,806 | 45,907 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 282,943 | 6,303 | 44,985 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 289,696 | 8,799 | 44,063 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 296,162 | 23,677 | 43,095 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 302,627 | 38,555 | 42,126 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 287,687 | 38,756 | 41,645 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 272,746 | 38,956 | 41,164 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 251,300 | 24,238 | 41,715 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 229,853 | 9,519 | 42,855 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 215,882 | 9,276 | 42,041 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 201,910 | 9,032 | 40,932 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 192,538 | -36,142 | 39,476 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 183,165 | -81,316 | 37,725 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 186,766 | -86,535 | 38,726 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 190,367 | -91,754 | 39,727 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 195,085 | -49,980 | 40,953 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 199,802 | -6,389 | 42,179 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 201,689 | -1,045 | 41,226 | 0 |
| 01 Jul 19 | 203,576 | 3,389 | 40,272 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 199,914 | 10,433 | 39,112 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 196,252 | 16,568 | 37,952 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 188,857 | 12,649 | 37,165 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 181,461 | 8,729 | 36,377 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 178,563 | 13,664 | 35,404 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 175,665 | 18,599 | 34,431 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 174,036 | 19,487 | 33,556 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 172,407 | 20,374 | 32,680 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 172,885 | 17,482 | 32,389 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 173,362 | 14,589 | 32,098 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 173,152 | 13,907 | 32,224 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 172,942 | 13,225 | 32,350 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 171,423 | 15,354 | 33,180 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 169,904 | 17,483 | 34,010 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 177,585 | 23,600 | 31,908 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 185,266 | 29,716 | 29,805 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: SOL has a large one-off loss of ZAR21.4B impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st December, 2025.
Growing Profit Margin: SOL became profitable in the past.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: SOL has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by -7% per year.
Accelerating Growth: SOL has become profitable in the last year, making the earnings growth rate difficult to compare to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: SOL has become profitable in the last year, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Chemicals industry (17.6%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: SOL's Return on Equity (2.4%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/12 10:33 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Sasol Limited is covered by 15 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Gerhard Engelbrecht | Absa Bank Limited |
| Jared Hoover | Arqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L. |
| Caroline Learmonth | Barclays |