Sappi Limited

JSE:SAP Stock Report

Market Cap: R30.2b

Sappi Valuation

Is SAP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SAP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SAP (ZAR50.45) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ZAR37.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SAP is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SAP?

Key metric: As SAP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SAP. This is calculated by dividing SAP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SAP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio50.7x
EarningsUS$33.00m
Market CapUS$1.67b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SAP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SAP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.5x
ARI African Rainbow Minerals
10x10.5%R31.5b
NPH Northam Platinum Holdings
24.2x34.1%R43.6b
OMN Omnia Holdings
10.3x13.9%R11.7b
KIO Kumba Iron Ore
5.3x-9.4%R107.4b
SAP Sappi
50.6x43.0%R30.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SAP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.6x) compared to the peer average (12.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SAP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Forestry Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SAP 50.7xIndustry Avg. 15.9xNo. of Companies30PE01224364860+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SAP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.6x) compared to the Global Forestry industry average (15.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SAP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SAP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio50.7x
Fair PE Ratio17x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SAP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SAP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR50.45
R61.49
+21.9%
19.8%R77.84R36.66n/a7
Nov ’25R50.00
R57.96
+15.9%
19.5%R71.43R36.05n/a7
Oct ’25R48.61
R57.96
+19.2%
22.2%R70.65R31.71n/a6
Sep ’25R45.42
R58.90
+29.7%
21.6%R72.15R32.39n/a6
Aug ’25R52.75
R56.17
+6.5%
21.8%R68.59R32.89n/a5
Jul ’25R51.36
R53.81
+4.8%
22.4%R68.77R32.97n/a5
Jun ’25R53.54
R53.81
+0.5%
22.4%R68.77R32.97n/a5
May ’25R50.76
R54.57
+7.5%
23.1%R70.18R32.99n/a5
Apr ’25R50.29
R52.58
+4.6%
21.1%R69.92R34.95n/a5
Mar ’25R45.23
R52.58
+16.2%
21.1%R69.92R34.95n/a5
Feb ’25R45.00
R52.85
+17.4%
19.3%R69.10R37.47n/a5
Jan ’25R44.20
R52.00
+17.6%
20.2%R69.85R37.09n/a5
Dec ’24R40.55
R52.00
+28.2%
20.2%R69.85R37.09n/a5
Nov ’24R38.75
R51.90
+33.9%
20.6%R70.12R37.39R50.005
Oct ’24R44.04
R51.63
+17.2%
18.3%R66.70R37.83R48.615
Sep ’24R40.30
R48.56
+20.5%
19.2%R64.95R36.84R45.426
Aug ’24R37.92
R44.54
+17.5%
16.1%R56.40R35.43R52.756
Jul ’24R39.01
R47.60
+22.0%
17.1%R62.89R39.56R51.365
Jun ’24R44.25
R50.70
+14.6%
16.6%R65.70R41.33R53.545
May ’24R41.57
R54.31
+30.6%
28.2%R78.16R38.48R50.765
Apr ’24R45.81
R54.77
+19.5%
24.8%R76.11R37.47R50.295
Mar ’24R50.43
R58.21
+15.4%
23.5%R75.95R39.04R45.236
Feb ’24R54.52
R56.37
+3.4%
22.5%R72.75R37.50R45.006
Jan ’24R49.24
R58.79
+19.4%
22.8%R73.99R38.14R44.206
Dec ’23R50.00
R58.79
+17.6%
22.8%R73.99R38.14R40.556
Nov ’23R56.46
R62.07
+9.9%
22.1%R78.69R39.68R38.756

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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