Stock Analysis

Hulamin's (JSE:HLM) Returns Have Hit A Wall

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Having said that, from a first glance at Hulamin (JSE:HLM) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

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Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Hulamin is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.036 = R143m ÷ (R7.4b - R3.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2025).

Therefore, Hulamin has an ROCE of 3.6%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 8.4%.

See our latest analysis for Hulamin

roce
JSE:HLM Return on Capital Employed October 22nd 2025

In the above chart we have measured Hulamin's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Hulamin .

The Trend Of ROCE

In terms of Hulamin's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has consistently earned 3.6% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 59% in that time. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.

Another thing to note, Hulamin has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 46%. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.

What We Can Learn From Hulamin's ROCE

Long story short, while Hulamin has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 104% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.

If you want to know some of the risks facing Hulamin we've found 5 warning signs (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

While Hulamin isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hulamin might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About JSE:HLM

Hulamin

Engages in the manufacture and distribution of rolled and extruded aluminum products in South Africa, North America, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Australasia, South America, and rest of Africa.

Moderate risk with moderate growth potential.

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