Stock Analysis

Quantum Foods Holdings Ltd (JSE:QFH) Stock Rockets 104% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

JSE:QFH
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The Quantum Foods Holdings Ltd (JSE:QFH) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 104%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 96% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Quantum Foods Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Food industry in South Africa, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for Quantum Foods Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
JSE:QFH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024

How Quantum Foods Holdings Has Been Performing

Quantum Foods Holdings has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Quantum Foods Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Quantum Foods Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Quantum Foods Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 15%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 36% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 5.2% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's curious that Quantum Foods Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Quantum Foods Holdings' P/S?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Quantum Foods Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

To our surprise, Quantum Foods Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Quantum Foods Holdings you should be aware of, and 2 of them can't be ignored.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Quantum Foods Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Quantum Foods Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.