Barloworld Valuation

Is BAWP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BAWP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BAWP (ZAR0.81) is trading below our estimate of fair value (ZAR13.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BAWP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BAWP?

Key metric: As BAWP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BAWP. This is calculated by dividing BAWP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BAWP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.2x
EarningsR1.85b
Market CapR16.96b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BAWP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BAWP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.6x
HDC Hudaco Industries
10.1x13.9%R5.8b
IVT Invicta Holdings
7.1x12.3%R3.4b
ENX enX Group
6.2xn/aR937.7m
MMP Marshall Monteagle
15.2xn/aR1.0b
BAWP Barloworld
9x6.6%R16.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BAWP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the peer average (9.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BAWP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Trade Distributors Industry?

23 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BAWP 9.2xIndustry Avg. 14.8xNo. of Companies86PE01224364860+
23 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BAWP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the Global Trade Distributors industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BAWP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BAWP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.2x
Fair PE Ratio7.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BAWP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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