Absa Group Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Absa Group has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 11.7%, while the Banks industry saw earnings growing at 19.8% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 8.2% per year. Absa Group's return on equity is 13.4%, and it has net margins of 21.7%.
Key information
11.71%
Earnings growth rate
11.71%
EPS growth rate
| Banks Industry Growth | 7.06% |
| Revenue growth rate | 8.22% |
| Return on equity | 13.38% |
| Net Margin | 21.74% |
| Next Earnings Update | 18 Aug 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 03
ABG: Dividend Payout And Digital Remittances Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Absa Group slightly lower to reflect an updated fair value of about ZAR269.19, with modest tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Absa Group declared a final ordinary dividend of ZAR8.50 per share for the financial period ended 31 December 2025, with the last day to trade cum dividend on 21 April 2026, ex dividend on 22 April 2026, a record date of 24 April 2026, and payment on 28 April 2026.Narrative Update • Apr 28
ABG: Dividend Strength And Digital Remittances Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have kept Absa Group's fair value estimate broadly unchanged at about ZAR273.25 per share, reflecting only marginal tweaks to assumptions such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News Declared a final ordinary dividend of ZAR8.50 per share for the financial period ended 31 December 2025, with the last day to trade cum dividend on 21 April 2026, ex-dividend date on 22 April 2026, record date on 24 April 2026, and payment on 28 April 2026 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 10
ABG: Dividend Outlook And Digital Payments Expansion Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts have slightly raised their Absa Group price target to about ZAR273.25 from ZAR271.91, reflecting updated inputs on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Absa Group declared a final ordinary dividend of ZAR8.50 per share for the financial period ended 31 December 2025, with the last day to trade cum dividend on 21 April 2026 and payment scheduled for 28 April 2026 (company announcement).Narrative Update • Mar 27
ABG: Dividend Strength And Higher P/E Expectations Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Absa Group to ZAR271.91 from ZAR265.05, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margin, and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Absa Group declared a final ordinary dividend of 850 cents per share for the financial period ended 31 December 2025, with the last day to trade cum dividend on 21 April 2026 and payment scheduled for 28 April 2026 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 12
ABG: Dividend Momentum And Higher Profitability Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly adjusted their fair value price target for Absa Group to ZAR265.05. This reflects updated assumptions around a slightly lower discount rate, marginally higher revenue growth, stronger profit margins and a reduced future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Feb 26
ABG: Larger Domestic Stake And Revised Assumptions Will Support Measured Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their price target on Absa Group higher to ZAR265.05 from ZAR260.61, citing updated fair value estimates and slight adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Public Investment Corporation Limited completed the acquisition of an additional minority stake in Absa Group Limited, taking its holding to 15.32% as of December 10, 2025 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 11
ABG: Larger Domestic Stake Will Support Balanced Revenue Mix And Measured Shareholder Returns
Analysts have nudged their ZAR based price target for Absa Group higher to ZAR260.61 from ZAR259.61, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, a slightly lower discount rate, and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News Public Investment Corporation Limited increased its minority stake in Absa Group Limited, reaching a 15.32% holding after completing an additional share acquisition on December 10, 2025 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 28
ABG: Larger Domestic Stake Will Support Stable Mix Shift And Measured Shareholder Returns
Analysts have nudged their price target for Absa Group higher by about R9, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the key drivers of the change. What's in the News Public Investment Corporation Limited completed the purchase of an additional minority stake in Absa Group Limited on December 10, 2025, increasing its holding to 15.32% of the company (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 12
ABG: Larger Domestic Stake Will Support Moderate Revenue Mix Shift And Shareholder Returns
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Absa Group steady at R250.61 per share. A slightly lower discount rate and a marginally adjusted future P/E assumption help explain the modest refinement in their price target rationale.Narrative Update • Dec 24
ABG: Larger Domestic Stake Will Support Future Margins And Measured Shareholder Returns
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Absa Group from R243.84 to approximately R250.61. They cite slightly stronger expected profitability and a marginally higher future valuation multiple, while growth and risk assumptions remain largely unchanged.Narrative Update • Dec 10
ABG: Larger Domestic Stake Will Support Margins And Measured Shareholder Returns
Analysts have raised their price target for Absa Group to R243.84 from R235.28, citing slightly stronger projected revenue growth, modestly higher expected profit margins and a small uplift in future valuation multiples. What's in the News Public Investment Corporation Limited completed the acquisition of an additional minority stake in Absa Group Limited on December 10, 2025, increasing its shareholding to 15.32 percent (Key Developments) The larger strategic stake held by Public Investment Corporation Limited is expected to strengthen Absa Group's local institutional shareholder base and potentially enhance long term governance stability (Key Developments) Market observers note that the heightened ownership by a major domestic investor may influence Absa Group's capital allocation priorities and future engagement with regulators and policymakers (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate increased slightly from ZAR 235.28 to ZAR 243.84 per share, reflecting a modestly higher intrinsic valuation.Narrative Update • Nov 26
ABG: Sustained Profit Margin Improvement Will Drive Shareholder Value Into September
Narrative Update on Absa Group Analysts have raised their price target for Absa Group to R235.28 from R227.82. They cite sustained improvements in profit margin and a stable discount rate as key drivers behind the upward revision.Narrative Update • Nov 12
ABG: Dividend Announcement Will Drive Greater Shareholder Value Into September
Narrative Update: Absa Group Price Target Adjustment Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Absa Group from R224.19 to R227.82. This change is attributed to incremental improvements in growth assumptions and a slightly lower discount rate.Narrative Update • Sep 04
Pan-African Integration And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Potential
With both the Future P/E ratio and Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Absa Group holding steady, the analyst price target likewise remains unchanged at ZAR224.19. What's in the News Absa Group declared an interim ordinary dividend of 785 cents per share for the period ended 30 June 2025, payable on 15 September 2025.Analysis Article • Aug 21
Absa Group's (JSE:ABG) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
The board of Absa Group Limited ( JSE:ABG ) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of ZAR7.85 on the 15th of...
New Narrative • Feb 09
Expansion Into African Markets And Digital Initiatives Will Boost Future Performance
Expansion into African markets and digital channels is set to drive capital-light revenue growth, enhancing profitability and shareholder value.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Absa Group makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 102,195 | 22,214 | 4,743 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 100,823 | 22,569 | 5,023 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 99,450 | 22,923 | 5,302 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 97,540 | 22,230 | 4,718 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 95,629 | 21,537 | 4,134 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 93,248 | 20,241 | 3,305 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 90,867 | 18,944 | 2,475 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 89,987 | 19,418 | 2,996 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 89,107 | 19,891 | 3,516 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 87,278 | 20,282 | 3,685 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 85,449 | 20,672 | 3,854 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 84,239 | 20,469 | 3,334 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 83,028 | 20,265 | 2,813 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 82,530 | 20,126 | 2,215 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 82,032 | 19,986 | 1,617 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 79,687 | 18,875 | 1,617 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 77,342 | 17,763 | 1,617 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 74,651 | 15,660 | 1,767 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 71,863 | 13,557 | 1,917 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 66,446 | 9,719 | 1,917 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 61,029 | 5,880 | 1,917 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 61,779 | 6,490 | 1,864 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 62,529 | 7,100 | 1,920 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 67,411 | 10,678 | 1,920 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 72,292 | 14,256 | 1,920 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 71,852 | 14,281 | 2,745 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 71,411 | 14,305 | 3,569 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 70,782 | 14,111 | 3,569 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 70,153 | 13,917 | 3,569 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 69,060 | 13,818 | 2,684 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 67,966 | 13,718 | 1,799 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 67,117 | 13,803 | 2,599 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 66,268 | 13,888 | 3,399 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 65,548 | 14,500 | 4,045 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 64,828 | 15,112 | 4,691 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 64,173 | 14,910 | 4,300 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 63,517 | 14,708 | 3,908 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 63,039 | 14,644 | 4,412 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 62,560 | 14,580 | 4,916 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 61,402 | 14,456 | 4,508 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 60,243 | 14,331 | 4,099 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 59,410 | 14,076 | 3,943 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 58,577 | 13,820 | 3,786 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: ABG has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: ABG's current net profit margins (21.7%) are lower than last year (22.5%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: ABG's earnings have grown by 11.7% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: ABG's earnings growth over the past year (3.1%) is below its 5-year average (11.7% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: ABG earnings growth over the past year (3.1%) did not outperform the Banks industry 13.2%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: ABG's Return on Equity (13.4%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/10 00:58 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/10 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Absa Group Limited is covered by 15 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Ilan Stermer | Anchor Stockbrokers Proprietary Limited |
| Jaap Meijer | Arqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L. |
| Adrienne Damant | Avior Capital Markets |