Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 16
Now 23% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 4.2% to ₫14,900. The fair value is estimated to be ₫12,092, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 76%. Reported Earnings • Mar 29
Full year 2025 earnings released: EPS: ₫1,941 (vs ₫1,857 in FY 2024) Full year 2025 results: EPS: ₫1,941 (up from ₫1,857 in FY 2024). Revenue: ₫1.66t (down 6.5% from FY 2024). Net income: ₫61.5b (up 4.5% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 3.7% (up from 3.3% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 76% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 21% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 25
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15% After last week's 15% share price gain to ₫16,500, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 8.9x. Average trailing P/E is 11x in the Logistics industry in Vietnam. Total returns to shareholders of 130% over the past three years. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 13
Now 21% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 8.3% to ₫14,300. The fair value is estimated to be ₫11,854, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 12% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 75%. Reported Earnings • Feb 10
Full year 2025 earnings released: EPS: ₫1,854 (vs ₫1,889 in FY 2024) Full year 2025 results: EPS: ₫1,854 (down from ₫1,889 in FY 2024). Revenue: ₫1.66t (down 6.5% from FY 2024). Net income: ₫58.8b (down 1.9% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 3.5% (up from 3.4% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 75% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 18% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • Jan 27
Vinafreight Joint Stock Company, Annual General Meeting, Mar 23, 2026 Vinafreight Joint Stock Company, Annual General Meeting, Mar 23, 2026, at 13:30 SE Asia Standard Time. Location: hoa vien tri ky restaurant, duc nhuan ward, ho chi minh Vietnam Reported Earnings • Nov 02
Third quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: ₫601 (vs ₫1,124 in 3Q 2024) Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: ₫601 (down from ₫1,124 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: ₫416.9b (down 16% from 3Q 2024). Net income: ₫17.0b (down 52% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 4.1% (down from 7.2% in 3Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 48% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 11% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 22
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to ₫17,400, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 7.9x. Average trailing P/E is 14x in the Logistics industry in Vietnam. Total returns to shareholders of 43% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Aug 07
Second quarter 2025 earnings released: EPS: ₫562 (vs ₫396 in 2Q 2024) Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: ₫562 (up from ₫396 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: ₫417.1b (down 14% from 2Q 2024). Net income: ₫17.8b (up 42% from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 4.3% (up from 2.6% in 2Q 2024). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 18% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 1% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 16
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16% After last week's 16% share price decline to ₫13,800, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 6.8x. Average trailing P/E is 14x in the Logistics industry in Vietnam. Total returns to shareholders of 16% over the past three years. Upcoming Dividend • Jun 03
Upcoming dividend of ₫1,500 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 10 June 2025. Payment date: 26 June 2025. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits but is generating plenty of cash to support the dividend. Trailing yield: 4.3%. Lower than top quartile of Vietnamese dividend payers (8.0%). Higher than average of industry peers (3.2%). Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 26
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15% After last week's 15% share price gain to ₫16,000, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 7.9x. Average trailing P/E is 13x in the Logistics industry in Vietnam. Total loss to shareholders of 4.9% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 04
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17% After last week's 17% share price decline to ₫13,000, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 6.9x. Average trailing P/E is 16x in the Logistics industry in Vietnam. Total loss to shareholders of 35% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Apr 03
Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: ₫1,889 (vs ₫95.66 in FY 2023) Full year 2024 results: EPS: ₫1,889 (up from ₫95.66 in FY 2023). Revenue: ₫1.77t (up 58% from FY 2023). Net income: ₫59.9b (up ₫56.8b from FY 2023). Profit margin: 3.4% (up from 0.3% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 53% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 17% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Reported Earnings • Feb 07
Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: ₫2,363 (vs ₫174 in FY 2023) Full year 2024 results: EPS: ₫2,363 (up from ₫174 in FY 2023). Revenue: ₫1.77t (up 58% from FY 2023). Net income: ₫74.9b (up ₫69.4b from FY 2023). Profit margin: 4.2% (up from 0.5% in FY 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 41% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 3% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 01
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19% After last week's 19% share price gain to ₫12,900, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 69.9x. Average trailing P/E is 30x in the Logistics industry in Vietnam. Total loss to shareholders of 8.3% over the past three years. New Risk • Aug 19
New minor risk - Financial data availability The company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended December 2023. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 380% Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Revenue has declined by 47% over the past year. Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported December 2023 fiscal period end). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (0.5% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (₫348.9b market cap, or US$14.0m). Upcoming Dividend • Jul 10
Upcoming dividend of ₫700 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 17 July 2024. Payment date: 02 August 2024. Trailing yield: 6.0%. Lower than top quartile of Vietnamese dividend payers (8.3%). Lower than average of industry peers (7.2%). New Risk • Jun 25
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Vietnamese stocks, typically moving 6.3% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 94% Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Revenue has declined by 47% over the past year. Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.3% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (0.5% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (₫358.4b market cap, or US$14.0m). Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 20
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21% After last week's 21% share price gain to ₫12,500, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 67.8x. Average trailing P/E is 23x in the Logistics industry in Vietnam. Total returns to shareholders of 34% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Feb 02
Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: ₫184 (vs ₫745 in FY 2022) Full year 2023 results: EPS: ₫184 (down from ₫745 in FY 2022). Revenue: ₫1.12t (down 47% from FY 2022). Net income: ₫5.85b (down 72% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 0.5% (down from 1.0% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 28% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 12% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. New Risk • Jan 30
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Vietnamese stocks, typically moving 6.0% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 94% Cash payout ratio: 292% Earnings have declined by 3.4% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.0% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (₫279.1b market cap, or US$11.4m). Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 23
Now 20% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 11% to ₫8,000. The fair value is estimated to be ₫6,654, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has declined by 20% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. New Risk • Oct 31
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings have declined by 3.4% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 94% Cash payout ratio: 292% Earnings have declined by 3.4% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (₫256.9b market cap, or US$10.5m). Reported Earnings • Oct 31
Third quarter 2023 earnings released: ₫82.00 loss per share (vs ₫79.18 loss in 3Q 2022) Third quarter 2023 results: ₫82.00 loss per share (further deteriorated from ₫79.18 loss in 3Q 2022). Revenue: ₫283.7b (up 22% from 3Q 2022). Net loss: ₫2.61b (loss widened 53% from 3Q 2022). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 24% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 30% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Reported Earnings • Aug 03
Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: ₫80.00 (vs ₫152 in 2Q 2022) Second quarter 2023 results: EPS: ₫80.00 (down from ₫152 in 2Q 2022). Revenue: ₫266.5b (down 13% from 2Q 2022). Net income: ₫2.55b (down 57% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 1.0% (down from 1.9% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 8% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 28% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Upcoming Dividend • Jul 20
Upcoming dividend of ₫700 per share at 4.0% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 27 July 2023. Payment date: 18 August 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 20% but the company is paying out more than the cash it is generating. Trailing yield: 4.0%. Lower than top quartile of Vietnamese dividend payers (8.4%). Higher than average of industry peers (3.6%). Reported Earnings • May 14
First quarter 2023 earnings released: ₫94.00 loss per share (vs ₫548 profit in 1Q 2022) First quarter 2023 results: ₫94.00 loss per share (down from ₫548 profit in 1Q 2022). Revenue: ₫183.1b (down 86% from 1Q 2022). Net loss: ₫2.99b (down 116% from profit in 1Q 2022). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 12% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 27% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Reported Earnings • Feb 08
Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: ₫745 (vs ₫2,586 in FY 2021) Full year 2022 results: EPS: ₫745 (down from ₫2,586 in FY 2021). Revenue: ₫2.10t (down 57% from FY 2021). Net income: ₫21.0b (down 69% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 1.0% (down from 1.4% in FY 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 25% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 27% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 01
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 16% share price gain to ₫11,300, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 5.5x. Average trailing P/E is 11x in the Logistics industry in Vietnam. Total loss to shareholders of 40% over the past year. Board Change • Nov 16
No independent directors No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 6 experienced directors. 1 highly experienced director. No independent directors (7 non-independent directors). Chairman Bich Nguyen was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2013. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment. Reported Earnings • Nov 05
Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: ₫42.00 (vs ₫540 in 3Q 2021) Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: ₫42.00 (down from ₫540 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: ₫267.7b (down 75% from 3Q 2021). Net income: ₫1.18b (down 92% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 0.4% (down from 1.4% in 3Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 40% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 21% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 10
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 17% share price decline to ₫12,100, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 4.9x. Average trailing P/E is 12x in the Logistics industry in Vietnam. Negligible returns to shareholders over past three years. Reported Earnings • Aug 04
Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: ₫182 (vs ₫866 in 2Q 2021) Second quarter 2022 results: EPS: ₫182 (down from ₫866 in 2Q 2021). Revenue: ₫306.7b (down 72% from 2Q 2021). Net income: ₫5.93b (down 55% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 1.9% (up from 1.2% in 2Q 2021). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Upcoming Dividend • Jun 21
Upcoming dividend of ₫500 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 28 June 2022. Payment date: 15 July 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 16% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 2.7%. Lower than top quartile of Vietnamese dividend payers (8.0%). In line with average of industry peers (2.9%). Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 13
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 17% share price decline to ₫19,600, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 6x. Average trailing P/E is 14x in the Logistics industry in Vietnam. Total returns to shareholders of 69% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • May 08
First quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: ₫657 (vs ₫150 loss in 1Q 2021) First quarter 2022 results: EPS: ₫657 (up from ₫150 loss in 1Q 2021). Revenue: ₫1.33t (up 65% from 1Q 2021). Net income: ₫18.5b (up ₫19.3b from 1Q 2021). Profit margin: 1.4% (up from net loss in 1Q 2021). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 13% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 10% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Board Change • Apr 27
No independent directors No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 6 experienced directors. 1 highly experienced director. No independent directors (7 non-independent directors). Chairman Bich Nguyen was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2013. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 24
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 22% share price gain to ₫31,600, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 12.5x. Average trailing P/E is 15x in the Logistics industry in Vietnam. Total returns to shareholders of 209% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Jan 28
Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations Full year 2021 results: EPS: ₫3,103 (up from ₫2,196 in FY 2020). Revenue: ₫4.90t (up 98% from FY 2020). Net income: ₫66.6b (up 185% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 1.4% (up from 0.9% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 19% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 5% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Reported Earnings • Nov 07
Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ₫681 (vs ₫566 in 3Q 2020) The company reported a strong third quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: ₫1.09t (up 54% from 3Q 2020). Net income: ₫15.5b (up 130% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 1.4% (up from 1.0% in 3Q 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 36% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 4% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 15
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 18% share price gain to ₫20,000, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 8.4x. Average trailing P/E is 17x in the Logistics industry in Asia. Total returns to shareholders of 13% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 01
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 19% share price gain to ₫16,200, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 7.4x. Average trailing P/E is 18x in the Logistics industry in Asia. Total loss to shareholders of 9.1% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 16
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 25% share price gain to ₫15,900, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 7.3x. Average trailing P/E is 20x in the Logistics industry in Asia. Total loss to shareholders of 22% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 19
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 21% share price gain to ₫13,300, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 6.1x. Average trailing P/E is 21x in the Logistics industry in Asia. Reported Earnings • May 06
First quarter 2021 earnings released: ₫158 loss per share (vs ₫158 loss in 1Q 2020) The company reported a mediocre first quarter result with no improvement to losses, revenues or control over costs. First quarter 2021 results: Revenue: ₫803.7b (flat on 1Q 2020). Net loss: ₫800.0m (flat on 1Q 2020). Upcoming Dividend • Nov 09
Upcoming Dividend of ₫500 Per Share Will be paid on the 3rd of December to those who are registered shareholders by the 16th of November. The company last paid an ordinary dividend in November 2014. The average dividend yield among industry peers is 5.9%.