GELEX Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

GELEX Group's earnings are forecast to decline at 16% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 11.3% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 12.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.7% in 3 years.

Key information

-16.0%

Earnings growth rate

-12.7%

EPS growth rate

Electrical earnings growth	30.2%
Revenue growth rate	11.3%
Future return on equity	6.7%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	29 Aug 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

HOSE:GEX - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (VND Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	40,576,000	941,000	N/A	2,776,000	1
12/31/2025	35,622,000	664,000	N/A	2,783,000	1
12/31/2024	31,878,500	1,278,500	N/A	3,523,500	2
9/30/2024	31,721,773	1,097,153	-5,581,717	-1,630,081	N/A
6/30/2024	30,500,373	1,099,141	-3,252,778	1,076,658	N/A
3/31/2024	30,247,839	529,716	-194,616	4,745,006	N/A
12/31/2023	29,997,836	330,357	-901,142	4,425,878	N/A
9/30/2023	29,253,154	352,689	-48,137	5,898,076	N/A
6/30/2023	28,779,796	264,330	1,448,903	6,136,634	N/A
3/31/2023	29,853,360	-17,541	3,196,293	7,593,566	N/A
12/31/2022	32,088,753	317,187	3,830,709	7,917,250	N/A
9/30/2022	34,149,757	456,840	4,077,759	10,136,962	N/A
6/30/2022	33,178,592	676,973	-3,818,246	3,279,881	N/A
3/31/2022	32,810,675	973,910	-7,595,951	212,001	N/A
12/31/2021	28,578,399	982,360	-10,491,052	-2,513,763	N/A
9/30/2021	25,045,535	1,021,653	-10,221,918	-5,595,580	N/A
6/30/2021	23,736,366	928,784	-3,417,796	75,707	N/A
3/31/2021	18,862,101	972,707	-3,484,735	-702,269	N/A
12/31/2020	17,948,713	779,469	-1,544,125	373,324	N/A
9/30/2020	16,371,817	650,671	-1,546,346	-193,832	N/A
6/30/2020	15,540,945	681,679	-2,202,590	-695,980	N/A
3/31/2020	15,749,744	491,734	-1,272,524	199,323	N/A
12/31/2019	15,314,986	560,636	-359,325	1,167,892	N/A
9/30/2019	14,653,319	666,235	-678,251	1,128,929	N/A
6/30/2019	14,581,114	803,810	335,137	2,316,493	N/A
3/31/2019	13,922,801	729,658	-463,374	739,791	N/A
12/31/2018	13,699,130	915,979	-568,689	493,396	N/A
9/30/2018	13,364,921	825,305	1,173,536	1,991,923	N/A
6/30/2018	12,512,622	678,036	N/A	537,888	N/A
3/31/2018	12,004,855	585,479	N/A	311,562	N/A
12/31/2017	11,984,141	573,910	N/A	-30,513	N/A
9/30/2017	10,404,734	486,161	N/A	-1,440,925	N/A
6/30/2017	9,352,392	487,802	N/A	-1,117,258	N/A
3/31/2017	8,473,360	661,374	N/A	-352,689	N/A
12/31/2016	7,297,113	446,514	N/A	-8,863	N/A
9/30/2016	6,183,873	432,842	N/A	258,772	N/A
6/30/2016	7,685,647	376,249	N/A	105,257	N/A
3/31/2016	8,028,379	310,913	N/A	-136,797	N/A
1/1/2016	8,382,707	321,110	N/A	5,537	N/A
9/30/2015	9,962,602	317,747	N/A	-68,968	N/A
6/30/2015	8,427,964	329,726	N/A	383,730	N/A
3/31/2015	8,843,038	354,654	N/A	685,244	N/A
12/31/2014	8,735,023	318,432	N/A	555,894	N/A
9/30/2014	8,724,511	341,664	N/A	620,231	N/A
6/30/2014	8,700,201	322,956	N/A	349,420	N/A
3/31/2014	7,811,708	301,270	N/A	115,439	N/A
12/31/2013	7,388,083	309,553	N/A	211,938	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GEX's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-16% per year).

Earnings vs Market: GEX's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-16% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GEX's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GEX's revenue (11.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the VN market (16.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GEX's revenue (11.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GEX's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.7%).

GELEX Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 11% to ₫24,700

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%

Price target increased to ₫40,000

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

Price target increased to ₫30,000

Recent updates

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: ₫116 (vs ₫143 in 3Q 2023)

Price target decreased by 11% to ₫24,700

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: ₫998 (vs ₫377 in 2Q 2023)

New minor risk - Earnings quality

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: ₫127 (vs ₫108 loss in 1Q 2023)

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

GELEX Group Joint Stock Company, Annual General Meeting, Mar 28, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: ₫389 (vs ₫433 in FY 2022)

GELEX Group Joint Stock Company Announces Executive Changes

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 19%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 21%

New major risk - Financial position

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: ₫377 (vs ₫15.34 in 2Q 2022)

GELEX Group Joint Stock Company Appoints Do Xuan Thang as Head of the Representative Office

First quarter 2023 earnings released: ₫108 loss per share (vs ₫315 profit in 1Q 2022)

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: ₫446 (vs ₫1,501 in FY 2021)

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

No independent directors

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Second quarter 2022 earnings released

GELEX Group Joint Stock Company Announces Cash Dividend for the Fiscal Year 2021, Payable on July 28, 2022

Upcoming dividend of ₫500 per share

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Upcoming dividend of ₫500 per share

GELEX Group Joint Stock Company Recommends Cash Dividend

GELEX Group Joint Stock Company Announces Board Changes

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

No independent directors

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Price target increased to ₫40,000

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS ₫593 (vs ₫627 in 2Q 2020)

Consensus forecasts updated

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Consensus forecasts updated

Price target increased to ₫30,000

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Analysts update estimates

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS ₫1.66 (vs ₫1,326 in FY 2019)

Revenue and earnings beat expectations

New 90-day low: ₫18,850

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

New 90-day high: ₫24,800

Vietnam Electrical Equipment Joint Stock Corporation (HOSE:GEX) acquired 16.23% stake in Nam Mu Hydropower Joint Stock Company (HNX:HJS).

Vietnam Electrical Equipment Joint Stock Corporation (HOSE:GEX) completed the acquisition of 21.19% stake in Viglacera Corporation (HOSE:VGC) for VND 2 trillion.

Analysts lower EPS estimates to ₫1,381

Price target raised to ₫22,200

New 90-day high - ₫22,200

Indo Trans Logistics Corporation proposed to acquire remaining 58.2% stake in South Logistics Joint Stock Company (HOSE:STG) from Vietnam Electrical Equipment Joint Stock Corporation (HOSE:GEX) and others.

First half earnings released

Vietnam Electrical Equipment Joint Stock Corporation (HOSE:GEX) made an offer to acquire 21.18% stake in Viglacera Corporation (HOSE:VGC).

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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