National Grid plc

OTCPK:NGGT.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$92.7b

National Grid Valuation

Is NGGT.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of NGGT.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: NGGT.F ($18.34) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value ($16.66)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: NGGT.F is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NGGT.F?

Key metric: As NGGT.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NGGT.F. This is calculated by dividing NGGT.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NGGT.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.6x
EarningsUK£2.87b
Market CapUK£67.91b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NGGT.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NGGT.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23x
SRE Sempra
29.3x13.74%US$61.9b
D Dominion Energy
21.8x8.20%US$56.8b
PEG Public Service Enterprise Group
20.7x5.62%US$43.1b
ED Consolidated Edison
20.2x7.54%US$41.0b
NGGT.F National Grid
23.6x11.72%US$67.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NGGT.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.6x) compared to the peer average (23x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NGGT.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Integrated Utilities Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NGGT.F 23.6xIndustry Avg. 19.8xNo. of Companies10PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NGGT.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.6x) compared to the Global Integrated Utilities industry average (19.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NGGT.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NGGT.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.6x
Fair PE Ratio30.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NGGT.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NGGT.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$18.34
US$16.88
-7.97%
9.34%US$19.23US$14.49n/a16
Feb ’27US$17.78
US$16.79
-5.55%
8.20%US$19.23US$14.59n/a16
Jan ’27US$15.80
US$16.00
+1.26%
7.14%US$17.39US$14.32n/a15
Dec ’26US$15.37
US$15.47
+0.65%
7.25%US$17.04US$14.03n/a15
Nov ’26US$15.04
US$15.45
+2.76%
5.87%US$16.55US$14.06n/a15
Oct ’26US$15.17
US$15.71
+3.56%
5.61%US$16.80US$14.27n/a16
Sep ’26US$14.69
US$15.85
+7.92%
5.44%US$17.01US$14.44n/a16
Aug ’26US$14.92
US$15.86
+6.31%
4.98%US$16.93US$14.38n/a16
Jul ’26US$14.60
US$16.16
+10.65%
4.82%US$17.18US$14.70n/a16
Jun ’26US$14.29
US$15.66
+9.58%
5.96%US$16.84US$13.07n/a16
May ’26US$15.02
US$15.21
+1.28%
5.84%US$16.42US$13.00n/a16
Apr ’26US$12.98
US$14.68
+13.09%
5.59%US$15.88US$12.58n/a16
Mar ’26US$12.12
US$14.18
+17.01%
5.96%US$15.41US$12.20n/a16
Feb ’26US$12.00
US$13.99
+16.66%
5.92%US$15.24US$12.07US$17.7816
Jan ’26US$11.76
US$14.13
+20.11%
5.77%US$15.36US$12.16US$15.8016
Dec ’25US$13.08
US$14.47
+10.68%
6.02%US$15.83US$12.48US$15.3715
Nov ’25US$12.55
US$14.60
+16.37%
5.77%US$16.07US$12.68US$15.0415
Oct ’25US$13.65
US$14.92
+9.27%
6.30%US$16.34US$12.88US$15.1715
Sep ’25US$12.60
US$14.11
+12.00%
6.00%US$15.31US$12.38US$14.6915
Aug ’25US$12.90
US$14.09
+9.24%
6.00%US$15.29US$12.36US$14.9215
Jul ’25US$11.19
US$13.96
+24.77%
5.88%US$15.17US$12.26US$14.6015
Jun ’25US$11.18
US$14.40
+28.82%
9.36%US$17.40US$11.73US$14.2915
May ’25US$13.46
US$14.89
+10.58%
7.95%US$16.62US$12.51US$15.0215
Apr ’25US$13.94
US$14.68
+5.31%
9.26%US$16.79US$11.99US$12.9815
Mar ’25US$12.95
US$14.67
+13.24%
8.88%US$16.80US$12.00US$12.1216
Feb ’25US$13.70
US$14.53
+6.03%
8.84%US$16.83US$12.11US$12.0016
US$16.74
Fair Value
9.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/16 06:50
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/13 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2025/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

National Grid plc is covered by 33 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gary HovisArgus Research Company
Dominic NashBarclays
Daniel FordBarclays