Guangdong Investment Limited

OTCPK:GGDV.Y Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.1b

Guangdong Investment Valuation

Is GGDV.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GGDV.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GGDV.Y ($31) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($205.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GGDV.Y is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GGDV.Y?

Key metric: As GGDV.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GGDV.Y. This is calculated by dividing GGDV.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GGDV.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11x
EarningsHK$2.89b
Market CapHK$31.84b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GGDV.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GGDV.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.2x
AWR American States Water
29.1x8.7%US$3.2b
CWT California Water Service Group
15.1x0.3%US$3.0b
SJW SJW Group
20.4x7.6%US$1.8b
WTRG Essential Utilities
20.3x7.0%US$11.1b
GGDV.Y Guangdong Investment
11x13.6%US$31.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GGDV.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the peer average (21.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GGDV.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Water Utilities Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GGDV.Y 11.0xIndustry Avg. 17.0xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GGDV.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the Global Water Utilities industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GGDV.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GGDV.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GGDV.Y's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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