AGL Energy Valuation

Is AGLN.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AGLN.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AGLN.F ($7.05) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($6.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AGLN.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AGLN.F?

Key metric: As AGLN.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AGLN.F. This is calculated by dividing AGLN.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AGLN.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.1x
EarningsAU$711.00m
Market CapAU$7.88b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AGLN.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AGLN.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.7x
BKH Black Hills
17.6x9.8%US$4.5b
NWE NorthWestern Energy Group
14.9x4.4%US$3.4b
AVA Avista
15.2x6.7%US$3.0b
NI NiSource
23x11.6%US$17.1b
AGLN.F AGL Energy
11.1x0.1%US$7.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AGLN.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the peer average (16.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AGLN.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Integrated Utilities Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AGLN.F 11.1xIndustry Avg. 17.6xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AGLN.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the Global Integrated Utilities industry average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AGLN.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AGLN.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AGLN.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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