Unitil Valuation

Is UTL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UTL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UTL ($48.89) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($50.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UTL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UTL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

UTL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.4x
PEG Ratio2.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UTL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UTL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.7x
AVA Avista
15.5x6.6%US$2.7b
NWE NorthWestern Energy Group
15.4x5.6%US$3.0b
BKH Black Hills
13.6xn/aUS$3.6b
NI NiSource
18.3x10.0%US$12.1b
UTL Unitil
17.5x8.1%US$790.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UTL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the peer average (15.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UTL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Integrated Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UTL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the Global Integrated Utilities industry average (15.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UTL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UTL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.5x
Fair PE Ratio17x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UTL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UTL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$48.89
US$53.33
+9.1%
6.4%US$58.00US$50.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$51.71
US$53.33
+3.1%
6.4%US$58.00US$50.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$51.72
US$53.33
+3.1%
6.4%US$58.00US$50.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$49.78
US$53.33
+7.1%
6.4%US$58.00US$50.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$52.57
US$51.67
-1.7%
10.3%US$58.00US$45.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$49.34
US$51.67
+4.7%
10.3%US$58.00US$45.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$45.79
US$54.50
+19.0%
6.4%US$58.00US$51.00n/a2
Oct ’24US$42.71
US$54.50
+27.6%
6.4%US$58.00US$51.00n/a2
Sep ’24US$49.00
US$54.00
+10.2%
8.0%US$58.00US$48.00n/a3
Aug ’24US$50.37
US$56.00
+11.2%
11.7%US$64.00US$48.00n/a3
Jul ’24US$50.71
US$56.00
+10.4%
11.7%US$64.00US$48.00n/a3
Jun ’24US$51.97
US$56.00
+7.8%
11.7%US$64.00US$48.00n/a3
May ’24US$55.89
US$56.00
+0.2%
11.7%US$64.00US$48.00n/a3
Apr ’24US$57.04
US$56.00
-1.8%
11.7%US$64.00US$48.00US$51.713
Mar ’24US$53.29
US$56.00
+5.1%
11.7%US$64.00US$48.00US$51.723
Feb ’24US$52.33
US$55.67
+6.4%
11.8%US$64.00US$48.00US$49.783
Jan ’24US$51.36
US$54.67
+6.4%
12.4%US$64.00US$48.00US$52.573
Dec ’23US$53.67
US$54.67
+1.9%
12.4%US$64.00US$48.00US$49.343
Nov ’23US$54.88
US$56.33
+2.6%
9.7%US$64.00US$52.00US$45.793
Oct ’23US$46.45
US$56.33
+21.3%
9.7%US$64.00US$52.00US$42.713
Sep ’23US$53.15
US$56.33
+6.0%
9.7%US$64.00US$52.00US$49.003
Aug ’23US$54.23
US$54.67
+0.8%
9.6%US$62.00US$50.00US$50.373
Jul ’23US$61.00
US$55.67
-8.7%
8.1%US$62.00US$52.00US$50.713
Jun ’23US$57.80
US$55.67
-3.7%
8.1%US$62.00US$52.00US$51.973
May ’23US$51.00
US$55.67
+9.2%
8.1%US$62.00US$52.00US$55.893
Apr ’23US$51.83
US$54.67
+5.5%
9.6%US$62.00US$50.00US$57.043

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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