Stock Analysis

How Strong Q3 Results and Upgraded Outlook at PPL (PPL) Have Changed Its Investment Story

  • PPL Corporation recently reported strong third-quarter and nine-month 2025 results, with sales rising to US$2.24 billion and net income reaching US$318 million for the quarter, and the company reaffirmed its narrowed 2025 earnings guidance while outlining expectations for 6% to 8% annual EPS and dividend growth through at least 2028.
  • This combination of higher sales, increased net income, and a sustained long-term growth outlook highlights PPL's continued operational momentum and management's confidence in its ability to deliver on future earnings targets.
  • We'll examine how PPL's robust quarterly earnings and long-term growth outlook strengthen its investment narrative amid rising demand and industry shifts.

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PPL Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in PPL, you need to believe that the company can capitalize on rising demand from data center and economic growth, all while navigating regulatory and capital recovery challenges. The latest results show operational progress and confidence in long-term growth, but the news does not materially shift the main short-term catalyst, which remains executing on large infrastructure investments, nor does it meaningfully alter the key risk of regulatory lag or adverse rate decisions for cost recovery.

PPL's confirmation of its narrowed 2025 earnings guidance, with a midpoint of US$1.81 per share and maintained EPS and dividend growth targets through 2028, is the most relevant announcement. This supports management’s view that capital projects and revenue growth remain on track, directly linking to the catalyst of robust infrastructure investment and the expectation for higher regulated earnings, as long as regulatory recovery stays favorable.

However, investors should be mindful that if regulatory timelines slip or cost recovery proves less favorable than anticipated...

Read the full narrative on PPL (it's free!)

PPL's outlook projects $9.6 billion in revenue and $1.7 billion in earnings by 2028. This is based on an expected 2.8% annual revenue growth rate and an earnings increase of approximately $714 million from the current earnings of $986 million.

Uncover how PPL's forecasts yield a $40.60 fair value, a 10% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

PPL Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
PPL Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Simply Wall St Community members pegged PPL's fair value estimates between US$40.60 and US$41.09, with just 2 analyses included. With major grid upgrades planned, the true impact will hinge on future regulatory outcomes, so check multiple viewpoints before deciding.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on PPL - why the stock might be worth just $40.60!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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