Oklo Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 0/6
Oklo's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -52.4%, while the Electric Utilities industry saw earnings growing at 6.7% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 171.2% per year.
Key information
-52.35%
Earnings growth rate
23.68%
EPS growth rate
| Electric Utilities Industry Growth | 6.28% |
| Revenue growth rate | 171.15% |
| Return on equity | -4.67% |
| Net Margin | -12,625.54% |
| Last Earnings Update | 30 Jun 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Sep 04
OKLO: Future Reactor Milestones And AI Power Deals Will Drive Repricing
Oklo's analyst fair value estimate has been revised from $166.74 to $130.00, as analysts refresh their models to reflect updated views on execution risk, capital needs, and first-of-a-kind project economics following recent sector and company specific research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Oklo points to a mix of caution around first of a kind project risk and capital intensity, alongside clear pockets of optimism about the company’s long term potential and business model.Seeking Alpha • Sep 04
Oklo Inc.: The AI Power Trade Is Getting More Tangible
Summary I maintain my Buy rating of Oklo with my price target revised from $99 to $88 due to dilution. Q2 2026 demonstrated tangible execution progress: Groves achieved first criticality, Aurora-INL advanced, and Aurora-Ohio secured key agreements. My normalized EBITDA estimate rises modestly to $443 million, with improved confidence in risk-adjusted capacity for Ohio, INL, Fuel, and Isotopes. Despite dilution from equity raises, OKLO’s $3B cash position and strengthened operating story support 120% upside from current levels. The risks remain substantial, particularly around construction, regulatory timelines, fuel availability, dilution, and the timing of commercial cash flows. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Aug 21
OKLO: Capital Intensive Nuclear Buildout Will Prolong Execution And Cash Flow Risks
Oklo's analyst fair value estimate has been revised lower from $30.21 to $26.24 as analysts trim price targets across the sector, while still citing progress on balance sheet strength, execution capabilities, and long term deployment plans. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Oklo points to a mixed but increasingly cautious tone.Narrative Update • Aug 07
OKLO: Capital Intensive Buildout And Execution Risks Will Delay Cash Generation
Oklo's analyst fair value estimate has shifted to $30.21 from $27.28 as analysts weigh updated revenue growth, margin, and long term P/E assumptions against mixed price target revisions and ongoing execution and capital requirements highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Oklo shows a split view between optimism on the long term opportunity in advanced nuclear and caution around execution, capital intensity, and the timing of commercial milestones.Narrative Update • Jul 24
OKLO: Capital Intensive Nuclear Buildout Will Push Meaningful Cash Flows Beyond 2030
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Oklo to $27.28 from $31.07, citing a balance between optimism around advanced nuclear commercialization, reflected in varied targets from about $51 to $80, and caution around execution risk, capital intensity, and the timing of future cash flows. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Oklo highlights a split view, with bullish targets clustered in the US$70 to US$80 range and a growing set of more cautious voices focused on execution, funding needs, and the timing of future profitability.Narrative Update • Jul 10
OKLO: Capital Intensive Reactor Build Out Will Delay Earnings And Cash Flows
Oklo's analyst price target has reset higher from about $23.00 to roughly $31.07, as analysts balance the company's vertically integrated SMR model and early commercial agreements with Meta against capital intensity, execution risk, and mixed ratings that range from Neutral stances with trimmed targets to more optimistic views up to $80. Analyst Commentary on Oklo Recent Street research on Oklo highlights a mix of optimism about its small modular reactor ambitions and caution around capital needs, timelines, and cash generation.
Narrative Update • Jun 26
OKLO: Regulatory And Fuel Milestones Will Support Advanced Reactor Rollout
Oklo's updated analyst price target has been reduced from about $112 to roughly $89, as analysts balance the company's early commercial traction and vertically integrated SMR model against capital-intensive project buildout, execution risk, and the long runway to positive free cash flow highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Oklo highlights a mix of optimism around its small modular reactor opportunity and caution around the long and capital-heavy path to commercial maturity.
New Narrative • Jun 05
High risk, unproven, but with big potential.
Oklo is another modular / small nuclear reactor maker, calling them Aurora Powerhouses. But, it's not trying to sell reactors, it's trying to sell long-term electricity contracts, maintaining ownership of the plants.New Narrative • Apr 02
Fuel And Isotope Execution Risks Will Limit Benefits From Long Term Nuclear Tailwinds
Catalysts About Oklo Oklo develops and deploys compact advanced nuclear reactors, along with related fuel and isotope businesses. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?New Narrative • Mar 19
Advanced Nuclear Policy And Fuel Progress Will Support Long-Term Clean Power And Isotope Demand
Catalysts About Oklo Oklo develops and deploys advanced nuclear reactors, fuel cycle capabilities and radioisotope facilities through an integrated power, fuel and isotopes platform. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?New Narrative • Mar 05
Federal Support And Fuel Integration Will Reshape Advanced Nuclear And Oklo’s Long Term Prospects
Catalysts About Oklo Oklo is an advanced nuclear company focused on building, owning and operating compact fast reactors and integrated fuel cycle facilities for power, heat and radioisotope production. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Seeking Alpha • Apr 29
Oklo: Early, Risky, But Potentially Rewarding
Summary Oklo's unique vision focuses on AI infrastructure power, leveraging microreactors for clean, reliable energy. The case has merit, despite potential competition from established players like Last Energy and TerraPower. Regulatory and funding challenges persist, but Chris Wright’s appointment as Energy Secretary could signal faster clearances and support for Oklo's microreactor deployments. Recent price corrections make Oklo more attractive, suggesting a systematic investment approach to capitalize on its potential in the AI power market. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 28
Oklo: Hype May Not Sustain The Stock's Price This Year
Summary I find the 14.6x FWD book valuation quite stretched. The long term narrative is strong, but this year, I don't see enough upside to justify this premium. I'm concerned about the 108% YoY increase in cash burn, with no meaningful recurrent revenue expected until (possibly) at least 2026 from Atomic Alchemy. I consider the 12GW Switch deal overhyped, as it's conditional and stretches 20 years out. I find the financial reporting weakness concerning, with the net loss adjusted from $563 million to $73.6 million. Until the financial reporting weakness is cleaned up and Atomic Alchemy shows tangible revenue results I don't see enough upside. Strong sell for now. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 22
Oklo: Take Advantage Of The Pullback Before Earnings (Technical Analysis)
Summary The chart, moving averages, and indicators present a favourable technical outlook for Oklo stock as sentiment has bottomed. The milestones that the company has achieved show the long term growth story remains highly intact. While the P/B ratio is certainly not low in absolute terms, the recent contraction provides opportunity to pick up shares for a lower price. Therefore, I initiate Oklo at a buy rating as the technical and fundamentals suggest upside from current levels. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 01
Oklo: Pioneering Advanced Nuclear Solutions For The AI Era
Summary Oklo is looking to revolutionise the nuclear energy sector with compact fast reactors, designed for AI-driven data centres. With multiple exciting partnerships, and a favourable regulatory landscape, there could be further growth in the share price after a healthy rally. Multiple risks exist in the sector, most notably in a lack of profitability, but it represents an interesting high-risk, high-reward opportunity for investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 18
Oklo: Too Far, Too Fast (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Oklo stock has surged 160% due to increasing investor speculation, but the company still lacks meaningful revenue and a working product, raising valuation concerns. OKLO's core thesis revolves around providing cheap, clean nuclear power with its 'Powerhouse' reactors, addressing the demand for sustainable energy. Despite promising deals and partnerships, the unchanged financials and increased valuation risk make OKLO less attractive for new investors. If you're already in, we think it's worth 'Holding' this stock for the long run. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 24
Oklo: Examining The Challenges Of This Nuclear Dream
Summary I estimate Oklo may not bring its first SMR online before late 2029 at the earliest due to the long regulatory process, fuel qualification, and project delays. I expect OKLO to incur higher build costs for its SMRs than projected by at least 135% due to the novelty of its design. The Company's assumption for fuel costs is 4.7 times less than HALEU's market price and may face challenges securing the required HALEU for future SMRs due to the fuel's limited supply. These higher costs could put Oklo at a pricing disadvantage and potentially make renewable energy with storage a more attractive energy source for AI data centers. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Oklo makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 26 | 1 | -153 | 114 | 104 |
| 31 Mar 26 | 0 | -129 | 96 | 77 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 0 | -106 | 81 | 58 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 0 | -77 | 57 | 41 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 0 | -57 | 42 | 31 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 0 | -59 | 33 | 31 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 0 | -74 | 26 | 26 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 0 | -76 | 21 | 23 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 0 | -74 | 17 | 20 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 0 | -51 | 11 | 11 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 0 | -32 | 9 | 10 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 0 | -21 | 7 | 7 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 0 | -15 | 5 | 7 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 0 | -13 | 5 | 6 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 0 | -10 | 4 | 6 |
Quality Earnings: OKLO is currently unprofitable.
Growing Profit Margin: OKLO is currently unprofitable.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: OKLO is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 52.4% per year.
Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare OKLO's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable
Earnings vs Industry: OKLO is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Electric Utilities industry (9.1%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: OKLO has a negative Return on Equity (-4.67%), as it is currently unprofitable.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/13 02:12 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Oklo Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Christine Cho | Barclays |
| Moses Sutton | BNP Paribas |
| Dimple Gosai | BofA Global Research |