Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For Northwest Natural Holding Company (NYSE:NWN)

NYSE:NWN
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With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 17x in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Northwest Natural Holding Company's (NYSE:NWN) P/E ratio of 16.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Northwest Natural Holding has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.

See our latest analysis for Northwest Natural Holding

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:NWN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 24th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Northwest Natural Holding will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Northwest Natural Holding's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Northwest Natural Holding's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 19%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 15% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 8.6% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 10.0% per annum, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's understandable that Northwest Natural Holding's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Northwest Natural Holding's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook is contributing to its current P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Northwest Natural Holding (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Northwest Natural Holding. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Northwest Natural Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.