Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that IDACORP, Inc. (NYSE:IDA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for IDACORP
How Much Debt Does IDACORP Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 IDACORP had debt of US$2.15b, up from US$2.00b in one year. However, it also had US$226.2m in cash, and so its net debt is US$1.92b.
How Strong Is IDACORP's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that IDACORP had liabilities of US$475.4m due within a year, and liabilities of US$4.26b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$226.2m in cash and US$226.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$4.29b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$5.23b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on IDACORP's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
IDACORP's debt is 4.0 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.1 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. More concerning, IDACORP saw its EBIT drop by 9.0% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if IDACORP can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, IDACORP created free cash flow amounting to 6.8% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
To be frank both IDACORP's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its EBIT growth rate also fails to instill confidence. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like IDACORP commonly do use debt without problems. We're quite clear that we consider IDACORP to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for IDACORP you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:IDA
IDACORP
Engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, purchase, and sale of electric energy in the United States.
Average dividend payer with acceptable track record.