If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Edison International (NYSE:EIX) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Edison International:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.047 = US$3.2b ÷ (US$78b - US$10b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
Thus, Edison International has an ROCE of 4.7%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 4.7%, it's still a low return by itself.
Check out our latest analysis for Edison International
In the above chart we have measured Edison International's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
SWOT Analysis for Edison International
- No major strengths identified for EIX.
- Earnings declined over the past year.
- Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Electric Utilities market.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years.
- Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
- Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
- Dividends are not covered by earnings.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the American market.
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of Edison International's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has consistently earned 4.7% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 49% in that time. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
Our Take On Edison International's ROCE
In summary, Edison International has simply been reinvesting capital and generating the same low rate of return as before. Since the stock has gained an impressive 42% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
One more thing: We've identified 4 warning signs with Edison International (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
While Edison International isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Edison International might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:EIX
Edison International
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation and distribution of electric power.
Second-rate dividend payer low.