The AES Corporation

NYSE:AESC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$10.8b

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AES Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

AES is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 37.9% and 4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 37.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 30.8% in 3 years.

Key information

37.9%

Earnings growth rate

37.18%

EPS growth rate

Renewable Energy earnings growth30.6%
Revenue growth rate4.0%
Future return on equity30.81%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated09 Feb 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 08

AES Corporation: Debt Starting To Drag On Earnings, But Stock Has Potential

Summary The AES Corporation reported disappointing Q2 2023 earnings, missing analysts' expectations for both revenues and earnings. The company's earnings and cash flow were down compared to the previous year, partly due to higher interest expenses than a year ago. Despite the weak financial performance, AES Corporation made progress on its renewable energy goals and has an attractive valuation relative to its peers. The company is substantially more reliant on debt than its peers, which could continue to weigh on its financial performance if high rates are with us for a while. The dividend has adequate coverage and gives the stock a 3.37% yield today. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 09

AES: A Defensive Stock For Volatile Markets

AES offers defensive revenue in the face of economic and market volatility. Earning yield stands at 7.5%, augmented by growth prospects as it expands into green energy. Dividends are likely to increase as the company grows.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 11

AES Corporation: This Highly Leveraged Utility Might Have Potential

AES is one of the largest utilities in the world, with operations in fifteen different countries. It is mostly focused on the USA, though. The company is extremely heavily-focused on renewables and intends to replace its coal-fired plants by 2025, which requires a lot of new capacity. The market is not particularly excited about the company, and it is greatly underperforming its peers. The company is highly leveraged relative to peers, which is perhaps its most significant risk but it appears to be improving here. The company is undervalued relative to its earnings growth so some investors may want to dip a toe in.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:AESC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202614,6431,5382433,3632
12/31/202513,1901,4431233,8558
12/31/202412,7621,403-5743,5489
12/31/202312,493989-6173,6789
9/30/202312,760-560-3,7603,375N/A
6/30/202312,953-370-3,2513,037N/A
3/31/202313,004-510-2,4532,883N/A
12/31/202212,617-546-1,8362,715N/A
9/30/202212,327-275-1,1212,172N/A
6/30/202211,736-353-6132,163N/A
3/31/202211,358-150-3442,106N/A
12/31/202111,141-413-2141,902N/A
9/30/202110,931537-122,047N/A
6/30/202110,440-1396022,539N/A
3/31/20219,957-2498792,635N/A
12/31/20209,660438552,755N/A
9/30/20209,531-3536262,778N/A
6/30/20209,611190-252,272N/A
3/31/20209,877292-3282,149N/A
12/31/201910,189302612,466N/A
9/30/201910,3804822242,381N/A
6/30/201910,5923741772,374N/A
3/31/201910,6464543142,444N/A
12/31/201810,7369852222,343N/A
9/30/201810,7572003372,519N/A
6/30/201810,6132453642,412N/A
3/31/201810,689202942,292N/A
12/31/201710,530-5073272,504N/A
9/30/20178,126-521162,278N/A
6/30/20178,975-23N/A2,450N/A
3/31/20179,591-179N/A2,901N/A
12/31/201610,281-20N/A2,855N/A
9/30/201613,261136N/A2,806N/A
6/30/201613,241135N/A2,897N/A
3/31/201613,668317N/A2,337N/A
12/31/201511,260318N/A2,159N/A
9/30/201515,068609N/A2,087N/A
6/30/201515,987922N/A1,940N/A
3/31/201516,642985N/A2,082N/A
12/31/201416,124705N/A1,850N/A
9/30/201416,814413N/A1,939N/A
6/30/201416,369100N/A2,046N/A
3/31/201416,003125N/A2,297N/A
12/31/201315,891284N/A2,711N/A
9/30/201316,448665N/A2,827N/A
6/30/201316,807-1,095N/A3,015N/A
3/31/201316,728-1,189N/A3,035N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AESC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: AESC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: AESC is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AESC's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AESC's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AESC's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (30.8%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/02/15 02:11
End of Day Share Price 2024/02/15 00:00
Earnings2023/09/30
Annual Earnings2022/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The AES Corporation is covered by 21 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gary HovisArgus Research Company
Daniel FordBarclays
Nicholas CampanellaBarclays