Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.

NasdaqGS:CWCO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$434.5m

Consolidated Water Valuation

Is CWCO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CWCO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CWCO ($27.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($131.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CWCO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CWCO?

Key metric: As CWCO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CWCO. This is calculated by dividing CWCO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CWCO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.5x
EarningsUS$26.35m
Market CapUS$434.51m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CWCO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CWCO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.2x
YORW York Water
24.5xn/aUS$520.1m
PCYO Pure Cycle
29.1xn/aUS$337.7m
GWRS Global Water Resources
49.7x-10.5%US$322.4m
ARTN.A Artesian Resources
17.7xn/aUS$353.9m
CWCO Consolidated Water
16.5x-10.6%US$434.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CWCO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the peer average (30.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CWCO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Water Utilities Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CWCO 16.5xIndustry Avg. 18.0xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CWCO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the Global Water Utilities industry average (18x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CWCO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CWCO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.5x
Fair PE Ratio16.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CWCO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CWCO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$27.44
US$38.50
+40.3%
1.3%US$39.00US$38.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$28.41
US$39.50
+39.0%
3.8%US$41.00US$38.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$25.86
US$39.50
+52.7%
3.8%US$41.00US$38.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$27.10
US$39.50
+45.8%
3.8%US$41.00US$38.00n/a2
May ’25US$25.76
US$39.50
+53.3%
3.8%US$41.00US$38.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$26.64
US$39.50
+48.3%
3.8%US$41.00US$38.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$29.52
US$39.00
+32.1%
2.6%US$40.00US$38.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$31.79
US$39.00
+22.7%
2.6%US$40.00US$38.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$35.60
US$39.00
+9.6%
2.6%US$40.00US$38.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$36.86
US$39.00
+5.8%
2.6%US$40.00US$38.00n/a2
Nov ’24US$29.69
US$28.50
-4.0%
1.8%US$29.00US$28.00US$23.652
Oct ’24US$28.44
US$28.50
+0.2%
1.8%US$29.00US$28.00US$24.832
Sep ’24US$27.42
US$28.50
+3.9%
1.8%US$29.00US$28.00US$27.762
Jun ’24US$19.72
US$21.50
+9.0%
11.6%US$24.00US$19.00US$27.102
May ’24US$16.68
US$20.00
+19.9%
5.0%US$21.00US$19.00US$25.762
Apr ’24US$16.43
US$19.50
+18.7%
2.6%US$20.00US$19.00US$26.642
Mar ’24US$15.30
US$19.50
+27.5%
2.6%US$20.00US$19.00US$29.522
Feb ’24US$15.03
US$19.50
+29.7%
2.6%US$20.00US$19.00US$31.792
Jan ’24US$14.80
US$19.50
+31.8%
2.6%US$20.00US$19.00US$35.602
Dec ’23US$14.83
US$19.50
+31.5%
2.6%US$20.00US$19.00US$36.862
Nov ’23US$18.33
US$19.50
+6.4%
2.6%US$20.00US$19.00US$29.692

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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