Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure plc

NasdaqGS:AY Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.6b

Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure Valuation

Is AY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AY ($22.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($26.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AY is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AY?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AY key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.5x
PEG Ratio2.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.9x
CWEN.A Clearway Energy
25x22.7%US$5.3b
ORA Ormat Technologies
37.5x10.5%US$4.9b
MNTK Montauk Renewables
45.5x19.9%US$823.7m
AMPS Altus Power
23.4x-68.8%US$507.2m
AY Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure
73.8x34.4%US$2.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (73.8x) compared to the peer average (33.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Renewable Energy Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (73.8x) compared to the North American Renewable Energy industry average (21.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio73.8x
Fair PE Ratio28.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (73.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$22.08
US$22.20
+0.5%
1.8%US$23.00US$22.00n/a5
Oct ’25US$22.00
US$22.20
+0.9%
1.8%US$23.00US$22.00n/a5
Sep ’25US$21.81
US$22.20
+1.8%
1.8%US$23.00US$22.00n/a5
Aug ’25US$22.14
US$22.17
+0.1%
1.7%US$23.00US$22.00n/a6
Jul ’25US$21.91
US$22.17
+1.2%
1.7%US$23.00US$22.00n/a6
Jun ’25US$21.98
US$23.71
+7.9%
16.1%US$33.00US$22.00n/a7
May ’25US$20.92
US$22.95
+9.7%
15.8%US$33.00US$20.00n/a11
Apr ’25US$18.67
US$23.32
+24.9%
14.9%US$33.00US$20.00n/a11
Mar ’25US$17.82
US$23.73
+33.1%
14.8%US$33.00US$19.00n/a11
Feb ’25US$19.69
US$24.05
+22.1%
14.2%US$33.00US$19.00n/a11
Jan ’25US$21.50
US$23.64
+9.9%
15.2%US$33.00US$19.00n/a11
Dec ’24US$19.68
US$23.64
+20.1%
15.2%US$33.00US$19.00n/a11
Nov ’24US$18.60
US$25.18
+35.4%
17.2%US$34.00US$20.00US$22.0811
Oct ’24US$19.10
US$29.64
+55.2%
12.1%US$36.00US$25.00US$22.0011
Sep ’24US$22.13
US$30.27
+36.8%
10.5%US$36.00US$26.00US$21.8111
Aug ’24US$23.65
US$30.77
+30.1%
9.4%US$36.00US$27.00US$22.1411
Jul ’24US$23.44
US$31.00
+32.3%
8.8%US$36.00US$27.00US$21.9111
Jun ’24US$24.38
US$31.00
+27.2%
9.0%US$36.00US$27.00US$21.9811
May ’24US$26.35
US$31.45
+19.4%
8.3%US$36.00US$28.00US$20.9211
Apr ’24US$29.56
US$31.50
+6.6%
8.7%US$36.00US$28.00US$18.6710
Mar ’24US$26.94
US$31.60
+17.3%
7.9%US$36.00US$29.00US$17.8210
Feb ’24US$27.22
US$32.40
+19.0%
12.5%US$43.00US$29.00US$19.6910
Jan ’24US$25.90
US$33.60
+29.7%
12.0%US$43.00US$29.00US$21.5010
Dec ’23US$27.64
US$33.70
+21.9%
11.6%US$43.00US$30.00US$19.6810
Nov ’23US$28.00
US$35.20
+25.7%
11.1%US$43.00US$28.00US$18.6010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies