Kyushu Railway Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Kyushu Railway is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8.5% and 4.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.9% in 3 years.

Key information

8.5%

Earnings growth rate

8.5%

EPS growth rate

Transportation earnings growth	17.5%
Revenue growth rate	4.3%
Future return on equity	9.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	19 Sep 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

OTCPK:KYHH.Y - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
3/31/2027	491,884	55,359	-12,976	N/A	6
3/31/2026	480,838	55,174	-23,198	N/A	7
3/31/2025	449,486	44,544	-33,659	N/A	7
6/30/2024	426,623	32,083	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2024	420,402	38,445	-44,624	89,031	N/A
12/31/2023	414,876	50,358	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2023	403,779	47,153	-16,516	85,407	N/A
6/30/2023	390,686	42,033	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2023	383,242	31,166	-42,711	62,084	N/A
12/31/2022	368,095	25,569	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2022	358,101	27,277	-35,998	61,586	N/A
6/30/2022	347,906	19,238	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2022	329,527	13,250	-45,015	56,460	N/A
12/31/2021	314,221	1,892	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2021	310,983	-10,761	-70,827	26,501	N/A
6/30/2021	304,163	-12,938	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2021	293,914	-18,984	-105,566	-10,361	N/A
12/31/2020	315,380	-15,499	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2020	344,335	-1,778	-101,397	6,146	N/A
6/30/2020	394,021	14,011	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2020	432,644	31,495	-49,479	60,468	N/A
12/31/2019	445,836	45,124	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2019	442,999	46,032	-66,721	51,280	N/A
6/30/2019	441,920	48,174	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2019	440,358	49,240	-64,464	41,473	N/A
12/31/2018	431,986	49,929	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2018	434,190	53,710	-14,491	70,061	N/A
6/30/2018	417,661	50,339	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2018	413,371	50,410	N/A	87,689	N/A
12/31/2017	414,860	50,861	N/A	N/A	N/A
9/30/2017	400,224	47,777	N/A	65,618	N/A
6/30/2017	398,075	51,089	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2017	382,912	44,751	N/A	28,580	N/A
3/31/2016	377,989	-433,089	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2015	357,422	15,012	N/A	N/A	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: KYHH.Y's forecast earnings growth (8.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.5%).

Earnings vs Market: KYHH.Y's earnings (8.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: KYHH.Y's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: KYHH.Y's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: KYHH.Y's revenue (4.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: KYHH.Y's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/10/16 12:41
End of Day Share Price	2024/07/19 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

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Industry and Sector Metrics

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Analyst Sources

Kyushu Railway Company is covered by 14 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Hironori Nakakura	BofA Global Research
Ryota Himeno	Citigroup Inc
null null	Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd.