GMéxico Transportes. de Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

GMéxico Transportes. de is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 21.6% and 10.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 21.7% in 3 years.

Key information

21.6%

Earnings growth rate

14.5%

EPS growth rate

Transportation earnings growth	17.5%
Revenue growth rate	10.6%
Future return on equity	21.7%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	19 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

OTCPK:GMXT.F - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (MXN Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	76,268	15,599	17,049	27,409	3
12/31/2025	67,887	12,654	15,589	25,648	2
12/31/2024	63,834	12,040	13,873	23,806	2
9/30/2024	59,247	8,666	13,563	21,451	N/A
6/30/2024	58,030	9,047	12,620	20,464	N/A
3/31/2024	57,207	8,895	11,151	18,941	N/A
12/31/2023	56,429	8,567	10,968	18,569	N/A
9/30/2023	56,257	9,483	6,544	13,901	N/A
6/30/2023	56,508	10,038	6,659	14,176	N/A
3/31/2023	55,606	9,930	13,586	20,843	N/A
12/31/2022	54,572	9,837	13,754	21,353	N/A
9/30/2022	53,898	8,882	18,986	26,493	N/A
6/30/2022	52,851	7,882	19,039	25,969	N/A
3/31/2022	52,326	7,913	13,113	19,993	N/A
12/31/2021	51,173	7,574	12,481	19,178	N/A
9/30/2021	49,250	7,077	12,379	19,033	N/A
6/30/2021	48,020	6,638	11,498	18,040	N/A
3/31/2021	46,141	5,661	10,947	17,087	N/A
12/31/2020	46,106	5,910	12,303	18,114	N/A
9/30/2020	47,028	6,249	12,909	18,414	N/A
6/30/2020	47,625	6,128	13,364	19,294	N/A
3/31/2020	48,764	6,602	12,838	18,926	N/A
12/31/2019	47,633	6,038	11,213	17,831	N/A
9/30/2019	47,687	6,012	9,096	16,497	N/A
6/30/2019	46,668	6,231	7,799	14,958	N/A
3/31/2019	46,151	6,500	6,595	14,443	N/A
12/31/2018	45,425	7,002	7,948	14,971	N/A
9/30/2018	44,152	6,852	8,527	14,650	N/A
6/30/2018	43,187	6,688	N/A	15,621	N/A
3/31/2018	40,422	6,432	N/A	13,221	N/A
12/31/2017	38,577	5,974	N/A	12,004	N/A
9/30/2017	35,975	6,210	N/A	11,557	N/A
6/30/2017	33,631	6,461	N/A	10,539	N/A
3/31/2017	33,394	6,673	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2016	32,905	6,677	N/A	11,524	N/A
9/30/2016	26,772	5,026	N/A	9,649	N/A
6/30/2016	28,942	4,988	N/A	9,541	N/A
3/31/2016	30,062	4,905	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2015	29,963	4,750	N/A	8,664	N/A
9/30/2015	25,553	3,969	N/A	7,478	N/A
6/30/2015	26,148	4,070	N/A	7,704	N/A
3/31/2015	25,695	3,832	N/A	7,004	N/A
12/31/2014	25,995	3,823	N/A	7,931	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GMXT.F's forecast earnings growth (21.6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: GMXT.F's earnings (21.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GMXT.F's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GMXT.F's revenue (10.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GMXT.F's revenue (10.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GMXT.F's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (21.7%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/27 03:28
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/12 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

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Analyst Sources

GMéxico Transportes, S.A.B. de C.V. is covered by 12 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Carlos Peyrelongue	BofA Global Research
José Espitia Hernández	Casa de Bolsa Banorte Ixe, S.A. de C.V
Marissa Garza Ostos	Casa de Bolsa Banorte Ixe, S.A. de C.V